Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - October 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $12.40 $6.40 107%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RUNNING ARGUMENT 4 2 1½ 12   11 1¼ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
1  BRAZILIAN LEGACY 1 3 2½ 22   21 2¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 1.00 53% 0.90 0.70 P
5  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 5 1 32½ 33½   32 31½ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5.00  
3  GAMBLER'S POSE 3 4 42½ 45   44 410¾ (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.50 8.35  
2  GHOSTLY PERFECTION 2 5 53 58   56½ 511¾ (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 18% 4.50 4.15  
 
FE-2   10/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
See original race card.
:224 :47       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOLDEN SPRING 6 1 11 13½   13 11¼ (smith r)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 16.40  
1  SHES HOT TO TROT 1 3 56 46   23 21¼ (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 122 3.50 3.60  
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) 3 5 45½ 56½   33 32¼ (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 2.50 16% 5.10 4.60 S
2  MISTY POINT 2 2 34½ 35½   43¼ 43½ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 4.95  
5  SKY DIVINE 5 4 21 23½   54¼ 510½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.00 58% 0.70 1.10  
4  SILENT TRIBUTE 4 6 66 68   67¼ 611¾ (crook )ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 8.15  
 
FE-3   10/06/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:132     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WICKED MERCURY 6 3 43½ 41¾   12 12¼ (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 2.00 27% 2.80 0.55 W
3  MISS OZEGE 3 8 75¾ 62¾   22 22¼ (chudobiak gar)KERR CHEYENNE 115 2.50 33% 2.00 3.25 P
4  TAYLORMOON 4 2 87¼ 74¼   64 34¼ (mcmahon g)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 46.90  
2  MENAGERIE 2 1 65½ 84¾   74¼ 48¼ (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00 36.60  
9  SWEET SERENADE 9 4 1½ 2nk   32½ 59½ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 12.50  
8  ALBERTA BE MINE 8 5 2½ 1nk   43½ 611¾ (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 30.00 5% 19.00 20.55  
1  BORN TO BE GOOD 1 7 98¼ 96¾   85¼ 712¼ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 49.45  
7  INITTOWINIT 7 9 54½ 51¾   96¼ 813 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 12.60  
5  SOUPER COP 5 6 3½ 3.2   53½ 921¾ (rickman erin )ZENTENO EDGAR 124 5.00 17% 5.00 10.90  
SCR  AMERICAN OF COURSE               (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 5.00    
 
FE-4   10/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:134     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BINGO'S GRIND 3 7 79 72½   73¼ 11¾ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 6.40  
1  DADDY SEND MONEY 1 6 1nk 1nk   1nk 21¾ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 11% 8.40 3.35 P
2  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE 2 5 66 62½   3½ 31¾ (mcmahon willia)BYNOE DESEAN 122 8.00 7% 13.70 59.30 S
7  WOLF BEACH 7 2 4¼ 2nk   2nk 44¾ (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 6.00 4.95  
5  SPEEDY BULLEIT 5 1 3.2 3.2   41½ 57 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 59% 0.70 0.60  
6  BEST IN CLASS 6 3 5½ 52¼   52½ 610½ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 37.25  
4  MISS D'S PRIDE 4 4 2nk 4¼   62¾ 712 (keen howard)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 54.45  
 
FE-5   10/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DREAMING OF HOPE 5 2 1½ 1nk   11 15½ (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 2.50 46% 1.20 0.60 DQ↓3
4  GIVE ME THE BOOTS 4 3 2½ 2nk   21 25½ (morden ric)CAMPOS LUIS 122 1.80 2.85  
3  LINDA'S OPAL 3 4 55½ 45½   43½ 36¼ (neubau)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 9.90  
1  FANNY M 1 1 42 56   54 47½ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
2  GETTING AHEAD 2 5 3½ 34   33½ 59½ (rickman h)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 19% 4.40 5.10  
 
FE-6   10/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:134     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AUSSIE HYPER 5 5 75 65 63¼ 42½ 1¾ (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 6.00 7% 13.20 3.80 W
  (by HYPER out of AUSSIE AWAKENING by LONHRO (AUS))
8  LA RONDE 8 7 64½ 53½ 42 21 2¾ (rabste)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 26.40  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of EXECUTIVE ALLURE by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
7  FLAWLESS QUALITY 7 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 31¼ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 38% 1.70 2.05 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INTERNALLYFLAWLESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  ARCTIC VELOCITY 4 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 31½ 45¾ (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 29% 2.40 5.10  
  (by VOLATILE out of FOXY MEDAL by TAPIT)
1  DANISH COOKIE 1 1 31½ 32 31½ 53½ 57¼ (huarte frank)FORDE XAREL 115 3.00 3.25  
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of MONARCH RECOLETA by MONARCHOS)
9  DIXIE IS A BREEZE 9 8 98½ 910¼ 89¼ 811½ 612¼ (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 9.40  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIXIE AND A BREEZE by DIXIELAND BAND)
3  CA BAM 3 6 42½ 42 53 69 713½ (rabste)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.50 13.15  
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ONE SHOT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
2  ONE HELL OF A GIRL 2 3 53½ 77 77¾ 710 817¼ (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.45  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of DUBAI CALLING by E DUBAI)
10  REALLOVEISLUCKY 10 10 1010 1011¾ 910¾ 913 920¼ (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 53.30  
  (by ENTICED out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
6  ELLIE'S STAR 6 9 87½ 810 1015¾ 1020 1031¾ (mandalfino pa)KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00 ######  
  (by BILLY'S STAR out of SAVA RIVER by NIIGON)
SCR  BUTTERFLY BILLIE               (pion sylvain)SAMUEL L 120 8.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MILEHIGH BUTTERFLY by SKY MESA)
SCR  PAT'S HOLIDAY               (gordon clevelan)FORDE XAREL 115 4.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of AUNT PAT by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  SALMIAKKI               (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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