Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Friday - September 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST N JACK Aug30 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 May30 (jensen mark)CARRENO J 124 4.00    
2  GRAN CHICO Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
3  ARIZONA STEPHEN Aug22 Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 Jun22 (kemper ka)IRONEYES R 124 5.00 12% 7.50    
4  T J MAGIC Aug29 Jul20 Jul06 May24 May18 (jensen mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCE OTTO Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jul06 Jun07 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-2   09/12/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCOLATE WASTED         (rushton stets)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
  (by ROWAYTON out of EXTREME CAUTION by VALUE PLUS)
2  TAVS SAND DRAKE Aug15 Jul12       (jensen mark)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MISS DRAKE by AFLEET ALEX)
3  SCAPPY JO Aug31 Jul12       (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of KIT KAT JO by JOHANNESBURG)
4  WIZARD'S MOON Aug15         (jensen mark)CARRENO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOON ECLIPSE out of SHE'S THE BOSS by STREET BOSS)
5  MY DREAM ZAPPER Aug18 Aug03       (rushton stetson)DELORME L 120 2.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SINCERITY by MUCHO MACHO MAN)
 
ARP-3   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREAM PUFF REAPER Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 May26 May11 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  MISTY MOOD Aug20 Apr17 Mar28 Feb14 Feb02 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
3  SARAH'S COURT Jul12 Jul06 Jun06 May30 May23 (rushton temple)DELORME L 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  FLO TIME Jul27 Nov03 Oct13 Sep20 Jul21 (martinez a)RAMOS B 121 2.00    
 
ARP-4   09/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUGHTY WORDS Sep29         (kemper kerry)CARRENO J 120 6.00    
  (by EAGLE out of CHERRY PICKER by CAPE BLANCO)
2  KING OF SWING Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 Sep13 Aug17 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 2.50 71% 0.40    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SHE'S GIFTED by FLATTER)
3  SHOOTIN' DICE Aug29 Jul27 Jul05     (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAND MINSTREL out of JILLS SUMMER RAINE by YONAGUSKA)
4  ROMANS WORD Jul06 Jun15 May25 Apr25 Apr12 (rushton stets)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of FINAL WORD by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
 
ARP-5   09/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE Aug17 Jul14 Jun27 Jun09 May23 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  MAYA D Jul26 Jan06 Dec19 Nov17 Oct19 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 4.50    
3  HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH Aug02 Jul19 Jul13 Jun15 Jun07 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  SOUTHERN SPEIGHT Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 5.00 8% 11.00    
5  SPREAD THE RISK Aug22 Jun28 May30 Apr29 Apr06 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.