Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (5/3/6/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/8/2)-(5/3/6/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/8/2)-(5/3/6/8/2)-(5/3/6/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/6/8/2)-(1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/8/2)-(1/3/2)-(6/7/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(6/7/5/3)-(5/1/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(5/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(5/1/4/2)-(4/2/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(4/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(4/2/5/7)-(4/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7)-(4/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/7)-(4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/7)-(4/8/1)-(7/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/1)-(7/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1)-(7/9/8)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/8)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8)-(5/4/3)-(1/10/3/2/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/10/3/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MTH-9   WIN (1/10/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/3/2/7)-(1/10/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/3/2/7)-(1/10/3/2/7)-(1/10/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/10/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTERN COMMAND Jul19 Jun22 Jun14 May26 Sep07 (cash j)MOYA F 119 8.00    
2  CHANGING THE KARMA Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Jul26 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 May26 (arriaga antonio)LEON SONNY 117 5.00 11% 8.00    
4  MATTY B GOOD Jul19 Jun22       (mazza joseph )JARA FERNANDO 123 12.00    
5  NITRO SPECIAL         (clark a)OLVER MADISON 119 6.00 46% 1.20    
6  AUTHENTIC KINGDOM Jan02 Nov24 Nov03 Oct12 Aug17 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 4.00 11% 8.40    
7  JOEVIA'S FIRST Jul19 Jun27 May25 May08 Aug25 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
8  BIG ERN MCCRACKEN Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 Jun21 Jun02 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50 8% 11.40    
9  CHILI BILLY Jul27         (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
 
MTH-2   08/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSPENT Jul27 Jun15 Jun01 Apr25 Apr05 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 117 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  CARA BLANCA Jun15 May17 Sep14 Aug25   (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ADA MAY Jul12 Apr24 Apr09 Mar13 Feb09 (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  S K MOON Jun01 Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (pantaleo j)MEJIAS A 111 10.00    
5  SHUDABEENACOWGIRL Jul14 Jul01 Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 (velazque)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 8.00    
SCR  GIANT'S AUDIBLE Jul13 Jun28 May24 May18 Apr21 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50    
7  CROSSATI Jul05 Jun07 May03 Apr23 Mar30 (plaza alberto)IORIO MELISSA 117 4.00    
 
MTH-3   08/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AINT NO JOKE Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 May24 Apr11 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
2  BAD LARRY Aug03 Jul03 Jun21 Jun08 May25 (jones eduardo)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00    
3  COME DREAM WITH ME Jun07 May11 Mar14 Feb21 Jan10 (ward dan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  VINI VIDI VICI (MEX) Jul08 May28 May07 Mar17 Feb26 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 121 15.00    
5  LEVEE WAS DRY Jul27 Jun21 May31 Apr25 Mar28 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 121 1.60 21% 3.70    
6  PRESSURE Jun12 Mar08 Jan19 Nov22 May25 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  CATIRE VIZCAYA May26 Apr25 Apr05 Feb23 Feb02 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-4   08/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN'S TURN Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 Jun01 May17 (ramirez ricar)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
2  T V MAN Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 May31 May11 (frangella jame)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING PUMA out of SUMMER STING by INTENSITY)
3  LECANTO Jul12 Jun28 May11 Nov12 Oct28 (marquez cesare)AGUILAR JEAN 123 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
4  LIVALISCIOUS Jun28 May31 May11 Aug25   (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 14% 6.10    
  (by WEST COAST out of WINILISCIOUS by LAWYER RON)
5  HAPPY OFFERING Jul12 Jun28 May31     (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by QURBAAN out of AFRAAH by HARD SPUN)
6  BET ON BETH Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 May26 May10 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 114 4.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of PADRINONEVERQUITS by EL PADRINO)
7  HURRICANE JERRY Jul12 Jul26       (schultz l)VARGAS A 119 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of TSUNAMI STRYKER by FAIRBANKS)
8  MIDNIGHT MILLIE Jul11 Jun07 May10 Sep14   (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 114 12.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of PURRFECT CRIME by CAT THIEF)
 
