Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - May 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/4/3)-(4/5/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/5/3)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/1/5)-(7/6/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/5)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(7/6/1)-(1/4/7/3/5) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
ASD-6   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/6/1)-(1/4/7/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/4/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/3/5)-(1/4/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/3/5)-(1/4/7/3/5)-(1/4/7/3/5) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   05/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEVIE WONDER GIRL Nov02 Oct19 Sep22 Sep07 Aug17 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 121 5.00    
HALFINTHEWRAPPER Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 0.80 51% 1.00    
SCR  SPEEDY GIGI Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 May23 Apr01 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 8.00    
HAPPY HOUR Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 121 4.00    
FRANKIE'S GIRL Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 Jul26 Jun15 (anderson wen)BENNETT MATHEW 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
ASD-2   05/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S NOT THE LAW Apr30 Apr16 Apr02 Mar12   (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 2.00    
TREE HUGGER May14 Sep23 Aug27 Aug21 Aug06 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.60 24% 3.20    
ADVENTUROUS Sep03 Aug21       (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 5.00 18% 4.70    
FORGOT THE ROSES Apr23 Apr02 Feb13 Jan24 Aug06 (laing sherry)PAYNE DIBAGGIO 113 3.00 21% 3.70    
PURR TIGER Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 Jan24 Dec28 (laing sherry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 10.00    
 
ASD-3   05/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIA SUZI Mar18 Feb24 Feb13 Jan28 Jan08 (laing sherry)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.50    
OLIVE'S CANDY Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 121 4.50    
ALMOST GOT LUCKY Mar26 Mar03 Jan08 Dec28 Nov24 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
OCEAN BIRD Apr12 Mar29 Mar16 Mar01 Nov19 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 123 2.00 33% 2.10    
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
ASD-4   05/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEKO MAKEE Dec06 Nov08 Oct21 Oct15 Sep30 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.40 29% 2.40    
HANGIN' TUFF Apr11 Mar30 Mar08 Feb22 Nov06 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 3.50    
LUCKY APPEAL Sep23 Sep18 Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 (delaronde lee)HEWITT ROGER 122 10.00 12% 7.30    
RESPECT THE UNION Mar25 Feb26 Jan21 Dec30 Apr04 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50    
DIAMOND CONCERTO Sep24 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
SALTO DEL LUPO Sep24 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 (duncan)LEWIS ANTHONY 122 15.00    
 
ASD-5   05/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT OAK Sep23 Sep16 Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 (tourangeau )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
DELVECCHIO May13 Nov02 Oct19 Sep23 Sep17 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 1.80    
REALLY SLOW Sep24 Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 Jul29 (morse victoria)PRUITT CIERA 112 15.00    
MOON CONNECTION Sep23 Sep03 Aug26 Aug14 Jul23 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
HAPPY CAMPER Sep24 Sep16 Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 (desjarlai)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DESIGNATED HITTER Nov14 Oct18 Oct04 Sep06 Aug23 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.50    
 
ASD-6   05/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINI GLAZED DONUT Aug27 Aug14 Jul29     (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET CINNAMON BUN by POWER BROKER)
FRANKLY Sep09 Aug14 Jul09     (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 2.50    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
TWOLEFTTOLOAD Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 Jul09   (nault mi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 2.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
TURN IT LOOSE Sep18 Aug27 Aug06     (hunter judy)CUMBERBATCH R 119 5.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of CRITICAL CHOICE by MARQUETRY)
SCR  BORN IN A BLIZZARD         (husbands tif)BENNETT MATHEW 119 15.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of CIRCULAR LOGIC by STREET BOSS)
NONIE'S COOKIE         (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 119 12.00 27% 2.70    
  (by NONIOS out of STORIED by DONERAILE COURT)
NIKKITYSPLIT         (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SPECULATING out of SPITEOFSUCCESS by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
ASD-7   05/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN ECHO Jul16         (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 117 5.00 30% 2.40    
SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Mar15 Mar05 Jan25 Dec11 Nov20 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 2.50    
MR. SPLASH Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16   (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 12.00 9% 9.80    
DARE TO ENDURE Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul03   (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
CONSPIRACYTHEORIST Sep17 Sep03 Aug21     (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
AIR FORCE RESERVE Sep24 Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 20.00    
BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME Aug28 Aug12 Jul29     (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 10.00 14% 6.30    
LEMON TWIST Nov03 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug11 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 15.00    
BIG WALK Apr14 Mar26 Mar11 Mar02 Feb15 (gourneau jaso)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.