Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/3)-(4/1/5) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (4/3)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/1/5)-(5/1/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/1/2)-(5/7/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/7/6)-(2/5/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (5/7/6)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(2/5/4)-(3/5/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-6   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANNAKHOZANA Jun11 May28 May14 Sep03 Aug21 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 119 15.00    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Jun25 Jun11 May27 Sep09 Sep04 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 1.40    
VALID DEFENCE Jun24 Jun10 May27 Aug26 Aug05 (anderson )SEECHARAN A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DAZZLING GOLD Sep11 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
SILVER JAGUAR Jun17 May21 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 119 2.50    
 
ASD-2   07/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE WRIGHT WAY         (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.50    
  (by BASIN out of HIDYGO by INDYGO SHINER)
BIG BAD BERTHA         (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of KAT O MINE by MINESHAFT)
BROWN LITE         (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 6.00 7% 14.10    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
WECANONLYIMAGINE         (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWIMSUIT ISSUE by SCAT DADDY)
NEYTIRI         (pruitt lise)DAWKINS DANE 119 5.00    
  (by TRAJECTORY out of AVATARI by UNION RAGS)
 
ASD-3   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT OAK Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 May20 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
BLUE SKYE JADE Jun24 Jun10 May28 Nov17 Nov02 (williams )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00    
WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jun28 Jun06 May25 Dec27 Oct24 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 8.00    
BIG TICKET Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May21 Sep16 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 1.20 39% 1.60    
REALLY SLOW Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May20 Sep24 (morse victo)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
FRANKIE'S GIRL Jun18 May20 Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 7.00    
 
ASD-4   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR BEYOND Jun23 Jun03 May21 Nov03 Oct19 (ellis andre)BENNETT MATHEW 122 15.00 15% 5.80    
OLYMPIC LEGEND Jun04 Apr18 Jun21 Sep09 Aug27 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 25.00 14% 5.90    
MAGNOLIA SPEED Jun23 Jun04 May21 Sep02 Aug20 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.20    
ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 May21 Sep18 (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00    
AUDACE Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May21 Apr19 (ellis andre)HEWITT ROGER 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
PATIO'S PORCH Jun18 May25 May18 May03 Apr18 (laing )LEWIS ANTHONY 122 15.00    
ITWASTHISBIG Jun30 Jun22 Jun06 May23 Jan15 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 6.00    
 
ASD-5   07/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jul01 Jun18 Jun02 Apr29 Mar31 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 121 20.00    
SHARP LIKENESS Jul08 Jun17 May31 May16 May04 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 10.00    
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Jul01 Jun10 May20 Sep17 Aug27 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 3.00    
TEXAS RAIN Jul02 Jun18 Sep24 Sep04 Aug26 (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00    
STEVIE WONDER GIRL Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May20 Nov02 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
BETTY JO Jul09 Jul01 Jun20 May30 May18 (gourneau jerry)DAWKINS DANE 121 8.00 12% 7.60    
WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jun23 Jun03 Apr13 Mar06 Feb19 (fraser lorne)HEWITT ROGER 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
 
ASD-6   07/16/2025 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jack Hardy Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINDA'S MAP Jun25 Jun04 Dec05 Nov17 Sep18 (moreno carlos)DAWKINS DANE 114 7.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
GINAS SERENADE Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr19 Apr04 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 1.40 56% 0.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SPAC by GIO PONTI)
EZ TREE ATES Jul08 May22 May01 Apr04 Mar09 (duncan murray)BYNOE DAMARIO 114 4.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of IRISH JASPER by FIRST DEFENCE)
CASUALLY CLASSY Jun17 Jun04 Apr19 Jan30 Dec21 (pruitt lise)BENNETT MATHEW 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ENLIGHTENMENT by STREET SENSE)
WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Jun25 Jun04 Feb20 Feb04 Dec23 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCH OF TROY by ARCHARCHARCH)
ART NOUVEAU May27 May14 Apr05 Mar16 Feb21 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 114 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MCGILL Jun25 Jun04 Dec15 Nov23 Oct24 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 114 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LEXI TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
 
ASD-7   07/16/2025 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURN JAKEY BURN Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May28 Mar15 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 124 10.00    
EXPLOSIVE Jul02 Jun10 May21 Jul29 Jul16 (pruitt lise)PRUITT CIERA 117 8.00    
CAJUN EDDIE Jul03 Jun13 May11 Apr26 Mar28 (gourneau jerry)DAWKINS DANE 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
DIAMOND CONCERTO Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May20 Sep24 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00    
LAB RAT Jul02 Jun18 May28 Jan22 Dec28 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 1.60 18% 4.60    
SCR  BANDERA AZTECA Jul02 Jun18 Jun10 May28 Apr26 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 5.00    
HAPPY CAMPER Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May20 Sep24 (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.