MTH-5   08/10/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Oceanport Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERE ARE NO WORDS Jul06 May24 Oct18 Oct03 Sep15 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
2  HE'SPUREGOLD Jul06 May24 Nov02 Sep29 Sep02 (breen j)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
3  SHRUG Jul19 Jun21 Aug17 Jul12 Jun20 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRIVATE GIFT by UNBRIDLED)
4  OTAGO Jun14 May24 May03 Mar30 Sep29 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MOM'S DEPUTY by WAR CHANT)
5  SIEGE OF BOSTON Jun28 Dec21 Oct13 Aug29 Aug04 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 118 4.00 15% 5.70    
  (by WAR FRONT out of PEINTURE RARE by SADLER'S WELLS)
6  AIR RECRUIT Jul11 Nov03 Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 (delacour arn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
7  WON AN AWARD Jun21 May03 Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SOUNDS OF THE CITY by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  ADERO Jul22 May27 May03 Apr09 Mar18 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of AND YOU CAN by ISTAN)
 
MTH-6   08/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENS EXPRESS Jul20 Jul12 Jun22 Mar16 Mar01 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 121 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  K D KAKES Aug03 Jul12 Jun07 May19 Apr29 (padilla esteb)RANGEL JOEZER 121 15.00    
3  SUBWAY SUSIE Jul21 Jul05 Jun07 May24 Apr23 (wyner harol)GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 12.00    
4  UMBRAL Jul05 Jun22 May18 May10 Apr12 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
SCR  GOOD BRIGHT FLAMES Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 Apr27 Apr18 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
6  DAME CATHERINE Jul26 Jul04 Jun14 Apr02 Mar14 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 2.50    
7  LAST GLORY Aug03 Jul11 Jun20 Jun07 May23 (gonzalez cla)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00    
8  SHOOPTHEREITIS Mar14 Feb21 Jan31 Dec12 Nov17 (castillo mich)RIVERA D 121 12.00 7% 13.70    
 
MTH-7   08/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMATCH Jul20 Jun08 Apr04 Mar02 Feb12 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 124 15.00    
2  COLD FEET Jun11 Feb09 Sep11 Aug24 Jun23 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 4.50 ★    
3  SMITHWICK'S SPICE Feb22 Jan25 Dec21 Nov23 Oct05 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
SCR  FADETHENOISE Jul20 Jun27 May26 Apr25 Nov20 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00    
5  SPEED FIGURES Jul27 Jun29 Jun12 Apr27 Feb15 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
6  SHAKIN LOOSE Jul20 Jun27 Jun05 May10 Apr09 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
7  RIVER DOG Jun15 May17 May10 Jan10 Oct15 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 8.00 29% 2.50    
8  TALENTED MAN May04 Apr11 Feb09 Dec06 Nov02 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.50 13% 6.70    
9  OUTLAW COUNTRY Jul18 Jun15 Apr27 Oct05 Sep07 (breen j)LEON SONNY 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
MTH-8   08/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'T LISTEN Jul12 Jun20 Jun01 May10 Oct04 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
2  TAPRIXIE Jul13 Apr05 Apr13 Mar07 Feb23 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 121 10.00    
3  AWESOME PIC Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr09 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
4  BERTIE'S CAUSE Jul13 Jun28 May02 Apr09 Mar21 (paterno robert)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00 20% 4.00    
5  WINKIWINKI Jun22 May17 Mar30 Feb14 Dec28 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  GLORIOUS LADY Jul13 May25 May04 Apr10 Mar10 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 121 3.50    
7  MONEY MAGNETTES Jul04 Aug11 Jun23 May25 May11 (pompay terri)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00    
8  MISSY SIXTYSIX Jul08 Jun09 May21 Apr29 Apr09 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 121 3.00    
 
MTH-9   08/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER AMUSING Jul13 Mar27 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  MIA VITA Jul27 Jul05 Jun15 Apr18 Mar29 (synnefias pana)SUTHERLAND C 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOWER TWENTY TWO Jul24 Jul06 Jun15 Jun07 May18 (ramirez silvi)JARA FERNANDO 117 10.00 17% 4.80    
4  AUTHENTICATE NOW Jul27 Jul05 May24 Apr30 Apr05 (dini mike)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
5  C C GIRL Jul05 May24 Apr24 Apr05 Mar26 (hills timothy)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
6  MILDOON Jul18 Jul05 Jun15 May17 Oct12 (huston k)LEON SONNY 121 15.00    
7  PATIENT FI Jul24 Jun09 May20 Mar19 Dec30 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MISS RUMMIKUB (FR) Jul27 Jul05 May24 Apr11 Mar08 (moreno-barba)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50    
9  SWEET MARIE Jun28 Jun07 May07 Jan03 Dec13 (servis c)OCASIO M 117 12.00    
10  DELAYED Jul13 May02 Feb21 Jan17 Dec07 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.