Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CTM-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/4/5)-(3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/8)-(4/3/5/7)-(2/3/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTM-7   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(2/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-8   WIN (2/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-1   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY UP Jun28 Jun07 May17 May25 May19 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00    
BEAUTIFUL CALL Jun13 May31 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 (p)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
DRAMATIC FLAIR Oct27 Oct20 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
NOTHINGBUTSUNSHINE Jun28 Jun13 Oct06 Sep28 Sep15 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 4.50    
B C CHU CHU Jun28 Jun15 May31 May23 May09 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00    
 
CTM-2   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOT ON DUDE Jun27 May30 Oct21 Oct14 Sep23 (wyness james)MUIR SHAMAREE 123 8.00 11% 8.50    
TIME 'N TIME AGAIN Jun24 Oct08 Sep09 Aug11 Jul14 (bell ken)LUNAN RICHARD 123 10.00    
I'M SEEING RED Jun27 May30 May16 Sep14 Jul05 (henson r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 2.00    
THALES Jun28 Dec29 Dec06 Nov03 Oct27 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
DOC COPE Jun27 Jun06 Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.00    
 
CTM-3   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTSOULCOMET Jun15 Apr13       (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SOUL OF COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
DAZZLE ME DAWN Jun07 May23 Aug23     (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of DAZ LIN DAWN by POPULAR (SAF))
TOURISTICA         (rumsey cory)FOSTER R 120 4.50    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of ARTISTICA by SECOND IN COMMAND)
CLASSY REGARD'S Jun24         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of NUESTRA UNION by UNION RAGS)
MY MUM'S MUD Jun24 May23 Jul17     (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
HOLA LOLA Jun24         (anderson gon)TAVARES DANIEL 120 6.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of A E PHI SENSATION by JOHANNESBURG)
 
CTM-4   07/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYTHING TO GAIN Jun27 Jun07 May17 Nov03 Oct12 (rumsey cory)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 3.00    
OOPS (GB) Jun28 Jun06 May17 May09 Apr17 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50    
BRYNN'S DREAM Jun13 May31 May17 Aug16 Jul27 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 60% 0.70    
HERETHEREVERYWHERE Jun28 May30 May16 May03 Dec13 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 118 8.00 11% 8.30    
SMOKIN JOY Oct12 Oct06 Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 123 5.00    
SCR  ALBERTA Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 Aug09 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 15.00    
 
CTM-5   07/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOVEL Jun15 May24 Nov02 Oct19 Sep07 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00 9% 10.40    
KARDINAL ROSE Jun15 May24 Nov03 Oct26 Oct12 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 4.00    
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Jun15 May24 Nov03 Oct13 Oct06 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 2.50    
EL CORRECAMINOS Jun27 Jun07 Oct20 Oct12 Sep29 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00    
MAGIC TIP Jun15 May24 May09 Apr28 Apr17 (o'hagan coll)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
JELLI Jun28 Jun13 May31 Oct27 Oct13 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
CTM-6   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY MUSIC         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SKYLIGHTER by SKY MESA)
SMOOTH SICARIO Jun15         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of RILLA by DROSSELMEYER)
FED BOY Jun28 Jun15 Oct27 Oct05 Sep13 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 8.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of PRETTY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
MOON MULLINS Jun28 Jun15 May24 Aug31 Jul06 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of CAROLINA STATION by AIKENITE)
JUSTINFLATION         (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
METAPHOR         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DISTRACTING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DEMAND Jun28 May24 Apr26 Mar29   (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 4.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of THAT'S OK by NOT FOR LOVE)
TOPPWAY         (ellefs)STEADMAN LEON 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LENT out of BOURNEVILLE by TETHRA)
 
CTM-7   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPORTSCARR Jun24 Nov03 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 8.00    
JUMP THE QUEUE Jun15 May16 Nov03 Sep22 Aug30 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00    
GONE NUTS Jun24 May30 May10 Apr02 Mar13 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.60 24% 3.20    
WEDGE POND Jun24 Jun07 May24 May10 Dec10 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 43% 1.30    
ALL RUN Jun28 May30 May16 Oct27 Oct13 (anderson gon)NATERA KEIHTON 123 4.00 9% 10.60    
DON'T LET ME DOWN Jun24 May30 May16 Apr08 Mar19 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.50    
LINCHPIN STORM Jun24 May10 May03 Oct27 Oct13 (rumsey cory)FOSTER R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MUDINATOR Jun24 May16 Jun21 Jun08 May24 (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 15.00    
 
CTM-8   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR BREGOVIC Jun27 May31 May17 Nov02 Oct12 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 2.50    
CHASE THE SUN May30 May16 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
THESHACK Jun28 Jun07 May16 Sep14 Aug24 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.00 25% 3.00    
TAYLOR FIELD Jun24 May30 Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 12.00    
SILENT RUNNER Jun27 May31 May10 Oct20 Sep28 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 6.00    
BRODY'S PAL Jul04 Jun24 May30 May16 Oct27 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DR. DAVE Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.50 20% 4.00    
GEM QUALITY Jul27 Jun16 May12 Nov04 Oct14 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.