Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/5/2)-(3/4/7/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/4/7/5)-(4/5/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-3   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(4/5/2)-(2/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
FE-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/3)-(8/5/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
FE-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(8/5/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-6   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/9/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/9/7/1)-(8/5/9/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY DIVINE Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Sep01 Aug18 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.20 47% 1.10    
2  HYPER ANGEL Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 Sep07 Jul27 (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANISH BELLE Sep01 Jul22 Jul13 Jun26   (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LET'S BE FIRST Sep08 Aug22 Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 4.00    
5  LAST GLIMMER Sep08 Aug26 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50    
 
FE-2   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS JUST MONEY Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 Jul18 Jun26 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00    
2  CANTUCCI Aug12 Jul27 Jul18 Jun26 Dec06 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  HAPPY QUAD Sep02 Aug17 Jun27 Jun08 May17 (williams a)SALLES LEO 122 3.50    
4  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE Aug18 Aug04 Jul03 May27 May17 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
5  GRAN SPIRITED Aug18 Jul27 Jun03 Aug17 Jul21 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
FE-3   09/15/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELANA Sep08 Aug22 Aug04 Jul10 Jun21 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 8.00    
2  SHAMELESS AFFAIR Aug26 Aug11 Jul31 Jul17 Jun07 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00    
3  PRINCESS ROSINA Aug17 Jul31 Jul10 Nov02 Sep15 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
4  IMPECCABLE TIMING Aug26 Jul13 Jun26 Jun10 Nov29 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  ALWAY'S ROSIE Aug25 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  ROLLING ROXXX Aug26 Aug04 Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 (agos)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00    
7  MISS OZEGE Aug25 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May30 (chudobiak gar)KERR CHEYENNE 115 2.00 16% 5.20    
 
FE-4   09/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY OAKS Aug18 Aug07 Jul14 Jun15 May27 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 119 3.50    
2  RYE'S MY GUY Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00 5% 18.30    
3  LULU'S LULLABY Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 Jun24 May27 (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 119 15.00    
4  GRAND AMBITION Aug05 Jul14 Jul01 Oct21 Oct15 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 1.40 35% 1.80    
5  BIG TIME LOUIE Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun15 May27 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  FOREST FLASH Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 (albu ken)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00    
 
FE-5   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HICKSY Aug17 Aug11 Jun15 Jun03 May04 (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 5.00    
2  BACK TO REALITY Jun03 May27 May04 Jan07 Nov25 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 6.00 51% 1.00    
3  BRADY O'BRADY Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  M C JACKHAMMER Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jul22 Jul13 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
5  DREAM ON BABY Sep01 Aug17 Aug08 Jun27 Jun13 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 ★    
6  BLAME J D Aug26 Aug04 Jul18 Jun27 Jun05 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 4.50 ★    
7  UNDER SURVEILLANCE Aug17 Aug05 Jul13 Jun27 Jun20 (county patrick)BYNOE DESEAN 122 2.50    
 
FE-6   09/15/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY THE DOTS Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROYAL QUALITY Aug12 Jul25 Jun20 May23 May04 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 5.00    
3  RESCUE THAT GIRL Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Oct01 May31 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 12.00    
4  LONHRO'S GAMBLE Aug26 Aug10 Jul25 Jul07 Jun10 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00    
5  STORMIN DAVE Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  WOLF BEACH Jul08 Jun10 May11 Apr26 Apr04 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 20.00    
7  SCREEN LEGEND Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 6% 16.80    
8  FOREST WOODSMAN Sep01 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
9  STAR SCHOLAR Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun24 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00 ★    
10  DEFOGGER Sep02 Aug12 Aug05 Jul08 Jun23 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SPRING Aug26 Aug12 Jul08 Jul01 Apr26 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117 12.00    
SCR  SUPER SERENADE Aug25 Aug11 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (keen howard)NEWELL F 117 10.00    
SCR  BINGO'S GRIND Aug17 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 May11 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.