Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - June 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(2/1/3)-(10/3/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(10/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(10/3/4/1)-(7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/4/1)-(10/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/4/1)-(10/3/4/1)-(10/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/4/1)-(7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/3/4/1)-(7/2/6)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(3/6/2)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(5/4/3)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   06/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEIGH'S LAST HERO May07 Apr07 Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 (castillo miche)CORREA JULIO 124 20.00    
DIAL IT UP May21         (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
MAGIC OF TWOSDAY         (hendriks mclane)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 8.00 30% 2.40    
CHUCKY OUR LAW May22 May02 Apr14 Mar14 Feb19 (galligan gera)ROJAS MARTINA 119 5.00    
SCR  DATS TAP Jun08 May23 Apr26 Dec22 Nov16 (singh somra)HAMILTON WESTON 121 2.50    
SCR  SHOWTIME MATINEE May23 May09 Apr15     (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 121 3.00    
SCR  CONCRETE JACK May07 Mar20       (rathman eli)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 8.00    
THICK AND JUICY May30 May01       (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-2   06/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET SET Jun02 May17 Apr21 Apr02 Mar03 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 124 1.60 20% 4.00    
BALLAD OF WARRIOR May23 Apr24 Mar13 Mar06 Dec30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
MOBEER May03 Aug06 May17 Mar13 Feb09 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PARTY AT SAM'S May30 May08 Apr16 Mar17 Mar03 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.00    
EAGLES CRY Jun10 May06 Apr23 Mar17 Mar03 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   06/19/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALORE Jun06 May08 Apr18 Mar21 Feb21 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
THIRD WATCH (GB) Jun07 May16 Apr25 Mar31 Mar05 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00    
MALIBU WARRIOR Jun07 May29 May02 Mar14 Feb27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
YES POINT Jun01 Mar31 Mar05 Jan29 Dec20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  MARYLAND MOON Jun07 May12 Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 (dowling willia)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
SCR  SASSE'S CLASS May26 Nov14 Oct16 Aug28 Aug16 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Jun07 May23 Feb21 Jan08 Aug30 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 118 50.00    
LUCKY RUNNING CAT May23 Apr15 Mar05 Jan28 Dec12 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.50    
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Aug21 Jul19 Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 4.50    
10  MIDNIGHT AMBITION May26 May03 Nov21 Oct16 Oct03 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 122 5.00 27% 2.60    
 
PEN-4   06/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE GEORGY May24 Apr13 Mar28 Feb21 Dec19 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 122 12.00    
WORK FROM HOME Nov08 Oct23 Oct03 Aug28 Aug21 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
HIGHS N GOES May17 Nov06 Oct04 Sep03 Aug21 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 3.00    
SCR  J R JONE Z Apr26 Nov03 Oct20 Sep12 Aug23 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
JIGGERY POKERY Jun02 Feb27 Jan29 Jan02 Dec16 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
FREE DROP BACH May31 May23 Apr25 Dec20 Nov21 (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 6% 14.60    
POKER PLAYER KAZ May15 Apr25 Feb27 Feb07   (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MOCHA DIANE May22 Dec20 Dec01 Oct02 Aug27 (houghton thomas)CORA D 114 8.00    
 
PEN-5   06/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR ON TAP May29 May03 Mar27 Mar14 Feb21 (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE May29 May01 Mar28 Jan08 Dec27 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
BRETT'S WORLD May02 Apr04 Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Jun06 May09 Oct23 Sep28 Sep17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
SWEET SPITE May23 May08 Mar13 Feb21 Jan08 (fields kevin)FLORES E 124 4.50    
SPINNING MUSICIAN May15 May02 Mar13 Feb21 Jan02 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-6   06/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIA'S FUEGO Jun03 May26 Apr16 Apr08 Feb20 (diaz jorge)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 119 4.00    
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Jun06 May15 May01 Mar28 Mar14 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
EARLY FROST Jun06 May15 May01 Mar20 Mar06 (ippolito ma)INIRIO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LA LIMA Jun06 May23 May01 Mar20 Mar06 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND May01 Mar20 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
MIKEY'S JEWEL May01 Mar14 Feb19 Nov29 Nov06 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 124 6.00    
STEPHANIE MY LOVE May23 Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 6.00    
 
PEN-7   06/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL NATION May30 May09 Apr24 Apr02 Feb28 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 2.50    
SMART SHERYL LEE May07 Apr23 Mar28 Aug22 Jul31 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
CITY OF LONDON Apr23 Mar06 Feb06 Dec18 Nov21 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
NEW BOOTS Jun05 May22 May11 Mar20 Mar09 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
RED BETTY Jun05 May22 May01 Mar21 Feb28 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S GO MO Jun05 Oct25 Oct01 Aug30 Aug22 (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.