Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/5/3/4)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/4)-(2/6/4)-(9/3/5/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/6/4)-(9/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(9/3/5/1)-(1/8/3/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (9/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (9/3/5/1)-(1/8/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/1)-(1/8/3/4)-(3/7/2/11/6) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-4   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(3/7/2/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/4)-(3/7/2/11/6)-(7/1/4/2) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-5   WIN (3/7/2/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/11/6)-(3/7/2/9/11/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/11/6)-(3/7/2/9/11/6)-(3/7/2/9/11/6) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
    DD (3/7/2/11/6)-(7/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/11/6)-(7/1/4/2)-(2/5/6/4) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (7/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2)-(7/1/4/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/1/4/2)-(2/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON TWIST Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 1.00 51% 1.00    
BRINSON Jul22 Jun17 May18 Apr28 Apr15 (ellis andre)CUMBERBATCH R 124 6.00    
HE KNOWS WE KNOW Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 119 10.00 11% 8.20    
ICOULDBETHEONE Jul23 Sep11 Aug28 Aug06 Jul03 (hunter judy)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BETTERMAKETHATTWO Jun17 Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Sep13 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
CONSPIRACYTHEORIST Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 May20 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 8.00    
ROUGH CUSTOMER Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May28 Oct05 (desjarlais rya)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00    
 
ASD-2   08/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. STANG Jun24 Jun03 Dec23 Nov03 Oct06 (moreno carlo)BENNETT MATHEW 122 2.00    
BRODY'S STREAK Jul23 Jun24 Jun03 Nov02 Oct13 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
FALSELY ACCUSED Jul15 Jun10 Apr26 Apr05 Feb22 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 5.00    
BIG NICK Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 Oct27 Oct12 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 8% 11.00    
BLACKTECA Jul23 Jun18 Jun04 May27 May14 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50    
NORTHVALE ROAD Jul15 Jun23 Apr26 Mar28 Mar09 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
PESO Jul15 Jun23 Jun04 Apr29 Aug11 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 30.00    
 
ASD-3   08/04/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR ACES HIGH Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May14 (morse vic)SEECHARAN A 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNINFORCOVER Jul08 Jun23 May21 Nov03 Oct26 (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 124 40.00    
DISCREET INVASION Jul23 Jul13 Jul03 May25 Nov27 (keplin stev)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  I WILL STAND May24 May10 Jan23 Dec10 Dec02 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.80    
SOL DEL SUR Jul29 Jul14 Jun18 Jun03 Apr19 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 15.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  DOUBLE TIME Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May27 Sep18 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 25.00    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May27 Sep09 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 10.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA SPEED Jul30 Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 May21 (dickey elton)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00    
RIDE EM Jul22 Jun18 Jun10 Jun03 Sep16 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
10  FREE MAKER Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 Sep24 Sep11 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 20.00    
 
ASD-4   08/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Escape Clause Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURROW DOWN Jul15 Jun25 May31 Oct12 Sep18 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 1.40 47% 1.10    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
SOPHIA'S STORM Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Apr12 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 123 8.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of SOPHIA'S PRIDE by PLEASANT TAP)
MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Jul22 Jun14 May31 May09 Apr18 (gourneau )SEECHARAN A 118 10.00 9% 10.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAEBELUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
MECHANIC SUSIE Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 Sep18 Aug28 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
MARVELOUS LADY Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 Apr11 Mar26 (keplin steve )BYNOE DAMARIO 118 5.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SAPPHIRE BLUE by MR. GREELEY)
BIG STRETCH Jul15 Jun18 May27 Sep18 Aug26 (pruitt lise)TOWNSEND SHAVON 118 40.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
BABY GUNDIN Jun29 Jun06 Apr27 Mar16 Mar02 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 6.00    
  (by OXBOW out of MINX by TAPIT)
BLING DANCER May31 May17 Aug30 Aug09 Jul01 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of LOVE THIS DANCE by UNCLE MO)
 
ASD-5   08/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harvey Warner Manitoba Mile Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC TIGER Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 Oct12 Sep24 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 119 40.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
CHASE THE SUN Jul25 Jul11 May30 May16 Sep06 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 119 15.00 15% 5.70    
  (by BAKKEN out of CALIFORNIA SUNGOLD by SUNGOLD)
JUDO Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May28 Apr19 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of OUR LOVE TAP by TAPIT)
BLAZING BO Jul14 Jun10 May21 Sep17 Aug27 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 30.00    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
FEARLESS SOLDIER Jul14 Jun28 Jun01 May03 Apr02 (silva jose )TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HESSIE'S GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
PINKY RING BLING Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May28 Apr06 (gourneau )SEECHARAN A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
INDIO MARA Jun28 May31 Apr06 Mar14 Feb16 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of FEVERED KISS by SMART STRIKE)
CORREDOR Jul14 Jun10 May14 Apr18 Mar08 (keshane norbe)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of MY FOOLISH HEART by SKY MESA)
MALIBU S S Jul23 Jun01 May16 Apr17 Apr04 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DARLING MY DARLING by DEPUTY MINISTER)
10  THE RONALD Jul14 Jun18 May28 Apr29 Apr15 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 25.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of LORNA'S TAPIT by TAPIT)
11  LANSDOWNE (GB) Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 Apr17 Mar24 (hunter judy)ALI RONALD 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKAZ out of MY LUCKY LIZ by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
 
ASD-6   08/04/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Derby Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORDER SONG (FR) Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 May24   (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 15.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of MORE THAN A SONG by MORE THAN READY)
ACKNOWLEDGE Jul22 Jun22 May29 May09 Mar22 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CALL TO SERVICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
MR JAWS Jul13 Jun07 May18 Apr27 Apr17 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 25.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPANISH ANGEL by EARLY FLYER)
ATTACK Jul04 Apr23 Mar13 Feb09 Dec06 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AMMANNATI by GALILEO)
WAR IS HELL Jul14 Jul02 Jun18 Jun02 Apr25 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 122 50.00    
  (by OM out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
MALDINI Jul13 Jun21 May31 May11 Apr03 (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 122 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NEVER SOBER by SILENT NAME (JPN))
TAKE CHARGE TOM Jul14 May26 Apr06 Feb16 Jan17 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 122 0.50 29% 2.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GORGEOUS GINNY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
JUST TRUST ME Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 Apr29 Apr17 (williams )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of TRUST FUND KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
ASD-7   08/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATE'S PRINCESS Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun18 Jun04 (stanford maria)PRUITT CIERA 116 25.00    
SUMITUP Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May27 May13 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.20 53% 0.90    
SCR  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 Sep18 Sep04 (anderson )SEECHARAN A 121 15.00    
TAVALINE Jul08 Jun10 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 121 20.00 6% 15.40    
DISTINCTIVE DEB Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 May27 May13 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 4.00 9% 10.40    
BOUND FOR HEAVEN Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 May28 May14 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 6.00 7% 13.70    
MAGIC CHROME Jul22 May31 Mar31 Mar06 Jan15 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00    
BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Jun14 May25 May11 Apr25 Mar28 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.