Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(2/4/5)-(11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(11/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(11/8)-(6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (11/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/8)-(11/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (11/8)-(6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (11/8)-(6/1)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/1/5)-(5/6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOST AND CONFUSED Jun03 May12 Nov26 Oct28 Oct05 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 10.00    
2  BOLD AMBITION May26 Apr11 Mar28 Feb14 Jan03 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 10.00    
3  WINE COLLECTOR May31 Apr27 Mar06 Feb02 Dec14 (maldonado jona)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  DIZZY KITTY Jun16 Nov14 Oct21 Oct03 Sep16 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00    
5  GETTIN'DOWNONIT Jun13 Oct18 Aug29 Jul20 Jun13 (beecher m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  PRETORIAN GOLD Jun13 May03 Sep02 Aug22 Jul25 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50    
SCR  STELLAR LUTE Jun13 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jul06 (perri gin)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00    
SCR  SASSE'S CLASS May26 Nov14 Oct16 Aug28 Aug16 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00    
 
PEN-2   07/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARRIOR'S COBBLER Jun16 May21 May09 Sep10   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
2  WAY OF THE WARRIOR         (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 36% 1.80    
3  VOLODYMYR Jun12 May15 May07 Apr25 Jun25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 125 4.50    
4  FORTHELOVEOFRUN Jun07 May23 May11 May02 Apr13 (maldonado jona)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
5  GALLANT CREEK Oct25 Sep18 Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOCK BARREL Jun20 May25 May10 Aug24 Jun23 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00    
SCR  DIAL IT UP Jun19 May21       (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 125 3.00    
 
PEN-3   07/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETURN FIRE Mar28 Feb27 Feb14 Jan25 Dec15 (maldonado jona)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00    
SCR  THE MAN TO SEE Mar21 Oct31 Sep16 Aug28 Aug21 (dowling willi)ROJAS MARTINA 123 10.00    
SCR  ROUGH AND ROWDY Jun18 May29 May03 Apr04 Mar12 (salinas giovanni )HESS SARA 123 4.50    
SCR  SIGMUND Jun11 May11 Oct23 Sep25 Sep10 (schoenthal ph)RODRIGUEZ YAN 114 8.00    
SCR  VIRAL VIDEO Jun07 May22 May02 Apr07 Mar25 (marquez cesar)RIVERA D 123 20.00    
SCR  HONORS DUE Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar22 Feb28 (salzman e)LOPEZ E 120 20.00    
SCR  BULLRING BULLY May15 Mar20 Mar07 Feb06 Jan02 (gazzier kristy)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
8  SYLVIA I AM May30 Mar21 Mar06 Feb07 Jan09 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  WORK FROM HOME Jun19 Nov08 Oct23 Oct03 Aug28 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 123 4.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Jun19 Aug21 Jul19 Jul10 Jun25 (albright ge)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
11  ARTWELL Jun21 Jun02 May11 Apr27 Apr02 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
 
PEN-4   07/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATISCHUO Jun20         (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DUSTY ROSE by SWING TILL DAWN)
2  LUCAS'S MISCHIEF Jun14 Sep20 Aug31 Jul20   (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARVESTFORTHEWORLD by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
SCR  HIDDEN MOTIVE Jun07 Nov09 Oct04 Sep18 Aug22 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MYSTERIOUS WAYS by HAY HALO)
4  CALL MEE REX         (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TEX MEE A KISS by EUROSILVER)
SCR  LUCA MACHINE Jun13 May22 Jul24 Jul03   (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BROWN GLAZE by WAR FRONT)
6  GREY BIGGSY May26 Apr27 Mar08 Feb01 Dec01 (lynch ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GIFT BOX out of JOY by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  ROYAL RENEGADE May26 Apr26       (merryman e)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 15.00    
  (by MOSLER out of ROYAL RENEGE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  GOODBYE May21 Mar22 Feb23 Jan18 Dec07 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MARGIE IS LIVID by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  THIRTY WEST Nov01 Aug28 Jun29 Jun06 May09 (bennett j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of WHO'S HAPPY by CALLER I. D.)
 
PEN-5   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT DUME May31 May16 Apr18 Apr01 Mar17 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
2  UNCLE CAESAR Jun13 May16 Apr23 Mar06 Jan26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  B DAWK Jun13 Jan26 Mar18 Feb09 Dec15 (kreiser c)FLORES E 121 3.50    
4  MY REDEMPTION Jun20 Jun06 Apr23 Mar28 Mar06 (zalalas michael)CORA D 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIRST GLIMPSE Jun13 May16 May01 Mar28 Mar13 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50    
 
PEN-6   07/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ACT Jun05 May20 Mar28 Mar11 Mar05 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 3.50 17% 5.00    
2  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE Jun18 May22 May09 Feb21 Jan08 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  BERMONDSEY Jan03 Dec04 Nov14 Oct23 Sep11 (nunley randy)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00    
4  SAILOR'S RETURN Jun16 Jun07 May03 Apr15 Apr07 (serey juan)OCASIO M 125 2.50    
5  SWING OIL Jun13 May30 May03 Apr15 Mar24 (rozell ron)AGUILAR M 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNDER THE RADAR Jun16 Jun02 May20 Apr29 Apr15 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 4.50    
 
PEN-7   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER BOSS Jun06 Apr20 Apr10 Mar20 Mar07 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 12.00    
2  MY BOSS LADY Jun13 May15 Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 8.00 6% 15.20    
3  EARLY FROST Jun19 Jun06 May15 May01 Mar20 (ippolito ma)INIRIO J 125 12.00    
4  OLIVE KAT Dec13 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 (gorham michael )MENA E 125 2.50 8% 11.00    
5  DIANE'S MERLOT Jun07 May17 May02 Sep11 Aug21 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 125 2.00 54% 0.80    
6  BUCKS SOME Jun17 May26 May07 Apr16 Mar18 (velazquez danie)BOWMAN ADAM 125 2.50 8% 11.00    
7  SHEHERHERS Jun25 May23 May04 Sep20 Aug24 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.