Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5)-(3/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/5)-(1/5/4/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/5)-(1/5/4/10/8)-(5/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/5/4/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/10/8)-(1/5/4/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/10/8)-(1/5/4/10/8)-(1/5/4/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/4/10/8)-(5/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/10/8)-(5/6/2)-(3/5/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/5/4)-(7/6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(7/6/2/1)-(1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/1)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/1)-(1/3/2)-(2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Necklace Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST RUNNIN Sep02         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 8.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of NEW YORK GEM by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  HER OWN SHADOW Sep19 Aug16       (smith larry)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SUNNY EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  DUNN'S RIVER Sep19 Aug14 Jul17 Jun17   (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
4  MISS LORA ANN Sep27 Sep10 Aug16     (orantes y)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 15.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
5  STRIKING LADY Sep22 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 Jul17 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  KERKYRA Sep27 Sep19 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 10.00    
  (by CORFU out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
7  PERFECT ANGEL Sep30 Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 Jul17 (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by CISCO ROAD out of ABSOLUTE DELIGHT by BABY SLEWY)
8  DYNAMIC VISION Sep19 Aug14 Jul18 Jun25   (cline c)MCKEE J 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by DYNAFORMER out of INSIGHT TO HOPE by COPELAN)
9  SPUN IN DOMINUS Sep10 Aug25       (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118 6.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of SPUN IN ARTEMUS by HARD SPUN)
 
TDN-2   10/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO PRIMO Sep23 Aug29 Jan08 Dec19 Dec05 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  SUSIE'S KID Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul03 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50    
3  SPIRIT OF AKRON Sep23 Sep11 Aug19 Aug06 Jun30 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 4.00    
4  CAVALETTO Sep18 Aug27 Jul16 Jun26 May03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  GAPPER Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 Jul01 Jun12 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 15.00 20% 3.90    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Sep18 Aug28 Jul17 Jun17 Apr22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
7  WORTHY OPPONENT Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 Nov13 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
8  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Sep18 Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Jun25 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  HOTROD BOBBY Aug27 Jul03 May03 Apr03 Mar22 (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
10  CONDEMNATION Aug27 Aug12 Jun25 Jun04 May26 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 6% 14.80    
 
TDN-3   10/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRADITION Sep19 Aug03 Jun21 May27 May03 (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 8.00    
2  GUT INSTINCT Sep15 May27 May06 Mar01 Jan23 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOHEMIAN STYLE Sep23 Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
4  ROYAL SPIRIT Sep04 Aug18 Jun01 Apr19 Mar02 (reed r)MCKEE J 119 3.50    
5  BRICK AMBUSH Aug18 Jul08 Jun09 May03 Apr05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.60 66% 0.50    
6  ALL MY LIFE Sep30 Sep11 Mar22 Feb28 Dec12 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00 8% 12.10    
 
TDN-4   10/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING PHOENIX Sep10 Aug25       (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60    
SCR  LATE FOR A DATE Sep10         (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
3  MAAM CROSS Sep25 Dec27       (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
4  RUBY RIVER Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 Jul04 Jun21 (sondej)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 8% 11.80    
5  SHADY NIGHTS Sep25 Sep04 Aug14 Jul17 Jun09 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  ESTRELLA DE MAR Sep25 Jul25 Jun25 Jun05   (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   10/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAYBACK MOBIL Sep25 Sep01 Aug13 Jul14 Jun21 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIXIE'S MEMORY Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 Jul09 Jun21 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 117 5.00 15% 5.70    
3  LIVE A LITTLE Sep18 Dec19 Nov27 Oct10 Sep20 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 15.00    
4  SADIE'S GHOST Sep15 Aug29 May14 Apr29 Oct28 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 117 10.00    
5  STRIKE PLATE Sep18 Sep03 Aug18 Aug11 Jun25 (langley joshua)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
6  DRILL CITY Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 Jan09 Nov27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 115 3.00 19% 4.40    
7  OVID Jun26 Jun07 Apr30 Nov13   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  RIVER BYE Sep18 Sep03 Aug11 Jul07 Jun21 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
 
TDN-6   10/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SUZIE Q Feb10 Jan29 Dec23 Nov27 Nov05 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 Aug05 Jul28 (gonzalez donacian)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RENO TOUCH Aug20 Jun16 May26 Mar13 Jan28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
4  ELIKA Sep29 Feb06 Jan27 Jan08 Dec12 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
5  ROWDY DAISY Sep10 Aug26 Jul01 Jun09 May21 (canegata j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
6  THEE NEW BEGINNING Sep24 Sep08 Jun04 May14 Apr12 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   10/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK THE RED Sep05 Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80    
2  IMPROBABLE FIRST Sep12 Aug11 Jul02 Jun18 May13 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Jul08 Apr24 Apr07 Mar27 Feb28 (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TONIGHT Sep02 Aug13 Jul05 Jun22 Feb14 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 4.00    
5  CACIQUE ABARRIO Sep23 Sep12 Aug20 Aug11 Jun24 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
6  QUARANTINO Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul17 Nov30 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 123 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-8   10/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EILEEN'S DESPERADO Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Jun25   (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
2  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Sep15 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
3  TIZ RUDDY BEN Sep26 Sep17 Jul02 Dec06 Nov28 (skerrett jeffrey)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
4  ISLAND BOSS Sep17 Aug27 Aug04 Jul10 Jun25 (canegata jam)BERRIOS HECTOR 117 10.00    
5  MO SNOW Sep26 Jul01 May26 May11 Apr08 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
6  HEART OF AN ANGEL Sep17 Aug13 Aug05 Jul17 Jul02 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 13% 6.40    
7  PRINSIPITO Sep27 Sep08 Aug27 Aug13 Jul18 (quinones raul)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  STREETS OF WAR Sep26 Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 May03 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.