Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(6/3/5)-(1/2/6/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(1/2/6/4)-(7/2/4/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-3   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/4)-(7/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/4)-(7/2/4/6)-(6/8/5/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-4   WIN (7/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/6)-(6/8/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/6)-(6/8/5/1)-(1/4/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-5   WIN (6/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/1)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/1)-(1/4/5)-(3/2/4/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/2/4/7)-(9/10/6/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-7   WIN (3/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/7)-(9/10/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-8   WIN (9/10/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/6/3)-(9/10/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/6/3)-(9/10/6/3)-(9/10/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICOLE'S SONG Jul21 Jul01 Jun24 Jun10 Oct21 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MO TWILIGHT Jul27 Jun15 May11 Apr21 Feb04 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 124 3.50    
3  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Jul21 Jun24 Jun10 May27 Apr26 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 124 5.00    
4  AMERICAN OF COURSE Mar22 Mar02 Jan17 Dec26 Nov23 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 1.20 69% 0.40    
5  EASY ACCESS Jul14 Oct21 Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIFLING Jul21 Jul01 Jun15 Oct14 Oct01 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00    
 
FE-2   08/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS A WAY Jun30 Jun10 May27 Nov15 Oct22 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 5.00    
2  SEA TO AIR Jun30 Jun15 Oct22 Sep30 Aug06 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 4.00    
3  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May27 Dec05 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
4  STYLISH GENT Jun30 Jun13 May04 Dec05 Nov14 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 2.50    
5  NAMEOFTHEGAME Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 Dec08 Nov16 (new)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHERE IS ESSA Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
FE-3   08/05/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERKUS (FR) Jul08 May11 Apr13 Mar27 Feb17 (neubauer mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
2  DELIRIO Jul08 Nov21 Nov01 Sep24 Aug20 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  FOREST WOODSMAN Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May18 Nov30 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
4  PANYARD TAP Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 May18 Nov30 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS D'S PRIDE Jul13 Jul08 Jun10 Oct22 Oct07 (keen)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 20.00    
6  BINGO'S GRIND Jul13 Jun24 May11 Apr26 Apr04 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 6.00 13% 6.50    
7  PLAY THE DOTS Jul07 Jun24 Dec15 Nov30 Nov15 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00    
8  BLACKHILLSHERRIFF Jul21 Jun24 May23 May11   (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
 
FE-4   08/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M C JACKHAMMER Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 May27 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.50    
2  PALACE PRINCE Jul21 Jul07 Jun24 Jun15 May27 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  SPRING MOUNTAIN Jun13 Dec15 Nov22 Nov01 Oct15 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 124 1.60    
4  FASCINATION STREET Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct15 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Jul14 Dec03 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 (smith r)MAILHOT P 124 20.00    
6  SANTIAGO SALSA Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 Oct22 Oct08 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  STRONG ENDING Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 Oct15 Oct01 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.00 47% 1.20    
 
FE-5   08/05/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDI BUG May18 May10 Apr26 Apr11 Mar21 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAMANA Jul21 Jun24 May27 Nov22 Oct08 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
3  CLASSY IMAGE Jun15 Dec13 Nov28 Nov07 Oct11 (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.50    
4  TAYLORMOON Jul21 Jul01 Dec12 Nov21 Oct31 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 122 20.00    
5  ASHCAR NELLIE Jul08 Jul01 May27 May16 Oct14 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 6% 15.20    
6  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Jul01 Jun10 May27 Oct14 Sep30 (crete pierre)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  LOADED QUESTION Jul08 Jun24 Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 122 10.00    
8  SILVER BULLET LADY Jul07 Jun24 May10 Nov01 Sep26 (blake michae)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  LULU'S LULLABY Jul22 Jul01 Jun24 May27 Nov29 (squire)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
 
FE-6   08/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY TOWN Jul21 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  LE GRAND GARCON Jul27 Jul07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 (steer tom)SALLES LEO 122 4.00    
3  BACK RIVER Jul19 Jun27 Jun13 May18 Apr27 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
4  OK SPEEDY Jul27 Jun27 Jun08 May30 Nov08 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  SCAT FACTOR Jul19 Jun03 Sep24 Sep10 Aug06 (jennings aliso)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 5% 18.80    
6  THE GREAT P J Jul21 Jul07 Jun23     (newland george)MORENO OMAR 124 6.00    
 
FE-7   08/05/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVELOPING THE WAY Jul08 Nov01 Sep20 Sep02 Jul20 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 6.00    
2  ROOKIE RADAR Jul27 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 Nov01 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  RESCUE THAT GIRL Jul08 Oct01 May31 May17   (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  SEHR SCHOEN Jun30 Jun10 May18 Apr27 Mar19 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 15% 5.50    
5  UNDER SURVEILLANCE Jul13 Jun27 Jun20 May24 May11 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.50    
6  IMPERIAL STAR Jul21 Jun27 Jun13 May23 May04 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
7  DEFOGGER Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 Oct22 Oct14 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HARDWARE GAP Jul13 Jun24 Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
SCR  BONGINO Jun13 Oct31 Sep27 Sep02 Oct13 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  PROFESORRIDESAGAIN May24 Dec06 Nov21 Sep29 Sep21 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 8.00    
 
FE-8   08/05/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORTY FLASH Jul08 Jun23 Jun15 May27 Dec01 (bail)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 20.00    
SCR  HICKSY Jun15 Jun03 May04 Sep02 Aug06 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 20.00    
3  HE'S FULLY LOADED Jul13 Jun30 May27 Nov08 Oct26 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED MAPLE Jun15 May27 Dec04 Nov24 Nov11 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00    
5  CORE Jul22 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00    
6  BRADY O'BRADY Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May27 Oct21 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 5% 18.00    
7  ABE HONESTLY Jul14 Jun09 Feb05 Nov20 Oct08 (robillard julie)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00    
8  EXCEED Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 Dec15 Dec01 (rob)DENNIS JEREMIAH 124 15.00    
9  GRAND AMBITION Jul14 Jul01 Oct21 Oct15 Sep30 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
10  BIG TIME LOUIE Jul13 Jun15 May27 Dec01 Nov16 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
11  GOLDEN WIND Jul22 Jul01 Oct15 Oct01 Sep10 (spada )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 12.00    
SCR  COHERENCE Jul08 Jun24 May18 May04 Nov30 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.