Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.30 $3.30 55%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TREVESS 3 3 21½ 21   2nk 1½ (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.00 29% 2.50 3.65 W
4  CRAFTY OAKS 4 4 32½ 41½   31 2½ (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 1.40  
1  MOUNTAIN SOUND 1 5 56½ 54½   42 32¼ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50 2.25  
5  SILVER CANDICE 5 1 11½ 11   1nk 43 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 22% 3.60 8.35  
2  NICE BABY 2 2 42½ 31   52¼ 510¼ (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 5.00 12% 7.10 4.85  
 
FE-2   08/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUSTIFY PERFECTION 2 3 56¾ 45   1nk 16¾ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 117 2.00 24% 3.10 0.25 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILENT PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
5  MYMATHES CORRECT 5 2 13 13   2nk 26¾ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 9.00  
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
6  ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS 6 1 36½ 56½   43½ 312 (carter)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 19.10  
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of LUCKY MELISSA by MOBIL)
1  TEAM TALABAAT 1 6 46½ 23   31 413 (machesne)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 14.90  
  (by BAHJATTY out of TALABAAT by MORE THAN READY)
4  COMETOTHEDARKSIDE 4 5 69¾ 69½   65¼ 518 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
  (by OLIVIA'S UNCLE out of DARK AND INTENSE by MR. SCOTTY)
3  MULMUR 3 4 23 34   55 624 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 51% 1.00 4.90  
  (by SMART STRIKE out of WILDERNESS STORM by STORM CAT)
 
FE-3   08/18/2025 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:142     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE 9 7 86½ 63½   31 12¼ (mcmaho)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 ★ 5.10  
5  CALLING HOME 5 9 97½ 95½   62¼ 22¼ (desruisseaux dal)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 17% 4.80 3.00 P
7  BRITISH SEA 7 1 2½ 21   2½ 33¼ (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 3.50 57% 0.70 2.00 S
6  THIS CAT IS BY JAX 6 5 1½ 11   1½ 47 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 28.00  
4  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE 4 2 44 52½   52 57½ (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 DQ↓7
3  FEELS LIKE A KYLLA 3 6 64½ 74   73¼ 69¼ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.50 8.20  
2  NINO DE MAMA 2 4 54½ 84½   83¼ 710 (rob)DENNIS JEREMIAH 120 12.00 28.95  
1  REGGIE BOY 1 3 33½ 32   42 814½ (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.55  
8  MAGNETIZE 8 8 75 42   96¼ 931¾ (loesch)ALDERSON IAN 117 8.00 31.60  
 
FE-4   08/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :462       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOUPER COP 2 1 23½ 21   1nk 11 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 54% 0.80 1.80 W
5  ASHCAR NELLIE 5 2 35½ 32½   3½ 21 (butti)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 4.50 14% 6.00 2.75 P
6  SIGNATURE RING 6 3 13½ 11   2nk 31¾ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 1.20  
4  MORE SAVVY 4 4 56 45½   43 49¼ (smith r)MAILHOT P 122 5.00 20.00  
3  NICOLE'S SONG 3 5 46 56   54 512¼ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 18.30 26.10  
1  EASY ACCESS 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 8.00 19.75  
 
FE-5   08/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GLINTINDADDYSEYE 6 4 31½ 21½   3.2 11 (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00 10.75  
8  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE 8 3 42 32   2nk 21 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 9% 10.60 3.25 P
9  GRAN SPIRITED 9 2 52¼ 42   4¼ 32¼ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 7% 12.90 7.20 S
3  SCAT FACTOR 3 7 73¾ 85¼   62¼ 42½ (jennings ali)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 6% 14.70 11.30  
4  BACK RIVER 4 6 62¼ 63¼   51¼ 52½ (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00 17.40  
5  LE GRAND GARCON 5 8 97¾ 97¾   94½ 62¾ (steer tom)KERR CHEYENNE 122 8.00 6.55  
1  FANNY M 1 5 11½ 11½   1nk 73¾ (simms )ALDERSON IAN 115 3.00 25% 3.10 8.60  
7  SO CALLED VACATION 7 1 21½ 52¼   72½ 83¾ (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.50 29% 2.40 5.35  
2  ITS JUST MONEY 2 9 85¾ 74¼   83 96½ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 3.20  
 
FE-6   08/18/2025 4620ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:14     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TURF AND SURF 6 8 814½ 712½   32½ 12 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.50 3.10  
4  EMERALD LAKE 4 7 511½ 410   22 22 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 6% 16.90 2.90 P
3  HOT OMELET 3 3 27 26   43½ 37½ (robillard jos)KERR CHEYENNE 115 12.00 7.25  
2  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN 2 4 410½ 511½   67½ 47½ (husban)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 4.20  
7  CHROME'S BIG BREAK 7 2 17 16   12 58 (crete pierr)RIVERA A 115 4.00 68% 0.50 3.50  
1  MENAGERIE 1 5 713 812¾   89 610¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 30.90  
8  GAMBLER'S POSE 8 6 612½ 611½   56½ 710½ (albu ken)NEWELL F 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
5  JULIE'S MIST 5 1 39½ 39   78 818 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.85  
SCR  FOOLISH GAMES               (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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