Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Sunday - June 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/2)-(4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/2/6)-(2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(2/3/6)-(8/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(8/4/1/3)-(5/6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(5/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/3)-(5/6/4/1)-(8/4/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/1)-(8/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   06/29/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANNAWHOLELOTTALUV May12 Apr19 Mar09 Dec29 Dec14 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 116 1.50 24% 3.20    
TENSAS LUCY Mar23 Feb08 Dec08 Aug01 Jun15 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 122 1.00 29% 2.50    
BIEN JOUE May29 Aug14 Jul25 Jun17 May19 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 122 3.50    
CLEVER RACE May12 Apr26 Apr05 Dec27 Sep24 (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 8.00 5% 18.60    
TENSAS CLEAR Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May13 Apr30 (vincent ja)BATISTA X 122 30.00    
 
LAD-2   06/29/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY DEAL Jun16 Jun03 May20 Feb05 Jan24 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 1.50 36% 1.80    
DEE'S LEGS Jun02 May20 May11 Apr23 Feb15 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TINCAN CAT May27 Jan25 Mar06 Feb10 Jan12 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 124 10.00    
MISTERHOLYROLLER Jun10 May16 Apr04 Mar07 Feb14 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 124 1.00    
REGATTA BAY Jun16 May20 May10 Apr26 Mar21 (broussard je)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
 
LAD-3   06/29/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONLY A DREAM May19 Aug27 Aug05 Jun19 May14 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50    
UPTURNED BRIM Jun06 May21 Apr16 Feb19 Jan29 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 122 2.00 11% 8.10    
CREME DE BALI May19 Feb28 Aug28 Aug06 May24 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
SALT SPRAY (IRE) Jun15 Jan08 Jun08 Apr21 Sep14 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 65% 0.50    
GET RIPPED May19 May11 Apr27 Mar07 Feb16 (jacks e)PENA JONUELLE 117 12.00    
DUDE PERFECTA Jan19 Sep25 Jul04 Jun16 Apr05 (jacks e)VARGAS P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   06/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOPAC TRAFFIC Jun16 Jun03 May13 Apr17 Mar12 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00    
OUR LAST HALF Dec22 Nov18 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
AUSTYN JANE Jun03 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17   (duhon o)BOREL H 124 2.00 18% 4.40    
SHELBI'S STAR Jun03 Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 119 3.00    
E R'S MIREYA Feb13 Jan28 Jan02 Dec21 Nov15 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 124 8.00    
SPECIAL STRIKE Jun09 Feb05 Jan09 Dec19 Nov08 (wilson melt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 12.00 11% 7.90    
 
LAD-5   06/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEDDING GIFT Jun14 May22 Apr17 Mar12 Feb14 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
RANDY DAYTONA Jun17 Jun02 May19 Apr25 Mar19 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00    
PICCOLO UOMO Jun09 Feb23 Jan31 Jan02 Dec21 (clary jaylan )PENA JONUELLE 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
ECLETO CREEK         (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
EXTRAVAGANT PRINCE May24 Apr27 Mar14 Mar06 Feb13 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00    
SWEET PRESENT Jun02 May19 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 (gomez jorg)BATISTA X 125 30.00    
LITTLE DITTY May03 Mar16 Feb15     (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 2.00    
KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY May17 Mar14 Feb21 Jan07 Jul24 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
LAD-6   06/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING TWIRL Mar13         (broussard jervon)MECHE COLE 110 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BAMA MO by UNCLE MO)
TO THE CHIEF Jun03 Mar19       (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of WORTH A CHANCE MO by UNCLE MO)
FIRE IN MY SUL May25 Apr12 Mar08     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of POOL LAND by SILVER DEPUTY)
RANGO May25 Feb08       (asmussen stev)PENA JONUELLE 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of UNBRIDLED HUNTRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
PERICULUM Jun03 Dec07       (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 65% 0.50    
  (by BLAME out of SOUL SPIRIT by QUALITY ROAD)
DEELITESANDIMSUM May26 May13 Apr11 Mar04 Jan24 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 115 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by CATALINA RED out of DEELITES D'OR by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
SCR  FLAWLESS BEAST Apr19         (duhon o)BOREL H 118 6.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of JEANNIE S by SKY MESA)
A THOUSAND ARROWS Jun10         (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 115 5.00    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of A THOUSAND TEARS by SAINT AFLEET)
ARKOMA May03 Apr19 Mar29     (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of PRETORIA by MALIBU MOON)
 
LAD-7   06/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY LOVER BOY Jun09 Feb21 Feb05     (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 120 10.00    
COPESTHEBOMB Jun09 May17 Mar23 Feb19 Jan29 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 118 20.00    
HERCULES N LOVE Jun02 May19 Mar14 Feb12 Jan18 (tillis jerr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MO CAN DO Jun14 May15 Apr25 Dec08 Nov06 (zenon shelton)MECHE COLE 117 4.00 22% 3.60    
KEEP A COPY May17 Apr25 Mar21 Feb22   (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 6.00    
CHAHTA CITIZEN Jun02 May17 May05 Apr09 Mar24 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
KAH NIGH Jun05 May16 May03 Apr19 Apr10 (dussette alvin)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 12.00    
DEFTLY DONE Jun02 May17 Apr19 Feb14 Jan09 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 118 1.40 52% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.