Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $13.10 $7.10 118%
FE-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-5 $10.50 $8.50 425%
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $18.25 $12.25 204%
FE-3   WIN (6/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $60.50 $52.50 656%
    DD (5/2)-(6/3/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-9 $64.75 $56.75 709%
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/2)-(6/3/8/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-1/2-9 $165.39 $160.59 3346%
FE-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $23.50 $17.50 292%
    DD (6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-5 $342.90 $330.90 2758%
    PK3 (5/2)-(6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80  1/2-9-5 $172.88 $168.08 3502%
    PK4 (4/2/3)-(5/2)-(6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5) 72 $0.20 $14.40  3-1/2-9-5 $584.76 $570.36 3961%
FE-5   DD (2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-6 $30.85 $15.85 106%
    PK3 (6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00  9-5-6 $266.52 $254.52 2121%
FE-6   PK3 (2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5)-(8/4/7/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00  5-6-8 $20.10 $8.10 68%
    PK4 (6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5)-(8/4/7/6) 240 $0.20 $48.00  9-5-6-8 $954.03 $906.03 1888%
    PK5 (5/2)-(6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5)-(8/4/7/6) 480 $0.20 $96.00  1/2-9-5-6-8 $3035 $2939 3062%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) 3 4 21½ 23   21½ 1½ (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 15% 5.50 5.55 W
5  RING BIT 5 2 11½ 13   11½ 2½ (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 8.20  
2  SCARY BOO 2 5 42½ 33½   32 3½ (mileni nick)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 23% 3.40 7.45 S
4  LAST GLIMMER 4 3 53½ 44   42 4¾ (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 32% 2.10 3.60  
1  SHAMELESS AFFAIR 1 6 65 65½   53½ 53¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 0.95  
6  COUNTRY DOLLY 6 1 31½ 54½   66½ 610¼ (crete )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 8.20  
 
FE-2   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:22 :441 :561     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BELLA FUTURE 1 4 21½ 2nk   11½ 13 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 13% 6.80 1.90 W
5  MAMBA ON THREE 4 2 43 31   21½ 23 (krczmar ze)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 2.50 25% 3.00 2.50 P
3  WHERE IS ESSA 2 3 32 41¼   42 35¼ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 2.20  
4  TRULY MISCHIEF 3 1 11½ 1nk   31½ 46¾ (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 2.70  
SCR  NAMEOFTHEGAME               (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00    
 
FE-3   09/30/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:13     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RESCUE THAT GIRL 9 8 88 75½   72¾ 1hd (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 29.25 W
2  THELONIOUS 2 6 77½ 86   51¾ 2hd (concessi arman)BYNOE DESEAN 122 20.00 49.40  
4  HARDWARE GAP 4 2 1½ 1½   2nk 3.15 (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 13.05  
6  JACK THE CAT 6 5 53½ 42   1nk 4½ (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.80 39% 1.60 0.90  
1  SOCIETY JOE 1 9 99 97½   62¾ 5½ (spada lauren)KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00 8.00  
3  STORMIN DAVE 3 3 42½ 31½   4¾ 61 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.50 38% 1.60 3.60  
5  GUS'S GAMBLE 5 1 2½ 2½   3½ 72½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 ★ 4.20  
7  PRINCE FOR A DAY 7 4 31½ 52½   83¾ 86¼ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 15.00 65.90  
8  SPRING MOUNTAIN 8 7 64½ 64   94¾ 910¼ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
SCR  ALWAYS A WAY               (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00    
 
FE-4   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:22 :45 :574     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PANYARD TAP 5 1 2nk 11½   12 14¼ (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 117 6.00 5% 19.00 10.75 W
3  MISS D'S PRIDE 3 4 52¼ 54   22 24¼ (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 32.75  
2  A LA CARTE 2 6 63¼ 65   42¼ 34¼ (mcknight norman)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 55% 0.80 0.30 S
1  HEY LUIGI 1 5 42 44   32 45 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 3.40  
4  BLACKHILLSHERRIFF 4 3 1nk 21½   52¼ 512¼ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 23.50  
6  CHAIRMAN RAINBOW 6 2 31 32½   62¾ 612½ (leblanc wa)FRANCIS G 122 2.50 24% 3.10 11.80  
SCR  BINGO'S GRIND               (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
 
FE-5   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RHUMBABA 6 3 31½ 2nk   1½ 13 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 21% 3.70 2.45 W
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CAKE BABY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  TALE OF CLASS TOWN 7 7 63¼ 64¾   53 23 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 117 3.00 24% 3.10 0.95 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TALE OF CLASS by TALE OF EKATI)
9  SPIRITUAL MAN 9 1 1nk 3.2   3½ 33 (dixon)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 5.70  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OBEAH WOMAN by MOBIL)
8  VINDICATED 8 2 2nk 1nk   2½ 44½ (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 14% 6.10 15.70  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of CLARKSTON HOPE by STRUT THE STAGE)
5  SUNSET SKIPPY 5 5 51¾ 43¼   42½ 54¾ (steer tom)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
2  MARIACHI LOCO 2 9 95¼ 96   74¼ 67 (machesney cor)KERR CHEYENNE 115 4.00 17% 4.80 13.10  
  (by BILLY'S STAR out of BITS AND BYTES by BERNSTEIN)
1  BOLSHOYE SPASIBO 1 6 73¾ 74¾   84¼ 710½ (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 20.00 57.00  
  (by HYPER out of COURT CENTRAL by COURT VISION)
3  COMETOTHEDARKSIDE 3 4 41¾ 53¾   64 810¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 26.05  
  (by OLIVIA'S UNCLE out of DARK AND INTENSE by MR. SCOTTY)
4  LAST RIDE 4 8 84¾ 85¾   94¾ 912½ (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 15.00 49.40  
  (by GORMLEY out of DEREK'S GIRL by BROTHER DEREK)
 
FE-6   09/30/2025 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:134     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KNOTTY AND NICE 8 1 12½ 13   12 11¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 62% 0.60 1.85 W
9  MORE GALILADY 9 2 33 34½   22 21¾ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 11.45  
1  SILENT PATSY 1 6 78¼ 77¼   54¾ 33¾ (thompson valerie)SALLES LEO 122 20.00 2.05  
4  TOWN'S A BREEZE 4 8 910¼ 99¼   44½ 44½ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 10% 9.20 6.85  
5  OLIVIA'S MELODY 5 5 45 67   64¾ 56¼ (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 ★ 16.20  
6  HELANA 6 4 55 46   75 68 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 20.00 5% 19.00 19.75  
3  PRINCESS ROSINA 3 3 22½ 23   34½ 79¾ (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 15.00 19.35  
2  HEBRIDEAN MISS 2 7 88¼ 87¼   97 811¼ (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 14.00  
7  NOW IS A BREEZE 7 9 65¼ 56   86½ 911¼ (agost)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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