Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/2)-(6/3/8/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
FE-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(6/3/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
FE-3   WIN (6/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/9)-(6/3/5/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/9)-(6/3/5/8/9)-(6/3/5/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/9)-(2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(7/6/2/8/5)-(8/4/7/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (7/6/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/8/5)-(7/6/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/8/5)-(7/6/2/8/5)-(7/6/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/2/8/5)-(8/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-6   WIN (8/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/5/7/6)-(8/4/5/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMELESS AFFAIR Sep15 Aug26 Aug11 Jul31 Jul17 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00    
2  SCARY BOO Sep08 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Jun14 (mileni nick)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 15% 5.50    
4  LAST GLIMMER Sep15 Sep08 Aug26 Jul28 Jun23 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  RING BIT Sep22 Sep01 Jul24 Jun29 May30 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 120 2.50    
6  COUNTRY DOLLY Sep08 Aug29 Aug09 Jul17   (crete )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
 
FE-2   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NAMEOFTHEGAME Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00    
2  BELLA FUTURE Sep16 Aug12 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  WHERE IS ESSA Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 Jul13 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00    
4  TRULY MISCHIEF Sep09 Aug12 Jul27 Jun30 Jun03 (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00    
5  MAMBA ON THREE Sep16 Aug30 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 (krczmar ze)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
FE-3   09/30/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIETY JOE Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jun23 Oct25 (spada lauren)KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00    
2  THELONIOUS Sep16 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jul14 (conces)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00    
3  STORMIN DAVE Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul08 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
4  HARDWARE GAP Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50    
5  GUS'S GAMBLE Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 ★    
6  JACK THE CAT Sep16 Sep01 Aug11 Jun15 Dec13 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
7  PRINCE FOR A DAY Sep23 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul13 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 15.00    
8  SPRING MOUNTAIN Sep02 Aug05 Jun13 Dec15 Nov22 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  RESCUE THAT GIRL Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Oct01 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAYS A WAY Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jun30 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 8.00    
 
FE-4   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY LUIGI Sep22 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Dec07 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
2  A LA CARTE Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 Apr27 May04 (mcknight norman)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
3  MISS D'S PRIDE Sep08 Sep01 Aug05 Jul13 Jul08 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00    
4  BLACKHILLSHERRIFF Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00    
5  PANYARD TAP Sep16 Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHAIRMAN RAINBOW Jun22 May04 Jul21 Nov23 Nov05 (leblanc wa)FRANCIS G 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  BINGO'S GRIND Aug17 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 May11 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
 
FE-5   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLSHOYE SPASIBO Sep16 Sep02 Aug02 Jul11   (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 20.00    
  (by HYPER out of COURT CENTRAL by COURT VISION)
2  MARIACHI LOCO Sep09         (machesney cor)KERR CHEYENNE 115 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by BILLY'S STAR out of BITS AND BYTES by BERNSTEIN)
3  COMETOTHEDARKSIDE Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 Jul21 May30 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00    
  (by OLIVIA'S UNCLE out of DARK AND INTENSE by MR. SCOTTY)
4  LAST RIDE Sep16 Sep02 Aug07 Jun26 Jun01 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of DEREK'S GIRL by BROTHER DEREK)
5  SUNSET SKIPPY         (steer tom)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
6  RHUMBABA Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Jun08 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CAKE BABY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  TALE OF CLASS TOWN         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 117 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TALE OF CLASS by TALE OF EKATI)
8  VINDICATED Sep09         (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of CLARKSTON HOPE by STRUT THE STAGE)
9  SPIRITUAL MAN Sep18 Sep05 Aug01 Jul06 Jun22 (dixon)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of OBEAH WOMAN by MOBIL)
 
FE-6   09/30/2025 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT PATSY Aug22 Jul31 Jul07 Jun23 Dec05 (thompson valerie)SALLES LEO 122 20.00    
2  HEBRIDEAN MISS Sep09 Sep02 Aug04 Jul24 Jun29 (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00    
3  PRINCESS ROSINA Sep15 Aug17 Jul31 Jul10 Nov02 (husb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00    
4  TOWN'S A BREEZE Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 Jul27 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 10% 9.20    
5  OLIVIA'S MELODY Sep09 Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 Jun07 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 ★    
6  HELANA Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 Aug04 Jul10 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  NOW IS A BREEZE Sep22 Aug25 Aug09 Jul05 Jul27 (agost)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  KNOTTY AND NICE Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 Dec12 Nov22 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
9  MORE GALILADY Sep09 Aug25 Jul13     (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.