Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - October 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/8)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/8)-(1/3/6)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/4/2)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/6/5)-(6/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(6/1/3)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(4/6/5)-(3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/2)-(7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   10/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVES OF LIBERTY Sep12 Aug19 Jul01 Jun10 May27 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 117 4.00 23% 3.40    
COMPUTE THIS Oct02 Dec23 Dec04 Nov04 Sep03 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 13% 6.60    
LADY FORTUNE Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Jul08 Jun02 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 121 12.00    
COMPLEXITY GIRL Oct02 Sep01 Aug21 Jul02 Jun23 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 15.00    
COLORYOUREGGS Sep25 Sep03 Aug19 Jun27 Jun10 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  AMY'S STAR Oct03 Sep16 Aug27 Aug07 Jul16 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
JEMEL Sep23 Sep01 Aug21 Jul07 Jun21 (rettel)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00    
TIERNEY Sep26 Sep19 Aug27 Aug11 Jun21 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 6% 16.20    
MY KINDA PARTY Sep01 Aug11 Jun23 Jun03 Apr10 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00    
 
TDN-2   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOWY Sep25 Aug29 Jun21 Jun06 May03 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
AL'S ROMEO Sep22 Aug29 Aug08 Jul19 May01 (puhl kim)PARKER L 119 4.00    
GUNNER GABRIEL Sep22 Aug28 Aug14 Jun30 Jun03 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
POWERFUL MOON Sep22 Jun07 Sep19 Sep03 Aug12 (ray kevin)MARTINEZ L 119 12.00    
THUNDERIAN Sep19 Sep01 Aug18 Jul08 Jun09 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00    
CHOCTAW ZIP Sep22 Aug28 Aug14 Jun30 May27 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   10/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF THE NITE Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 Aug07 Jun30 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 44% 1.20    
STAR SHOPPING Sep24 Sep10 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
FOOD FOODIE Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Jul08 Jun12 (sondej amy)PEREZ A 119 5.00    
SUDDEN SHIFT Sep22 Sep02 Aug07 Jun09 Oct26 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.60 19% 4.30    
ANDY CANT Sep24 Sep03 Aug10 Jun11 May27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
OILER Sep24 Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jun30 (faulkner rodn)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Oct01 Sep18 Aug14 Jul16 Jun26 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
OHIO STRONG Sep23 Sep11 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 (rettel)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
STORMED OUT Nov21 Nov07 Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00    
BAD BOY BOOGIE Sep18 Aug27 Jun26 Jun04 May13 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
RADIO SILENT Sep18 Aug14 Jul30 May20 Apr29 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDSTRIKER Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 May27 Apr29 (morales m)PEREZ A 119 12.00 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-5   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MSHINDI Sep23 Aug29 Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Sep17 Sep03 Aug07 Jun17 May22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
BIG POPPER Sep09 Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
AULD LANGE SYNE Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Aug07 Jul09 (sondej)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
VINCENZINO Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Jun18 May27 (castillo jabd)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
SHIVAREE (GB) Sep24 Sep09 Aug03 Jul21 Jun21 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  OUTKISSED Sep27 Aug13 Jun16 Jun04 Mar01 (an)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-6   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Sep16 Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Jan29 (ju)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 15.00    
MOMMA K'S BOY Sep30 Sep04 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00    
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Sep30 Sep11 Aug06 Jun12 May22 (tumblin an)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
EAGLE NEST Aug04 Jun30 May03 Mar19 Jan23 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
PAINT THE TOWN Sep11 May26 Apr09 Feb27 Feb03 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CLEAN MACHINE Sep11 Aug20 Jul03 Sep05 Aug10 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 117 3.00 9% 10.70    
 
TDN-7   10/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINALLY FRIDAY Sep15 Aug21 Aug07 May17 Apr30 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
KNOCK WOOD Oct03 Sep03 May26 Apr09 Mar25 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
RONNIS SECOND WIND Sep25 Aug29 Jul18 Jun25 Jan15 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 65% 0.50    
BLUE NOMORE Sep22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul14 Jun23 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 119 3.50    
ROLLIN MY WAY Sep12 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 (gonzalez r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
ED'S REWARD Sep04 Aug01 Jun21 Jun06 May09 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 117 1.60    
 
TDN-8   10/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOP OF HENLE Sep16 Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 Jun22 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 6.00    
TO MUCH STYLE Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 (morales m)PEREZ A 115 5.00    
GEEGEE'S STORY Sep29 Sep15 Jun29 May18 Apr10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
ENDLESS FASHION Sep17 Aug29 Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
MIRAGE CODE Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jun05 Apr29 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
FREEDOM PRINCESS Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 (morales sa)SMITH DIOGDINABI 115 15.00    
CHAPTER AND VERSE Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jun21 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 54% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.