Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/5/6)-(5/2/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(5/2/7)-(5/3/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(5/3/4)-(2/1/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/1/3)-(5/8/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/8/7)-(9/1/4/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-6   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7)-(5/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/7)-(9/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (9/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/7)-(9/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/7)-(9/1/4/7)-(9/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Sep16 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 67% 0.50    
2  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Sep08 Sep01 Aug05 Jul14 Dec03 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
3  HOT OMELET Sep09 Aug18 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 (robillard jos)KERR CHEYENNE 114 8.00    
4  MISTER MESEEKS Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 Aug01 Jul14 (mitche)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.00 10% 8.80    
5  THELONIOUS Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 (concessi arman)BYNOE DESEAN 122 2.50    
6  LITTLE FIRE Sep23 Sep01 May13 May05 Dec01 (smith r)CRAWFORD J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   10/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SUNNY VALENTINE Aug29 Jun07 May03 Mar14 Jan11 (tharre)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50    
2  SILENT PASSION Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  SIGIRIYA Sep22 Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 Jul14 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.50    
4  RIFLING Sep23 Sep09 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 (mileni nick)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.50    
5  NICOLE'S SONG Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
6  MORE SAVVY Sep23 Sep08 Aug18 Nov06 Oct22 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   10/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIETY JOE Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jun23 (spada lauren)KERR CHEYENNE 119 4.00    
2  GUS'S GAMBLE Sep30 Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  STORMIN DAVE Sep30 Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 3.00    
4  BILL NEEDLE Sep23 Sep08 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00    
5  RESCUE THAT GIRL Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  BONGINO Sep02 Aug25 Aug12 Jun13 Oct31 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 3.50    
7  EXCEED Sep29 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 (roberts kristina)CRAWFORD J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   10/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RING IT UP Sep22 Sep01 Jul22 Sep30 Sep23 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
2  NOTYOURHUNNY Sep22 Sep02 Aug25 Aug04 Jul13 (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00    
3  BIG LADY Sep22         (maynard desmo)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  SOMEDAY GIRL Sep25 Nov28 Nov07 Oct19 Sep21 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
5  CRIMSON FOREST Sep22 Aug30       (smith kenneth)KERR CHEYENNE 113 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  HYPER HOLIDAY Sep25 Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (gitte)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 5.00    
SCR  MAGNETIZE Sep23 Sep08 Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00    
 
FE-5   10/07/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST AND READY Sep01 Aug12 Jul27 Jul08 Jun13 (wills )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIATUS Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jun23 Oct15 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 69% 0.50    
3  YORKVILLE Sep01 Jul12 May31 May11 Mar05 (neigel tara)AEBLY FRASER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SCAT FACTOR Sep16 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul19 (jennings ali)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 2.50    
5  SUNRISE DRIVE Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Jul04 May23 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.00    
6  MORAL TURPITUDE Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 119 12.00    
SCR  RAPTURE BAY Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (krczmar ze)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 6.00    
 
FE-6   10/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTIAGO SALSA Sep16 Sep02 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 20.00    
SCR  MODDASSAH Sep26 Sep06 Aug07 Jul06 Jun13 (glenno)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50    
3  GRAN SPIRITED Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 Jun03 Aug17 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00    
SCR  FOREST WOODSMAN Sep15 Sep01 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50    
5  SCREEN LEGEND Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 47% 1.10    
6  ONTARIO HOLIDAY Sep23 Sep08 Aug26 Jul21 Jun24 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00    
7  PLAY THE DOTS Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOSTON BAY Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 (goldenberg ja)PINTO MELANIE 122 12.00 20% 4.00    
 
FE-7   10/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPERBACK HERO Sep16 Sep05 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ITS JUST MONEY Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00    
3  NICHIREN Sep23 Jul18 Jun13 Jan25 Jan15 (johnston marily)HOYTE JASON 122 20.00    
4  BIG TIME LOUIE Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun15 (agostino roy )KERR CHEYENNE 117 12.00 9% 10.30    
5  STAR SCHOLAR Sep22 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 8.00    
6  RYE'S MY GUY Sep15 Sep08 Aug25 Jul07 Jun23 (newland ge)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 5.00    
7  ALWAYS A WAY Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jun30 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COMMANDER JOE Sep02 Aug17 Jul07 Jun10 Nov28 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 117 2.50    
9  ERNIE'S MARTINI Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 May27 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.