Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(4/2/5)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/5/1)-(3/6/5/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/6/5/4)-(1) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-4   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/4)-(1)-(2/5) 8 $0.20 $1.60 
FE-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/5)-(5/2/3/6) 8 $0.20 $1.60 
FE-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/2/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-7   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/4/3/6)-(5/2/4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOWBOYS SEQUEL Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jul08 Oct01 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  FRAC CITY Sep02 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 May27 (smith)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEEPING RED Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 May27   (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 66% 0.50    
4  REALLOVEISLUCKY Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun30 (county patrick)BYNOE DESEAN 117 1.60    
5  IM NOT LOST Aug12 Jul21 Jul04 Jun13   (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 4.00    
 
FE-2   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Aug04 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep10 (concessi arm)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00    
2  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 1.80 14% 6.30    
3  IMPERIAL STAR Sep02 Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun27 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00    
4  BEST IN CLASS Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  PANYARD TAP Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 May18 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 117 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
FE-3   09/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST BUSTED Sep07 Aug22       (pion sylvain)JONES SLADE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  COMETOTHEDARKSIDE Sep02 Aug18 Jul21 May30   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50 ★    
3  BOLSHOYE SPASIBO Sep02 Aug02 Jul11     (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 118 4.00    
4  CALLING HOME Aug18 Jul25 Jun20 May25 Dec13 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 118 2.00 65% 0.50    
5  ONE SMOOTH STONE Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun15 May30 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MONSTER MACHINE Aug23 Jul25       (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
7  LAST RIDE Sep02 Aug07 Jun26 Jun01 May11 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 118 6.00    
 
FE-4   09/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES POWER Jul18 Nov02 Sep04 Aug07 Jun12 (begg b)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 8.00    
2  HE'S FULLY LOADED Sep02 Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 May27 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 20.00    
3  MAMBA ON THREE Aug30 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (krczmar zelko)JONES SLADE 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
4  WET AND WILD Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 Jul08 (capi l)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NAMEOFTHEGAME Sep08 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Jun15 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BELLA FUTURE Aug12 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 May29 (mile)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  FOREST BUZZ Aug26 Jul25 Jun29 Jun07 Dec15 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00    
8  SMALL TALK Aug23 Jul25 Jun27 Oct13 Oct04 (callaghan kelly)CALLAGHAN S 122 2.00    
 
FE-5   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 May18 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 45% 1.20    
2  PAPERBACK HERO Sep05 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 ★    
3  HALF TO RELOAD Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 Jul13 Jun23 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 1.80 ★    
4  ALWAYS A WAY Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jun30 Jun10 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50    
5  ATTESTATION Aug25 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 May04 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.50    
 
FE-6   09/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNRISE DRIVE Sep01 Aug17 Jul04 May23 May03 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.50 ★    
2  HIATUS Sep01 Aug12 Jun23 Oct15 Sep24 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 1.40 74% 0.40    
3  LE GRAND GARCON Sep02 Aug18 Aug05 Jul27 Jul07 (steer tom)SALLES LEO 124 3.00    
4  SCAT FACTOR Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul19 Jun03 (jennings ali)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 4.50    
5  SANTIAGO SALSA Sep02 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-7   09/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL HUDSON Sep01 Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 May23 (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 10.00    
2  JACK THE CAT Sep01 Aug11 Jun15 Dec13 Nov22 (adamo )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  CUPID'S CLAWS Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun15 May27 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WILBERFORCE Sep01 Aug22 Aug03 Jun29 Jun15 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00 ★    
5  TOO MUCH TALK Aug26 Sep08 Aug25 Jul20 Jun27 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
6  THELONIOUS Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 (concessi arma)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALBERTA BE MINE Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 Jul08 Jun20 (willi)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 12.00    
8  GUS'S GAMBLE Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00    
9  SOCIETY JOE Sep01 Aug12 Jun23 Oct25 Oct15 (spa)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.