Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Monday - September 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/7/4/6)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6)-(5/2/3)-(4/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(4/7/6)-(2/3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(2/3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2)-(7/5/8/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(7/5/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/2)-(7/5/8/9)-(8/2/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-7   WIN (7/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/9)-(7/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/9)-(7/5/8/9)-(7/5/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/9)-(8/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-8   WIN (8/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   09/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOST         (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
WICKEDWITHBOURBON Aug06 Jul31 Jul09 Jun25   (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 119 1.00 41% 1.50    
GLANCING MY WAY Jul18         (girten tim)CENTENO E 119 5.00    
FELIX'S FLOWER Jul09         (caramori ed)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00    
ONLY MARIA Jul18         (mcmahon tho)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 8.00 13% 6.60    
DIP FANTASIA Aug06 Jul09       (colebrook)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
 
CNL-2   09/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CE LA VI CHARLI Aug06 Jun12 May22 Mar01 Feb09 (blair jor)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
MR FLOWERS Jul30 Jul17 May17 Oct18 Sep19 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
OISHI Jul12 Jun29 Apr19 Mar19 Feb19 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
CURAHEE Jun15 May17 Mar01 Jan25 Dec26 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 10% 8.90    
QUIZLER Jul19 Jun28 May31 Apr04 Mar07 (breen j)RUIZ JORGE 118 3.50    
DEADPAN Aug09 Jul18 May24 Apr06 Mar15 (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAN GROUP Jun22 Feb15 Jan25 Dec14 Jun01 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 123 1.80 17% 4.80    
 
CNL-3   09/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN EXPECTATION Aug01 Jul17 Jun05 May04 Feb12 (hester leanne)RIQUELME J 122 5.00    
LOST RIVER Aug23 Jul16 Jun04 May11 Mar28 (flores ir)CARRASCO R 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
DREAM LEADER Aug20 Apr24 Mar27 Mar08 Mar01 (durr cody)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 15.00 8% 10.90    
BUGGED OUT Jun26 Jun12 May04 Mar26 Feb28 (gallegos a)PANICI LUCA 118 3.00    
CHUBLIN Jun28 Jun13 May16 Mar15 Jan14 (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
CAMEO Jul25 Apr30 Apr12 Feb26 Jan16 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 1.60    
 
CNL-4   09/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPREME GOOD (IRE) Aug16 Aug01       (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 2.00    
  (by SUPREMACY out of ENOUGHISGOODENOUGH by DARK ANGEL)
BLACK VOLT Aug15         (black ken)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWAYED by FREUD)
GRACE MET CUPID Aug07 Jul18       (ramos ben)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
  (by CUPID out of I'VE GOT GRACE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
BALA DE PLATA         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of TABULATION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FEISTY NOTION Jul30         (williams l)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MY LITTLE JOSIE by OUTFLANKER)
ELEOS Aug07 Jul18       (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 119 12.00 13% 6.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVERLY PLACE by AWESOME AGAIN)
RICHEZTOO Aug07 Jul18       (duffy sean)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 24% 3.10    
  (by SHANCELOT out of MADAME DUBOIS by COUNT DUBOIS)
SARATOGA SLACK         (desormeau)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CLOUD STRIKER by SMART STRIKE)
 
CNL-5   09/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUS TOO FLY Aug09 Jul06 Jun14 May25 Oct25 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 1.80    
EL TINMARIN Aug08 Jul11 Jun19 May16 Apr26 (lusk brian )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
MILA'S WISH Aug13 Dec07 Sep28 Aug10 May17 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 20% 4.10    
CAPTAIN EDDIE Aug08 Jul11 Feb08 Dec06   (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
ROBERT'S MOON Aug01 Jul10 Jun20 May26 Apr26 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
MACH TWO BLUE Jul30 Jun05 May22 Apr26 Mar15 (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
WAR HUMOR Jul18 Jun14 May16 Apr25 Jan24 (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 118 6.00    
ELON Jun28 May24 Apr26 Dec08 Nov01 (bentley f)BETANCOURT R 122 5.00    
SCR  TAKETHEFIFTH Aug08 Jul11 Jun08 May24 Mar01 (rubley k)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 10.00    
 
CNL-6   09/01/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($43.125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME PENNY Jul10 Jun05 May13 May05 Mar21 (caramori ed)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 12.00    
MISS SERAFINA Aug16 Aug02 Jul23 Jul04 May24 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIANE LEE Aug15 Jul23 Jun13 May10 Feb09 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
MISSY'S MAP Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 (sullivan e)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00 9% 9.70    
CAROLINA SUN Aug02 Jul19 May25 Nov30 Nov02 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 10.00 7% 14.30    
RESPECT THE LAW Aug02 Jul10 Jun04 May25 May10 (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00    
STEAM KNOT Aug02 Jun08 May10 May02 Nov09 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00    
SCR  GRANUAILE Jul23 Jun27 Jun15 May23 Apr25 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 121 4.00    
SET ABLAZE Aug15 Jun15 May25 Apr25 Mar14 (godsey kare)HAMILTON WESTON 118 12.00    
 
CNL-7   09/01/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAS ALLEY Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 May30 Jul18 (lauer michael)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
TWIRLING TROILLET Aug01 Jun20 May16 Apr29 Feb15 (blair jor)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  PAJARO Aug08 Jun27 May18     (gallegos a)PANICI LUCA 118 8.00    
PRIMED TO GO Jul17 Jun21 Jun08 May02 Nov09 (duarte jorg)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00    
NAPTOWN Aug15 Jul17 Jun27 May02 Mar01 (magana j)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
SAMBALOVER Jul10 Jun26 Apr25 Mar22 Oct09 (correas ignac)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
QUOKKA Aug15 Jul17 Jun12 Jan25 Dec28 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
LAZLO Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 Jan20 Dec01 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 4.50 10% 9.30    
THEMANUPFRONT Jul19 Jun21 Apr26 Mar30 Feb21 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00 5% 17.80    
 
CNL-8   09/01/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRECIOUS MEDLEY Jul16 Jun23 May17 Apr12 Mar07 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
SOPHIE'S CRUISER Jul12 Jun13 May21 Feb22 Jan25 (brinkman )HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  SHARMIN Aug21 Jul10 Jun15 May25 May11 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00    
GOOD ACCELEBRATE Aug02 Aug15 Jul13 Oct18 Sep21 (williams g)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Jul23 Nov29 Nov01 Oct26 Sep05 (saville niall)CENTENO E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
HALE BOP Aug22 Jul23 May21 Oct12 Sep05 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00    
HEAVEN'S PROMISE Aug06 Jul02 May28 Apr25 Apr10 (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
AMIE'S SYMPHONY Aug06 Jun27 Apr06 Mar17 Feb18 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 125 4.50 55% 0.80    
MISS AUTHENTIC Jul17 Jun04 May19 Apr06 Feb20 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00    
SCR  LIPAN LAW Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 May26 (ferraro ant)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00    
11  DEAD SEXY Nov17 Oct24 Oct03 Sep08 Aug17 (meyers madison)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.