Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Wednesday - September 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2)-(7/5/2)-(5/1/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/10/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/2)-(5/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/2)-(5/10/1)-(8/6/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (5/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/1)-(5/10/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/10/1)-(5/10/1)-(5/10/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/10/1)-(8/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/10/1)-(8/6/5/7)-(6/4/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (8/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/7)-(8/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/7)-(8/6/5/7)-(8/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/7)-(6/4/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/7)-(6/4/5/9)-(6/7/4/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-6   WIN (6/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9)-(6/4/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/9)-(6/7/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/9)-(6/7/4/9)-(5/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/9)-(6/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/9)-(6/7/4/9)-(6/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/9)-(5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-8   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/3/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/3/4/6/8)-(5/3/4/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   09/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEKOMASAN         (weaver george)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by VEKOMA out of MAMASAN by FIRST SAMURAI)
COCO NO LOCO Sep03 Aug02 Jul18     (galligan ge)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CLASSY COCO by NOT FOR LOVE)
STONE COLD JONES Aug08 Jul18       (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of INSTRUMENTAL by ADVOCATOR)
PLAY IT COOL Aug20         (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DOUBLE FIRST by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
DYNACITO Aug20         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
BLACK JACK SHELLAC         (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALEK (CHI) out of TIANNA ROAD by CHEROKEE RUN)
SHAKIN MY HEAD Jul30         (brion keri)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
  (by BLOFELD out of TILAKA by CAL NATION)
 
CNL-2   09/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYALTIES RICHES Aug16 Jul26       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SWEET FORTUNE by CANDY RIDE)
STANDUP TRIPLE         (stuart shea)CENTENO E 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGH NORTH out of TRIPLE O' FIVE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SEA ZEST Jun27         (colebrook ben)JARAMILLO E 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SEA SHADOW by JUMP START)
LUV YOUR NEIGHBOR         (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DISOBEDIENT by INTO MISCHIEF)
P. O. S. H. POSH Aug23         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 5.00 19% 4.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
HONOR OUR COUNTRY Jul31         (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ISOTOPE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
PROSECCO RITA         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.00 27% 2.60    
  (by YAUPON out of AGAVE KISS by LION HEART)
 
CNL-3   09/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADAME MARKIEVICZ Jul25 Oct07 Sep21     (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
CLASS AND SASS Jul12         (durr cody)HAMILTON WESTON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALWAYS A RYE Aug30 Mar09 Oct29     (hester leann)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
DARK WIND Aug13 Jul17       (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 121 30.00    
SLANDEROUS Aug15 Jul25 Sep07 Aug30 Aug13 (mccutchen jason)CURTIS BEN 121 1.40 35% 1.90    
ANNA JEAN Aug29 Jul31 Jun07 May03 Apr25 (gardea a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 20.00    
IDES OF DEMARCH Aug15 Jul09       (cruz jesus)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 3.00    
IRISH B GOODE Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 Jun08 Apr11 (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 4.50    
 
CNL-4   09/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOHANDSOMETOME         (godsey kare)HAMILTON WESTON 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BASIN out of SOBEAUTIFULTOME by POLLARD'S VISION)
MY BROTHERS ANGEL         (farrior anth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 5.00    
  (by TACITUS out of APPLE CIDER by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  LITTLE BOSS MAN         (payne be)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SMALL AXE by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  TOCIK HALL         (stites w)RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of FLOATING DREAM by GHOSTZAPPER)
KARATE ISLAND Aug23 Jul30       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of STOLEN SUNDAY by HAT TRICK)
DAUNTED Aug08 Jul16       (caramori caio)CURTIS BEN 119 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of OUR MARIA CELESTE by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  FEISTY NOTION Sep01 Jul30       (williams gary)KARAMANOS A 119 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MY LITTLE JOSIE by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  THIS IS THE LIFE Aug20 Aug02 Jul18     (jones michael)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 30.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of QUEEN'S FATE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
JEWELL'S INDENIAL         (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of JEWELL'S SONG by UNCAPTURED)
10  JIGGER Aug20 Jul30 Jul11     (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of FULLERENE by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  SHIFTHEWIND Jul10         (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of SHIFRA MAGICIAN by STREET MAGICIAN)
 
