Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - July 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/1)-(12/10/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(12/10/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(12/10/4/8)-(3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (12/10/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/10/4/8)-(12/10/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/10/4/8)-(12/10/4/8)-(12/10/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/10/4/8)-(3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/10/4/8)-(3/5/8)-(3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/9/8)-(3/5/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(3/5)-(7/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(7/2/5)-(6/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET NO NO Jul03 May30 Apr26 Mar29 Mar09 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELEANOR RIGBY May03 Apr23 Mar31 Mar11 Jan13 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 118 15.00    
SCR  FASHIONISTA Jun21 Jun04 Mar14 Feb01 Jul18 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 10.00    
HOT BOTTOM GIRL Jun13 Apr25 Mar16 Feb12 Jan17 (ke)GONZALEZ JORGE 121 8.00    
SCR  PERIDOT PENDANT Jul03 Mar07 Feb27 Feb07 Dec27 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
SCR  OLIVIA DEE Jul05 May02 Nov13 Oct23 Aug22 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND Jun28 Jun02 May25 Oct10 Aug29 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 121 2.00    
SCR  HAZELMOOR BEACH Jun22 Apr27 Mar23 Mar07 Dec06 (shankle j)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
 
PEN-2   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCH IT MARGARET Jun26 May29 May15 Apr25 Mar28 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOLY SYNERGY Jun30 Jun18 May20 Apr15   (smith ev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
QUIET APPEAL Jun26 Jun11 Apr23 Mar07 Feb19 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
AU SOME WARRIOR Jun18 Jun10 May16 Mar17 Feb25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
BIAGIO Jul03 Jun10 May03 Apr15 Mar25 (mosco ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 1.80    
 
PEN-3   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZD'OR Jun18 May15 Apr25     (sinnefia paul)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00    
SCR  LA LIMONADA Oct31 Oct18 Sep07 Aug16 Aug03 (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 30.00    
CHARISSE Feb27 Jan03 Nov02 Jun27 Jan18 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 121 50.00    
FLEETING EMBER Jun20 May09 May01 Mar28 Mar07 (kreiser c)FLORES E 125 5.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  GETAWAY PALACE Jun27 Oct31 Sep16 Aug30 Jul26 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 1.60    
AVRIL Jul03 May21 May03 Feb20 Jan02 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Jun21 Oct09 Sep09 Jul26 Jun18 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 121 4.50    
BRAQUET Jun27 Jun11 May02 Apr12 Feb28 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 8.00 6% 15.90    
QUERCUS Jun11 May21 Feb20 Jan30 Dec17 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 10.00    
10  REIGERT GIRLS May17 Feb07 Jan08 Nov15 Oct09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  WHISKEY LULLABY Feb18 Nov17 Oct11 Sep03 Jul07 (shea lydee)CORA D 121 8.00    
12  CENTER STAGE Mar16 Jan16 Dec15 Nov04 Oct19 (mosco robe)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-4   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIZZY KITTY Jul09 Jun16 Nov14 Oct21 Oct03 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00    
TOUGH WORKOUT Jun06 May25 May03 Apr11 Mar22 (white sarah)RODRIGUEZ YAN 114 10.00    
ARTWELL Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 May11 Apr27 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 2.50 34% 2.00    
TIME TESTED Jul08 Jun15 May21 May05 Mar31 (smith everton)CORREA JULIO 121 12.00    
GRATED COCONUT Jun25 May23 May08 Mar13 Feb21 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 121 10.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  SASSE'S CLASS May26 Nov14 Oct16 Aug28 Aug16 (milosevic mila)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.00    
MARYLAND MOON Jun07 May12 Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 (dowling willia)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00    
VALORE Jun19 Jun06 May08 Apr18 Mar21 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 7% 14.30    
BOLD HOPPERTUNITY Jun19 May03 Apr15 Mar31 Mar05 (abrams j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 3.50    
 
PEN-5   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Jun10 May21 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (hoffman mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
SCR  B DAWK Jul04 Jun13 Jan26 Mar18 Feb09 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50    
OMAR COMIN Jan24 Jan09 Dec06 Nov16 Oct12 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jun26 Jun11 May15 Apr24 Mar20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.50    
CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Jun19 Jun06 May09 Oct23 Sep28 (kreiser c)CORA D 123 6.00 6% 15.60    
NAZARENO Jun26 May22 May08 Aug16 Jul19 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
POWER HUMOR Jun18 May18 Apr12 Oct18 Sep14 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 121 3.00    
 
PEN-6   07/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORPEDO RUN Jun13 Jun03 Apr10 Mar12 Nov21 (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 6.00    
IRA THE ICON Jun26 Jun06 May03 Apr07 Mar13 (ness jamie)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
COME PRIMA Jun26 Jun11 May23 May09 Mar20 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 4.50    
CODY PASS Jul09 Jun12 May17 Apr24 Mar27 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
MO MONEY MO MONEY Jun12 May07 Dec27 Oct09 Sep13 (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
EASTER BET Jun26 Jun06 May23 Apr24 Apr10 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
CADEAU D'ARGENT Jun06 May16       (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
PEN-7   07/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWING OIL Jul04 Jun13 May30 May03 Apr15 (rozell ron)AGUILAR M 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
CRITICAL THINKING Jun27 Feb28 Dec12 Nov29 Nov13 (shea lydee)CORA D 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
OFF THE MEDS Jul05 Jun13 May31 Apr27 Apr18 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 125 4.00    
GUNS N' ROJAS Jun18 Jun05 May21 May09 Apr25 (albright amy)FLORES E 125 2.50    
BERMONDSEY Jul04 Jan03 Dec04 Nov14 Oct23 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.50    
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Jun18 May31 May17 May27 Apr21 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 125 1.40 67% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.