Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - July 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (5/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/8)-(5/9/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/9/8)-(5/9/7/8)-(5/9/7/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/8)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/3/1)-(3/6/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/4/1)-(8/9/4/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(8/9/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/6)-(8/9/4/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/6)-(8/9/4/7/6)-(8/9/4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALY STONE Jun24 Jun09 May20 Apr27 Oct05 (holton a)YARANGA Y 123 20.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GINGER STONE by ELITE SQUADRON)
SCR  BUCEPHALUS TOUCH Jun22 Jun08 Apr22     (johnson jen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CLASSY TOUCH by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  FRATELLINO Jun09 May20 Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 (vazquez jua)PAGAN Y 116 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
WILLA'S BUGAROO Jun25 Jun01 Nov11 Oct07 Sep10 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 30.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of WILLA WANDO by WANDO)
BRAVE WORDS Jun22 Jun09 Jun01 May08 Apr02 (fletcher jeff)WHITACRE B 116 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BRAVE MICHELLE by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  I'M GREAT TWO Jun22 Jun09 May18 Feb27 Jan31 (baird michael)TAPARA LUIS 123 30.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DEA by MIDSHIPMAN)
JUNIOR CHIEF Jun22         (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 116 5.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ST BALLADO'S LADY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
UNAFFECTED Jul02 Feb25 Nov30 Nov03 Sep18 (vazquez ca)NEGRON LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Jun11 Apr25 Mar21 Feb15 Jan19 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by PIVOTAL out of VASHTI by SHOWCASING)
10  CAROLINA CHEROKEE Jun09 May27 May12 May05 Dec23 (johnson jen)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00    
  (by FINALE out of CAROLINA TWO STEP by TWO STEP SALSA)
SCR  ROCK BULLET Jun28 Jun07 Sep20 Aug18 Jul06 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of CAMARIA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  SUPERSONIC ME Jun13 Mar17 Feb18 Jan14 Oct29 (kubinova eli)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MY COUSIN MARTHA by STAY THIRSTY)
SCR  CRABTREE Jun23 May29 May02 Mar02 Feb07 (yoder susan )GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SWEET DIXIE BELLE by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  HOTLINE BLINK Jun03 May13 Apr29 Apr13 Mar19 (esposito c)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LILA RUTH by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
 
MNR-2   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANTAFIO May18 Mar16 Feb12 Feb01 Dec29 (mcdonald william )YARANGA Y 116 2.00    
TESTED POSITIVE Jun22 Jun03 May19 May13 Apr29 (morzan e)DIAZ R 123 12.00    
BEE WINGS Jun23 Dec01 Nov18 Oct23 Oct13 (brown t)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 9% 10.10    
MONEYSLOT Jun16 May13 Apr28 Dec03 Nov17 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
I MATTER Jun09 May19 Nov18 Oct23 Oct13 (howard willi)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 2.50    
UNCAPTURED FAITH Jun23 Jun03 May19 Oct15 Sep30 (mcdonald w)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00    
 
MNR-3   07/08/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISBEHAVIN Sep24 Aug29 Jul18 Jul04 Jun05 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
ONE TRUTH Jun03 Apr22 Nov08 Oct18 Sep28 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 8.00    
WHOOP GONE Jun15 May11 Apr29 Nov25 Oct28 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
ROYAL CURLIN Jun15 May25 May11 Apr29 Apr15 (silva l)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.00    
NOAH MY BABY May14 Aug24 Jul18 Jun18 May07 (fletcher kevin)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
BEE A SKY BEAM Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Jan31 (clouston edward)WHITACRE B 120 3.50 32% 2.20    
 
MNR-4   07/08/2025 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE May20 Apr18 Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00    
SCR  CAN SHE SCOOT Jun02 May04 Dec10 Dec03 Nov24 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 129 6.00    
DETERMINED LOVE Sep24 Aug14 Aug05 Jul10 Jul02 (robillard julie)TAPARA LUIS 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
GOLDEN NOLE Jun02 May04 Apr02 Aug28 Dec06 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 127 3.00    
PIONEER PARADE Jun14 Apr30 Apr03 Mar12 Jan18 (godsey)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 10% 8.60    
MISS NUCKOLS Jun02 Nov11 Oct15 Sep11 Aug28 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 133 10.00 26% 2.80    
PALMARY Apr27 Apr02 Feb03 Jan25 Dec26 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 125 3.50    
 
MNR-5   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROBALE TEN Jul01 Jun19 Jun08 Feb28 Feb06 (chapman k)NEGRON LUIS 116 3.50    
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Apr24 Apr07 Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 (erdel john)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY FIRE Jun24 Jun08 Sep29 Sep08 Jul29 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 3.00 13% 6.50    
COLD PLUNGE Jun17 Jun02 Dec08 Nov27 Nov17 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Jul02 Jun24 May28 Apr30 Mar30 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
FREE RAMBLING MAN Jun22 Jun16 May26 Feb26 Feb02 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 4.00    
 
MNR-6   07/08/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANGEORDERSONNY Jun17 May27 May03 Feb23 Feb01 (barrett gra)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRUST FUND ROBBER Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 May20 May04 (lopez e)TAPARA LUIS 120 6.00    
FREED FROM DESIRE Jun22 May29 May15 Apr18 Apr10 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 54% 0.80    
FREE FROM GUILT Jun22 Jun01 May13 Apr28 Apr22 (inman robert)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 12.00    
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Jun22 May13 Apr24 Mar02 Feb15 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00    
BIG WAY Jul01 Jun22 May20 May13 Apr28 (silva jose )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
WILEY T Jun22 May20 Apr29 Apr22 Dec04 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.50    
 
MNR-7   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWZANO Jun09 Nov13 Oct02 Jul08 Jun11 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 10.00 11% 7.90    
THIS ONE CAN RUN Jun15 May26 May06 Nov25 Nov10 (douthall james )RAMGEET R 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
SHEWEARSMYRING Jul01 Jun08 May11 Apr08 Mar04 (poole c)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00    
ICE FLOE Jun22 May26 May06 Apr22 Dec01 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  GETS ON BASE May19 Oct30 Oct14 Sep15 Aug26 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
BETSY IS THE CODE Jun15 May20 May06 Aug25 Jul29 (langley s)WHITACRE B 123 4.50    
AUTISM COUNTS Nov24 Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 Sep19 (clouston ed)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 8.00    
 
MNR-8   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLIHOO May14 Apr24 Mar07 Feb07 Jan24 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00    
FAR WEST Jul02 Jun23 Jun03 May25 May19 (silva jose )PAGAN Y 116 3.00    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT Jun29 May22 Apr18 Mar27 Feb06 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00    
MILANO Jun10 May06 Apr28 Apr01 Mar13 (robillard julie)TAPARA LUIS 123 10.00 5% 18.30    
DOCTOR LEE Jul21 Jun25 May27 Nov26 Oct29 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
SLIPPERY WHEN WET Jun30 Jun24 Jun10 Apr11 Apr03 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCRATCHOFF May19 May06 Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 6.00    
DRIVE BY LAYOVER Jun23 May26 Dec10 Nov18 Sep29 (bishop jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 4.50 42% 1.40    
WEEKEND CONCERTO Jun03 May18 Nov11 Oct29 Oct14 (langley s)WHITACRE B 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
10  CAJUN CHAOS Jun16 May25 Dec10 Nov27 Nov04 (boual)TABOADA LIMBER 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.