Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $28.00 $22.00 367%
FE-3   EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $18.65 $6.65 55%
FE-4   TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20  4-2-5 $4.11 $2.91 243%
FE-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (2/3)-(2/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $9.55 $3.55 59%
    TRI (2/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40  2-6-3 $9.87 $7.47 311%
    SFT (2/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40  2-6-3-5 $20.21 $17.81 742%
FE-6   EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/9/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-7 $37.00 $21.00 131%
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/9/7/1)-(8/5/9/7/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60  5-7-8 $45.98 $36.38 379%
    DD (2/3)-(8/5/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-5 $10.45 $2.45 31%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY DIVINE 1 1 12 14   14 15½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.20 47% 1.10 2.80 W
2  HYPER ANGEL 2 3 33 24   24 25½ (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10 P
5  LAST GLIMMER 5 5 56½ 56½   56¾ 312¼ (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 0.45  
3  DANISH BELLE 3 2 22 44½   36½ 413¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 5% 19.00 24.90  
4  LET'S BE FIRST 4 4 44 34   46½ 517¼ (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 4.00 4.80  
 
FE-2   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:222 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS JUST MONEY 1 5 43 43½   43 1¼ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 3.95  
2  CANTUCCI 2 4 11 11½   12 2¼ (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 5% 19.00 2.25 P
4  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE 4 2 31½ 21½   22 34 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 38% 1.70 2.10 S
3  HAPPY QUAD 3 3 21 32   33 45¼ (williams a)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 3.30  
5  GRAN SPIRITED 5 1 53½ 54   53¼ 55¾ (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 18% 4.60 5.85  
 
FE-3   09/15/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISS OZEGE 6 4 42 32   12 14 (chudobiak gar)KERR CHEYENNE 115 2.00 16% 5.20 2.05 W
3  PRINCESS ROSINA 3 3 2nk 21   33 24 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 33% 2.00 5.30 P
1  HELANA 1 1 1nk 11   22 34 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 8.00 2.25  
4  IMPECCABLE TIMING 4 2 31 42½   44 45½ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 19% 4.20 3.65  
2  SHAMELESS AFFAIR 2 6 65½ 64   54 56¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 6.40  
5  ALWAY'S ROSIE 5 5 53 53½   65½ 610½ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 6% 17.10 14.65  
SCR  ROLLING ROXXX               (agos)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00    
 
FE-4   09/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:22 :441       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRAND AMBITION 4 3 12½ 14   14 15½ (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.40 35% 1.80 0.75 W
2  RYE'S MY GUY 2 4 33½ 34   24 25½ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00 5% 18.30 6.25 P
5  BIG TIME LOUIE 5 5 57 59½   56 39¾ (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 35% 1.90 10.40 S
6  FOREST FLASH 6 1 44 46   45 49¾ (albu ken)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 9.90  
1  CRAFTY OAKS 1 2 22½ 24   35 510 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 119 3.50 2.35  
3  LULU'S LULLABY 3 6 614 616½   68 612½ (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 119 15.00 29.30  
 
FE-5   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BACK TO REALITY 2 6 11½ 13   13 13¾ (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 6.00 51% 1.00 1.70 W
6  BLAME J D 6 3 54 54¾   33 23¾ (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 4.50 ★ 3.00 P
3  BRADY O'BRADY 3 7 75¼ 65¼   63¾ 34¼ (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 15.15 S
5  DREAM ON BABY 5 2 42½ 43¼   23 45¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 ★ 3.35  
1  HICKSY 1 5 21½ 23   43½ 59 (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 5.00 4.95  
7  UNDER SURVEILLANCE 7 4 65 75¼   75¼ 610 (county patrick)BYNOE DESEAN 122 2.50 8.55  
4  M C JACKHAMMER 4 1 32½ 33   53¾ 714½ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 35.60  
 
FE-6   09/15/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:113     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STORMIN DAVE 5 1 63½ 42   31 11¾ (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00 26% 2.90 1.45 W
7  SCREEN LEGEND 7 3 11 11   1nk 21¾ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 6% 16.80 25.85 P
8  FOREST WOODSMAN 8 4 21 21   2nk 31¾ (wills )ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 30% 2.40 7.70 S
3  RESCUE THAT GIRL 3 10 96¼ 94   83 42 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 12.00 23.15  
4  LONHRO'S GAMBLE 4 5 75 73¾   61¾ 52¾ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 7.10  
9  STAR SCHOLAR 9 7 43 52¼   51¼ 63 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00 ★ 10.65  
1  PLAY THE DOTS 1 9 107¾ 105½   93½ 73½ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.25  
6  WOLF BEACH 6 2 32 32   41¼ 84¼ (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 20.00 78.45  
2  ROYAL QUALITY 2 6 86 83¾   72¾ 97 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 2.55  
10  DEFOGGER 10 8 53½ 62¾   108½ 1014 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 30.65  
SCR  BINGO'S GRIND               (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SPRING               (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117 12.00    
SCR  SUPER SERENADE               (keen howard)NEWELL F 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.