Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (2/4)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/4/1)-(5/3/8/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/3/8/7)-(2/1/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (5/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7)-(5/3/8/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/3/8/7)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/7)-(2/1/5)-(6/5/8/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(6/5/8/3)-(1/8/5/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/5/8/3)-(1/8/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/3)-(1/8/5/4)-(8/5/7/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (1/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/8/5/4)-(8/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/4)-(8/5/7/1)-(8/9/5/3/4) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/9/1)-(8/5/7/9/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (8/5/7/1)-(8/9/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-8   WIN (8/9/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/3/4)-(8/9/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/3/4)-(8/9/5/3/4)-(8/9/5/3/4) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/09/2025 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCKAGUE Jun18 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 124 1.40    
DELVECCHIO Jun24 Jun11 May20 May13 Nov02 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
MECHANIC SUSIE Jun25 Jun04 Sep18 Aug28 Aug20 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.00    
CATCH THE DREAM Jun23 May27 Sep18 Aug20 Aug06 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
NO SHOW NO CALL Jun11 May28 May14 Sep24 Sep16 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 4.00    
 
ASD-2   07/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE MIGHTY THINGS Jun25 Jun11 May27 Aug06 Jul09 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 122 40.00 5% 19.00    
RESPECT THE UNION Jun04 May20 Mar25 Feb26 Jan21 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 5.00    
SCR  MY BOY CHRISTIAN Jun25 May13 Nov03 Oct26 Oct13 (ellis andre)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 25.00    
MOR OF TADAA Jun24 Jun03 May21 Sep18 Sep04 (pruitt lise)BENNETT MATHEW 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
GRACIOUS KAT Jun07 May18 May03 Apr19 Apr04 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
THIRSTY BABY Jun24 May27 May13 Sep23 Sep18 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00    
WAR ECHO Jun25 Jun03 May27 Apr29 Apr02 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.00    
 
ASD-3   07/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVE KITTEN Jun24 Jun11 May27 Sep24 Sep16 (morse victoria)BELLE SHAVON 122 40.00    
FAST TRAFFIC Jun23 Jun01 Apr26 Feb02 Jan18 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00    
SHAMAYIM Jun24 Jun11 May28 May12 Apr26 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 11% 8.40    
IN FORM Jun25 Jun02 May13 Nov06 Oct11 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00    
WRONG DIRECTION Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 May21 Apr25 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Jun24 Jun11 May28 Apr02 Mar26 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 122 6.00    
UNDER BUDGET Jun23 May27 May13 Sep16 Aug27 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
THE CALABRESE KID Jun24 Jun03 May13 Sep24 Sep16 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-4   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUGGED ROOSTER         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 12.00 23% 3.30    
GO FER Jun11 Jun02 May14 Sep17 Sep03 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.80 34% 2.00    
RYTHMOFTHERAIN Jun18         (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 119 25.00    
MARVELOUS MARK May21 Apr24 Apr03 Feb03 Jan23 (laing sherry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 4.00    
MIDNIGHT CHEER Jun11 May28 May21 Aug28 Jul23 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTER COMMAND Jun18 Jun02 May21 Sep18 Sep09 (dickey elton)HEWITT ROGER 119 1.20    
 
ASD-5   07/09/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BARB WIRE Jun23 Jun11 Jun03 Sep09 Aug27 (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 121 15.00    
PURR TIGER Jun11 May20 Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 (laing sherry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 6.00    
PRESS ON BABY Jun11 Sep02 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 (zawislak dale)PARRIS SACHIN 116 40.00 5% 17.50    
FREED BY MAGIC Jun17 Apr18 Mar30 Mar15 Sep23 (fraser lorne)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 5.00    
FRESNO CHILE Jun17 Jun02 Mar23 Feb05 Jan08 (fraser l)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.00 17% 4.80    
DIRTY FLIRT Jun11 May27 Sep16 Aug27 Aug06 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
AWESOME WILDCAT Jun25 Jun02 May14 Mar26 Mar13 (laing sherr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 123 10.00    
FLINTLOCK Jun25 Jun11 May27 May14 Mar28 (cole terry)HEWITT ROGER 117 8.00 10% 8.90    
 
ASD-6   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON TWIST Jun17 Jun04 May20 Nov03 Oct11 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
ATTI'S THUNDER May18 May03 Apr11 Mar28 Mar09 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 8.00    
LUKA GRAZIE Apr19 Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan22 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 112 3.00    
CONSPIRACYTHEORIST Jun17 Jun02 May20 Sep17 Sep03 (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHERN ECHO Jun17 May20 Jul16     (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 4.00 10% 8.90    
BUTTONSARENOTTOYS Jun04 Apr11 Sep02 Jun29   (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00    
ROUGH CUSTOMER Jun17 May28 Oct05 Sep17 Sep04 (desjarlais ry)CUMBERBATCH R 122 25.00    
DISTINCT TALE Jun17 Jun04 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 (hrymak bren)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
ASD-7   07/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS Z Jun25 Jun03 May13 Aug26 Aug13 (mustard d)TOWNSEND SHAVON 121 20.00 10% 9.10    
ADAM'S CREED Jun03 Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul02 (wise a)ALI RONALD 121 7.00    
WEATHER MAP Apr12 Feb27 Feb14 Dec20 Nov29 (fraser lorne)CUMBERBATCH R 121 15.00    
MAIBELLA Jun25 Jun11 May27 May14 Sep23 (stanford mari)PARRIS SACHIN 118 20.00    
SERAPE Mar14 Mar07 Feb28 Feb01 Dec07 (fraser lorne)DAWKINS DANE 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
GET MY DRIFT Jun23 May27 May13 Nov15 Sep09 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 121 10.00    
BETTY JO Jul01 Jun20 May30 May18 Apr06 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 8.00 12% 7.10    
STEVIE WONDER GIRL Jun25 Jun03 May20 Nov02 Oct19 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
EAST COAST COWGIRL Jun18 Jun03 Sep18 Jul29 Jul02 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.00    
 
ASD-8   07/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BY REQUEST May31 May17 Apr12 Mar30 Mar21 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 7.00    
SKYLAR'S FIRE Jun25 Jun06 Jun01 May09 Apr12 (jordan jenn)TOWNSEND SHAVON 121 15.00    
ZIPPY SEASON Jun23 Jun02 May02 Apr25 Mar30 (fraser lo)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAVORE Jun24 Jun11 May27 Sep02 Aug27 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SNEAKY SITUATION Jun23 May27 May14 Oct27 Oct12 (laing sherr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 4.50 16% 5.10    
HAPPY BIRTHDAY Jun24 Jun11 Sep24 Sep17 Sep09 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 121 40.00    
PARZANNI Jun11 Jun02 May14 Oct20 Oct06 (anderson wen)BENNETT MATHEW 121 30.00    
MARY WHO Jun17 Jun02 Sep24 Sep11 Aug14 (cole terry)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
DUSK Jun25 Jun11 May27 Feb15 Dec27 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 121 3.50 18% 4.40    
10  BLUE TANGO (GB) Jun25 May14 Oct26 Oct13 Sep23 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 116 20.00    
SCR  GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE Jun23 Jun08 May16 Apr11 Mar23 (jordan jennife)BALROOP SVEN 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.