Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/2/3)-(2/5/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/5/3)-(5/7/2/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/1/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-4   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/3)-(5/1/6)-(7/2/4/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-5   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER JOE Aug17 Jul07 Jun10 Nov28 Nov03 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 3.50    
2  ERNIE'S MARTINI Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 May27 May04 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00 73% 0.40    
3  THELONIOUS Aug11 Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 Oct21 (conces)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50    
4  SPRING MOUNTAIN Aug05 Jun13 Dec15 Nov22 Nov01 (spada lauren)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 ★    
5  HE'S FULLY LOADED Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 May27 Nov08 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   09/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO CALLED VACATION Aug18 Jul25 Jul07 Jun20 May25 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  MEDAGLIA FOREVER Aug12 Jul27 Aug19 Nov19 Oct22 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 121 1.40 21% 3.70    
3  HAPPY QUAD Aug17 Jun27 Jun08 May17 Dec13 (williams noel )BYNOE DESEAN 122 6.00 8% 11.00    
4  SANTIAGO SALSA Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00    
5  LE GRAND GARCON Aug18 Aug05 Jul27 Jul07 Oct22 (steer tom)SALLES LEO 122 3.00    
 
FE-3   09/02/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLETTA Aug04 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of POST HOUSE by BERNSTEIN)
2  SKY DIVINE Aug07 Jul17 Sep01 Aug18 Dec09 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by SKY MESA out of CONSULTING by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
3  NOTYOURHUNNY Aug25 Aug04 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of WILD HONEY by OLD FORESTER)
4  PRINCESS O DENMARK Aug04 Jun03 Oct14 Oct03 Sep05 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of QUEEN OF THE BAY by PAYNES BAY)
5  PERFECTFOREVERTOWN         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PERFECT FOREVER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
FE-4   09/02/2025 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS IS GLORIA Aug15 Jul10 Jun19 May18   (carey julia)KERR CHEYENNE 115 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of ECHO BRAVO by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  CA BAM Jul27 Jul08 Jun07 May18 Nov30 (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of ONE SHOT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
3  ONE HELL OF A GIRL Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of DUBAI CALLING by E DUBAI)
4  MAGNETIZE Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Dec06 Nov22 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00    
  (by RELOAD out of GRACE ON THE RUN by ISKANDAR ELAKBAR)
5  HEBRIDEAN MISS Aug04 Jul24 Jun29     (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of GOOD AS GOLD by PETIONVILLE)
6  I TRULY BELIEVE Aug11         (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of TRUE TO ME by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  AUSSIE HYPER Aug15 Jul13 Jul01     (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by HYPER out of AUSSIE AWAKENING by LONHRO (AUS))
 
FE-5   09/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOWBOYS SEQUEL Aug12 Jul21 Jul08 Oct01 Sep10 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  COMETOTHEDARKSIDE Aug18 Jul21 May30     (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 5.00    
3  FRAC CITY Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 May27 Aug13 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
4  BOLSHOYE SPASIBO Aug02 Jul11       (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 8.00    
5  LAST RIDE Aug07 Jun26 Jun01 May11 Dec15 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JO JAGR Jul25 Jun27 Jun13     (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.50    
 
FE-6   09/02/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFOGGER Aug12 Aug05 Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY IN JAIL Aug17 Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 Dec06 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  RESCUE THAT GIRL Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 Oct01 May31 (cath)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
4  BONGINO Aug25 Aug12 Jun13 Oct31 Sep27 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
5  IMPERIAL STAR Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun27 Jun13 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
6  ROOKIE RADAR Aug25 Aug05 Jul27 Jul11 Jun26 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED SNEAKERS Aug17 Aug01 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.