Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/5/1)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (5/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(8/2/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTM-7   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(8/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-8   WIN (8/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-1   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS OVER JACK'S May16 May03 Jun22 Aug13 Jul08 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 1.40 63% 0.60    
SCR  BRIAR'S ROSE         (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 8.00    
HOPE SHINES Jun24 Oct20 Oct12 Sep29 Aug31 (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
H K MIMI Jun24 Aug10       (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00    
TEMPERED STORM May31 May17 May03 Sep29   (hed)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 3.50    
 
CTM-2   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWNING ISLAND May30 Nov03 Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 123 4.50    
VICTORIA'S CHIEF Jun07 May24 May03 Dec15 Nov22 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00    
NAMESAKE Jun07 May24 Apr18 Jan25 Jan03 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
GOOD BYE PUTIN Jun13 May16 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00    
SELF SERVING Jun07 May17 Oct13 Oct05 Sep22 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jun07 Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 (ward anderson)CARTER KYLE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-3   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A SAINT Jun07 Nov03 Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 (ward anderson)CARTER KYLE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
RACING RIVER Jun15 May31 May09 Oct13 Sep29 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 3.50    
ISLE OF SKYE Jun15 May31 May09 Feb18 Jan14 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
READYTOTAPNSING Jun24 Jun07 May23 May10 Oct27 (ken)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50    
PERDITION May23 Nov03 Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
SALVATOR MUNDI Jun15 May31 May09 Nov24 Nov14 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 4.50    
 
CTM-4   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY'S AGAIN Jun07 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DANCING PORKY Jun13 May09 Mar25 Feb18 May04 (anders)STEADMAN LEON 120 3.50    
ATTACK Apr23 Mar13 Feb09 Dec06 Nov17 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.50    
PIONEER STORM KING Jun24 Jun07 May16 Aug23 Aug05 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
PUTTINGONTHEFOIL Jun07 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03   (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  LAST HARBOR Jun14 May23       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 8.00    
 
CTM-5   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARTERBACK DAK Jun15 May30 Feb24 Feb11 Jan08 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.00    
BRODY'S PAL Jun24 May30 May16 Oct27 Oct20 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
KEEN FLATTER Jun15 May30 May17 Sep06 Aug24 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 6.00    
MOODY JIM (IRE) Jun15 May17 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 123 12.00 12% 7.60    
ATTENZIONE Jun24 May30 Apr23 Oct27 Oct13 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 2.50    
SCR  LATE NIGHT LIVING Jun14 May30 May16 Aug30 Aug10 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00    
IT'S A FACT Jun24 Jun07 Mar29 Mar16 Feb23 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
CTM-6   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMOHR REIGNS Dec11 Oct27 Sep14 Aug09 Oct08 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
PERFORMATIVE Jun14 Oct12 Sep29 Aug18 Aug04 (buf)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00 17% 4.70    
ASKMENOQUESTIONS Jun15 May31 May17 Oct19 Oct13 (grieves ron)CARTER KYLE 125 6.00    
OUR BOLD PRINCE Jun15 May31 May10 Feb24 Feb04 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 125 8.00    
AMUSING WAY Jun15 May31 May17 May03 Aug23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 22% 3.50    
OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Sep29 Sep21 Aug23 Aug09 Jul31 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 20.00    
WESTERBERG Jun27 Jun15 Oct06 Sep28 Sep13 (wyness james)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 15.00    
COMMON KNOWLEDGE Jun15 May31 May17 Nov02 Oct12 (rycroft tim)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
CTM-7   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGAL ASSASSIN Jun13 May30 Oct26 Oct12 Aug30 (heggie rod)FOSTER R 123 4.00    
CAPE'S LEGACY Jun24 Jun06 May23 May09 Oct20 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
HARBOR DANCER Jun13 May30 May16 Oct20 Oct06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.50 8% 11.00    
SAWCHUK Jun24 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul28 (davies dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00    
DETERMINED FREEDOM Jun13 May30 May10 Mar09 Feb07 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
HARD DIAMOND Jun24 May24 May10 Jun08 May17 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  LAST ROUND Jun13 May30 Sep29     (robertson je)HUGHES RASHEED 118 10.00    
BUCK SPRINGS Jun24 Apr26 Nov02 Oct12 Sep29 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 118 15.00    
 
CTM-8   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTEDBIRD Jun24 May30 May10 Sep07 Aug24 (baker tamara)BRYAN D 123 6.00    
DERZKII Jun24 Jun06 May16 Oct13 Sep28 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 5.00 18% 4.70    
COUNTRIFIED Jun24 Jun06 May30 May10 Oct06 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
LAHUN Jun15 May31 May09 Oct26 Oct12 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00    
PARKING PERMIT Jun24 Jun06 May24 Sep07 Aug24 (walper deanna)NELSON DANE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
POINT TO THE STARS Jun15 May16 Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 12.00 17% 4.90    
QUINTO SOL May14 Sep06 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 4.50    
EL NOBLE Jun06 Sep07 Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 (baker t)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.