Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - October 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/3/2)-(3/6/5/1/8) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/6/5/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/6/5/1/8)-(5/1/2/4) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (3/6/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1/8)-(3/6/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1/8)-(3/6/5/1/8)-(3/6/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1/8)-(5/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1/8)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/2/1) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/4)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(5/2/1)-(7/4/5/2/10) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(7/4/5/2/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/4/5/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2/10)-(7/4/5/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2/10)-(7/4/5/2/10)-(7/4/5/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZILIAN LEGACY Sep22 Sep08 Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 1.00 53% 0.90    
2  GHOSTLY PERFECTION Sep09 Aug25 Jul25 Jul14 Jun19 (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 18% 4.50    
3  GAMBLER'S POSE Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.50    
4  RUNNING ARGUMENT Sep23 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul14 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 Jul14 Jun30 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
 
FE-2   10/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES HOT TO TROT Sep23 Sep08 Jul16 Jun16 Jun01 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 122 3.50    
2  MISTY POINT Sep23 Aug26 Aug12 Jul27 Jul14 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NIGHTSABER (GB) Sep30 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Aug04 (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
4  SILENT TRIBUTE Sep19 Aug31 Aug21 Aug07 Jul20 (crook )ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00    
5  SKY DIVINE Sep23 Sep15 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
6  GOLDEN SPRING Aug26 Aug12 Jul08 Jul01 Apr26 (smith r)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
 
FE-3   10/06/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN TO BE GOOD Sep23 Aug11 Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MENAGERIE Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00    
3  MISS OZEGE Sep15 Aug25 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (chudobiak gar)KERR CHEYENNE 115 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  TAYLORMOON Sep23 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 (mcmahon g)MAILHOT P 122 10.00    
5  SOUPER COP Aug18 Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (rickman erin )ZENTENO EDGAR 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
6  WICKED MERCURY Sep18 Aug21 Jul27 Jul05 Mar07 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
7  INITTOWINIT Sep09 Aug26 Jul14 Jul07 Jun20 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 6.00    
8  ALBERTA BE MINE Sep16 Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 Jul08 (willi)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  SWEET SERENADE Jul14 Jun03 Mar12 Feb06 Jan24 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
SCR  AMERICAN OF COURSE Sep08 Aug05 Mar22 Mar02 Jan17 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 5.00    
 
FE-4   10/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDY SEND MONEY Sep29 Aug23 Aug01 Jun22 Jun07 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 11% 8.40    
2  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 (mcmahon willia)BYNOE DESEAN 122 8.00 7% 13.70    
3  BINGO'S GRIND Aug17 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 May11 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
4  MISS D'S PRIDE Sep30 Sep08 Sep01 Aug05 Jul13 (keen howard)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPEEDY BULLEIT Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  BEST IN CLASS Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul07 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00    
7  WOLF BEACH Sep22 Sep15 Jul08 Jun10 May11 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 6.00    
 
FE-5   10/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANNY M Sep22 Sep11 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  GETTING AHEAD Sep09 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (rickman h)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  LINDA'S OPAL Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 Jun03 (neubau)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
4  GIVE ME THE BOOTS Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 (morden ric)CAMPOS LUIS 122 1.80    
5  DREAMING OF HOPE Sep01 Aug11 Jul07 Dec14 Nov15 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
FE-6   10/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANISH COOKIE Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 (huarte frank)FORDE XAREL 115 3.00    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of MONARCH RECOLETA by MONARCHOS)
2  ONE HELL OF A GIRL Sep02 Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of DUBAI CALLING by E DUBAI)
3  CA BAM Sep02 Jul27 Jul08 Jun07 May18 (rabste)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.50    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ONE SHOT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  ARCTIC VELOCITY Sep08 Aug30 Jul12 Jun21 Sep14 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 29% 2.40    
  (by VOLATILE out of FOXY MEDAL by TAPIT)
5  AUSSIE HYPER Sep25 Sep02 Aug15 Jul13 Jul01 (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
  (by HYPER out of AUSSIE AWAKENING by LONHRO (AUS))
6  ELLIE'S STAR Sep22         (mandalfino pa)KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00    
  (by BILLY'S STAR out of SAVA RIVER by NIIGON)
7  FLAWLESS QUALITY Sep08 Aug25 Oct14 Jun15 May03 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INTERNALLYFLAWLESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  LA RONDE Aug25 Aug09 Jul03 Jun01   (rabste)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of EXECUTIVE ALLURE by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
9  DIXIE IS A BREEZE Sep13 Jun21       (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DIXIE AND A BREEZE by DIXIELAND BAND)
10  REALLOVEISLUCKY Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 (newla)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
SCR  BUTTERFLY BILLIE Sep11 Aug25 Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 (pion sylvain)SAMUEL L 120 8.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MILEHIGH BUTTERFLY by SKY MESA)
SCR  PAT'S HOLIDAY Sep25 Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (gordon clevelan)FORDE XAREL 115 4.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of AUNT PAT by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  SALMIAKKI Sep22 Aug29 Jul12 May31 Dec14 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.