Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - October 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/3)-(4/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/3)-(4/2/1/5)-(3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(3/6/4)-(6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(6/1/2)-(5/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(5/3/4)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/2/6)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/2/4)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   10/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURKODANCER Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul01 Jun03 (langley joshua)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  HEZA PISTOL Sep03 Jul06 Jun19 May18 Jan09 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
WEEKEND RETREAT Sep25 Sep12 Jul17 Jun17 May29 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
RUN VINICIUS Aug28 Aug12 Jun20     (genoves)PILARES P 117 4.50 39% 1.60    
MOBIL MISSION Sep03 Aug11 Sep04 Aug15 Jul22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY'S PRIZE Aug28 Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May20 (baird michael)AVILES YAN 121 3.50    
BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Sep12 Sep04 Aug28 Aug12 Jul01 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00    
DUO Sep18 Sep03 Mar27 Mar03 Feb08 (winters m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  CURIOUS CORN Sep18         (jarvis kathy)BRACHO A 115 3.00    
 
TDN-2   10/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jun07 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 7% 13.60    
Z BOSS Sep15 Sep02 Aug04 Jun23 May29 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
CITIZEN Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jun20 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50    
DIVINE EMPIRE Aug20 Jul02 Jun12 May03 Apr09 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
DOMI Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Aug11 Jun18 (mahan p)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
PHOTO HOP Sep10 Aug21 Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
GREEWHIZ Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Aug11 Jun24 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   10/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO EVELYN Aug12         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of BUTTIE by ANGUS)
ONE MORE THING Sep18 Aug26 Aug12     (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 10.00    
  (by SEGOVIA out of CRAQUELURE by POWERSCOURT)
JILLY RUNS DEEP Sep02 Aug12       (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of JILLYBEAN by KETTLE CORN)
VICKY'S GIFT Feb26 Feb10       (sweeting craig)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
LAKETOWN ELLY Sep18 Jul03       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
  (by DRILL out of SAY HEY ELLY MAE by TOUCH GOLD)
DARK N DIRTY Sep18 Jun21 May27 Dec09   (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
 
TDN-4   10/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET TROUBLE Sep15 Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 Jul02 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 18% 4.40    
BOLDNESS Sep25 Jul21 Jul03 Jan17 Dec01 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00 18% 4.40    
ROUNDBALL ROCK Sep17 Sep09 Aug18 Aug03 Jul03 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
VINNY AND LEO Sep04 Aug18 Jul02 Jun12 Apr22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
STATESBORO Sep23 Sep11 Aug06 Jul10 Jul02 (winters m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 12.00    
ONLY GET'N BETTER Sep26 Sep03 Aug18 Jul08 Jun16 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-5   10/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL I'M NOT Sep17 Aug19 May26 May06 Apr09 (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 4.00    
MOBIL MEMORY Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 Jun07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
NEAR PERFECT Aug19 Jun25 Jun03 Dec19 Nov14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
MANDOLIN BREEZE Sep25 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 May27 (rettele )FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
EXPRESS FASHION Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 Jun25 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
SALUTE THE KID Sep25 Sep12 Aug11 Jun21 Jun03 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.00    
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Sep19 Sep08 Aug21 Oct01 Sep17 (lopez jacinto)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKING CHARGE DESI Aug13 Jul15 Jun23 Apr29 Mar22 (szczepans)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 2.50    
VITAEMI Oct23 Oct15 Oct01 Sep24 Jul03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 14% 6.20    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Sep01 Aug21 Aug08 Jun17 Jun04 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 123 6.00    
REMEMBER ME Jun26 May21 Apr29 Apr03 Mar22 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 123 3.50 58% 0.70    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE Sep10 Sep01 Aug21 Aug11 Jul14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Sep21 Aug28 Aug13 Jun10 May21 (urieta johann)TOLEDO S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   10/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINISTERE Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
GAMBOLING GHOST Sep12 Aug28 Aug20 May19 May06 (dacosta jason)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
RAMSEY Sep22 Sep09 Aug07 Jun18 Jun04 (castil)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
AURA OF GOLD Sep08 Aug18 Jul02 Jun10 May17 (madrigal rodri)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
THANKS FRANK Sep18 Jun24 Jun04 May17 Apr18 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jun19 Jun11 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
 
TDN-8   10/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINE Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jun18 May22 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 123 3.50    
NOT YET CHARLIE Sep08 Aug29 Jul16 Jun25 Nov18 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Sep03 Aug05 Mar22 Mar06 Feb03 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00 56% 0.80    
WILL E SUTTON Sep08 Jun19 May30 Oct10 Aug23 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
PITTSBURGH May26 Feb28 Jan24 Dec27 Sep26 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.00    
AGNELLO'S DREAM Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Jul10 Jun27 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 15.00 12% 7.20    
LEMON CREEK LOUIE Sep10 Jul05 Jun20 May24 Nov15 (canegata j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.