CNL-5   09/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREESTANDING Jun22 May03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep20 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 4.50    
LOVIELEE Jul17 May04 Apr12 Mar22 Mar05 (gardea abraham)MORENO ANGEL 118 30.00    
FEDERAL EXCHANGE Aug27 Aug01 Jul10 Jun22 Jun05 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 121 30.00    
HOLD UP Aug14 Jul11 May30 Dec07 Oct31 (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00    
BORLETTI (IRE) Aug27 Aug01 Jun29 Jun06 May03 (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
ENAHM Aug16 Jul16 Jun12 May03 Aug15 (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
AMERICAN WIND Aug28 Aug06 Jul12 Jun07 May02 (ochoa gerard)JARAMILLO E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TURBULENT FORCE Aug02 May17 Apr06 Mar22 Jan09 (weaver george)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  STREET ROCKIN Aug27 Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 Jun19 (ashby lynn)HAMILTON WESTON 121 10.00    
 
CNL-6   09/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEN WHAT TIME Aug28 Aug07 Jul17 May10 Apr26 (duarte jr)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00    
RUNNER EYES Aug09 Jul16 Oct10 Aug23   (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
HOPE'S ALIVE Aug07 Jul16 Jun14 May26 Apr12 (kelly blake)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
TWAIN (IRE) Aug23 Jul31 Jun14 May17 Apr19 (meyers madi)HAMILTON WESTON 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
WHENEVERUREMEMBER Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 May23 Aug31 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
KING COVEE Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun12 May02 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  DAN D'ORO Aug30 Aug06 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
MR. KEYS Aug20 Feb23       (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50    
MOTION GRANTED Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 Jun20 May31 (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-7   09/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Aug16 Jul18 Jan28 Jan03 Nov27 (payne beale)CURTIS BEN 123 6.00    
S S SINATRA Aug16 Jul30 Jun21 Jun01 May17 (hohlbein )SCAMPTON BRITTANY 121 30.00    
SCR  BATI KING Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 May23 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 121 30.00    
TWO EAGLES RIVER Aug09 Jul03 May23 May01 Apr19 (blair jor)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
SLAM NOTION Jul30 Jul12 May17 Mar30 Mar07 (bailes robe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
CON COMPANIA (CHI) Aug02 Jun13 May01 Mar29 Mar02 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
BOUNCER Aug20 Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 Mar29 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  RADICAL RIGHT Aug16 Jul16 Jun29 Jun06 May17 (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 5.00    
REAL MACHO Jul26 Jan31 Dec28 Sep21 Aug11 (crichton rohan )JARAMILLO E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOLIDAY PAY Jul31 Jul12 May04 Dec20 Nov09 (joseph a)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
 
CNL-8   09/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN IN THE DECK Aug29 Aug21 Jul17 May23 Apr12 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 8.00    
TERRIE T Aug20 Jul31 Jul16 Jun14 Apr25 (lusk r)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 4.50    
NICKY JOLENE Aug07 Jul04 Jun18 May28 Apr27 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 123 5.00    
ROCIO Aug29 Aug07 Jul16 May04 Mar21 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BELLA ESTRELA Aug02 Jul04 Jun06 May07 Mar11 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00 68% 0.50    
DITCHED Aug29 Jul31 Jul19 May23 Mar15 (joseph a)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50    
EMPIRE'S TREAT Aug09 Aug02 Jun01 May10 Apr27 (maldonado jonath)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00    
C. S. VIVACE Jun21 Apr27 Apr13 Mar14 Feb19 (baxter geor)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
STYLE AND PROFILE Aug16 Jun13 Jan25 Dec19 Oct25 (jones )ARAUJO VICENTE 123 15.00    
10  REPAYNT Aug29 Aug16 Jun19 May30 May02 (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.