Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Monday - September 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/6/5)-(1/4/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/4/3)-(6/3/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/3/2)-(1/4/2/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/4/2/6)-(4/3/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/6)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/6)-(4/3/6)-(7/8/3/5/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(7/8/3/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-7   WIN (7/8/3/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5/6)-(7/8/3/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5/6)-(7/8/3/5/6)-(7/8/3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   09/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAZILIAN LEGACY Aug15 Jul24 Jul03 Oct31 Dec14 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.50    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of BRAZILIAN MAMA by SIPHON (BRZ))
FLAWLESS QUALITY Aug25 Oct14 Jun15 May03   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INTERNALLYFLAWLESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MISS SINGH ANGEL Aug25 Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 (concessi armand)MAILHOT P 122 5.00    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
FROMTHEWONDERLAND Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 Jun12   (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of NO WONDER by THREE WONDERS)
ARCTIC VELOCITY Aug30 Jul12 Jun21 Sep14 Aug24 (lepiane paul)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of FOXY MEDAL by TAPIT)
 
FE-2   09/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNETIZE Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Dec06 (loes)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
COUNTRY DOLLY Aug29 Aug09 Jul17     (crete pierre)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50    
KOZY BABE Aug25 Aug09 Jul03 Jun05 May18 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
ONE MORE DOLL Aug15 Jul24 Jul06 Dec14 Nov30 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
I TRULY BELIEVE Sep02 Aug11       (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUGAR DROP Aug25 Jul22 Jul08 Jul01 Jun15 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
FE-3   09/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONTARIO HOLIDAY Aug26 Jul21 Jun24 Jun13 May18 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
SQUEEZETHESHARMAN Jul01 Jun16 May27 Apr27 Dec02 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50    
CANADIAN DADDY Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 Dec13 Nov21 (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISS D'S PRIDE Sep01 Aug05 Jul13 Jul08 Jun10 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKO Aug17 Aug12 Jul21 Jan27 Jan02 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.00    
BLACKHILLSHERRIFF Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 May23 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 3.00    
 
FE-4   09/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED QUESTION Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 Oct14 Sep30 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 124 12.00    
SIGNATURE RING Aug18 Jul07 Jun10 Oct31 Oct14 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ASHCAR NELLIE Aug18 Aug05 Jul08 Jul01 May27 (butti)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 3.00 7% 12.80    
LEGS LIKE FLATTER Aug26 Aug11 Jul03 Jun21 May24 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50    
MORE SAVVY Aug18 Nov06 Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 (smith r)MAILHOT P 122 10.00    
AMERICAN OF COURSE Aug05 Mar22 Mar02 Jan17 Dec26 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 1.60 68% 0.50    
 
FE-5   09/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE IS ESSA Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
OK SPEEDY Aug05 Jul27 Jun27 Jun08 May30 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
NAMEOFTHEGAME Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.50    
HALF TO RELOAD Aug26 Aug12 Jul13 Jun23 Oct22 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 5.00 19% 4.10    
HEAT MERCHANT Aug25 Aug10 Jul25 Jun26 May31 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 122 6.00    
WET AND WILD Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 Jul08 Jun27 (capi l)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RYE'S MY GUY Aug25 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 Dec14 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 124 12.00    
 
FE-6   09/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELANA Aug22 Aug04 Jul10 Jun21 May29 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 10.00    
SILENT PASSION Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 2.50    
LAST GLIMMER Aug26 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NIGHTSABER (GB) Aug26 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (bailey)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.50 69% 0.50    
PORSHAS RUN Aug25 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Dec06 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 4.00    
BAMBOO'S BABE Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCARY BOO Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Jun14 May16 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.50    
LET'S BE FIRST Aug22 Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 May16 (mattine michae)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 12.00    
 
FE-7   09/08/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUS'S GAMBLE Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 Jun23 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00    
REDOUTE'S LIGHT Sep01 Aug05 Jul14 Dec03 Oct22 (smith )ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00    
DOT'S VISION Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
BOSTON BAY Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 Jul13 Jun23 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
BILL NEEDLE Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun23 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCE FOR A DAY Aug26 Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 Oct07 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
STORMIN DAVE Aug25 Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 May11 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
DRAGON'S BREW Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 Dec01 (agosti)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
HARDWARE GAP Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 Nov08 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
SCR  FASCINATION STREET Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.