Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/7/6)-(1/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(1/6/5)-(6/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(6/4/1)-(6/7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/7/3/5)-(2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/5)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/5)-(2/5/3)-(5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(5/3/2)-(7/1/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K KID Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 Jun04 May17 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
2  BRIGHTER DAY Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 May28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Aug26 Aug04 Jul03 Jun09 May08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
4  ROUNDBALL ROCK Sep09 Aug18 Aug03 Jul03 Jun12 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
5  SUPERWOLF Aug14 Jun21 Jun06 May09 Apr03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  PATRIARCHAL Jul09 Jun10 May29 May06 Apr09 (vecchio c)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00    
7  PRIVATE MOMENT Sep03 Aug14 Jul14 Jun23 May26 (hurley mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
SCR  SMALL FIELD Aug27 Aug17 Jun17 May26 Aug29 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
 
TDN-2   09/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'T TIZ MAX Sep08 Sep09 Jul29     (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
  (by MAGNIFICENT MAX out of TIZ OUR DREAM by TIZNOW)
2  GRITS N GRAVY Aug07 Jun21       (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by MANCINI (GB) out of GRITTY by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
3  EL FAITE Sep01 Aug12 Jul12 Jun20 May29 (genoves)PILARES P 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by FORT LARNED out of JUSTICEINACTION by FLASHBACK)
4  PLUM TUFF Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 4.00    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  BOLD WINDSOR         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of HELL'S A POPPIN by SLAM MY HEART)
6  RIVERS RUN FAST         (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGEL SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
7  GUESS IM JUST GOOD         (flores i)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CORFU out of LAVA FALLS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  MY FOR O ONE KAY Aug29 Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May14 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
TDN-3   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW CROWN Aug27 Aug13 May05 Feb12 Jan12 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  FIONA Aug18 Jul14 Jun18 May26 Sep05 (jackson r)PARKER L 119 3.50    
SCR  CALENDULA Jul09 Jun18 May19 Apr29 Apr06 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
4  GRACIE DANCE Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 Jun16 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 2.00    
5  FLASHY TOO Aug26 Aug06 Jul14 Jul03 Jun18 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PEARLINTHEROUGH Sep01 Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 May29 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL DECADENCE Aug20 Aug05 Jun03 May20 May04 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIZ RUDDY BEN Jul02 Dec06 Nov28 Nov09 Oct13 (skerrett jeffrey)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00    
SCR  GOLDEN AL Aug13 Jul17 Jul02 May13 Jan02 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 1.80    
4  HEART OF AN ANGEL Aug13 Aug05 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
5  ISLAND BOSS Aug27 Aug04 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 (canegata jam)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00    
6  QUARANTINO Sep02 Aug13 Jul17 Nov30 Nov09 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.00 61% 0.60    
 
TDN-5   09/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Sep03 Aug07 Jun17 May22 May05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
2  FATIH Aug26 Nov27 Sep15 Aug17 Aug04 (trevino g)PEREZ A 123 10.00    
3  MY GRASS IS BLUE Aug27 Aug08 Jul17 Jun11 Mar07 (west m)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  AGNELLO'S DREAM Sep09 Aug19 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
5  PRACTICAL MAN Aug29 Aug13 Jun30 Jun10 Oct02 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STAR WEAVER Aug26 Aug13 Jul09 Jun30 Jun11 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 28% 2.50    
7  POPPY'S PRIDE Sep09 Jul14 Jul07 Jun10 Apr23 (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-6   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAL'S TWINSTAR Aug28 Aug11 Jul01 Jun16 May06 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 5.00    
2  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Jun21 May07 Apr21 Dec03 Nov18 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
3  ROSETTA Aug28 Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  KISSING MEDALS Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun07 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
5  KETTLE KISS Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul16 Jun16 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
6  ANGEL I'M NOT Aug19 May26 May06 Apr09 Mar25 (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SO DIALED IN Sep04 Aug19 Aug04 Oct08 Sep11 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
2  MORE LOVE Aug19 Aug04 Jun12 Jan04 Nov13 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 6.00 12% 7.00    
3  ATKINS Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jul10 Jun26 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  SIMPLY VALID Aug28 Aug14 Jun30 Jun07 May13 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50    
5  MIGHTY LES Sep04 Aug21 Aug04 Jun26 Jan16 (castro a)PARKER L 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  SWEET AS SIN Sep04 Aug04 Jul02 Jun07 May17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
7  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Sep04 Aug18 Jun23 May27 Oct03 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00    
 
TDN-8   09/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO CHRIS         (romero a)JIMENEZ S 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by BIONDETTI out of SHE COULD BE GOOD by DAYLIGHT SAVINGS)
2  RICH ON THE RIVER         (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 15.00 22% 3.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
3  TRUTH N SOUL Aug12 Jul09 Jun12 Apr29 Aug31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
4  BANK ON FRANK Aug28 Aug12       (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
  (by POLISH NUMBERS out of HUSHLU by TSUNAMI SLEW)
5  TURKODANCER Aug28 Aug12 Jul01 Jun03 May26 (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
SCR  CURIOUS CORN         (jarvis kathy)PARKER L 119 4.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CURIOUS RUTH by LANGFUHR)
7  HEIDI N SEEK Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 Jun04 May22 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
8  COUPLE BEERS DEEP Aug29 Jun03 May14 Apr29 Nov13 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.