Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/2/3)-(2/3/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/3/8/1)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1)-(2/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/1)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/1)-(6/2/4)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/6/2)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARBOUR BRIDGE May03 Feb05 Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 122 5.00    
2  AU SOME WARRIOR Mar17 Feb25 Jan29 Jan14 Dec03 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  PREACH IT WARRIOR Dec11 Nov14 Oct01 Aug27 Aug05 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00    
SCR  BUZZ ADAMS Apr23 Mar28 Mar06 Jan18   (kravets bru)RAMOS O 119 6.00    
5  GOLDEN COOKIE Apr23 Oct20 Aug24 Jul24   (hetrick k)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.50    
6  MR. GEORGIE Apr23 Apr15 Sep18 Sep01 Aug10 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-2   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARGO SHIP Apr24 Jun13 May15 May03 Apr08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  KBCYA LATER May03 Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Dec18 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 1.80 21% 3.70    
3  MY BLUE EYES May03 Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 (martinez jo)RAMOS O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  EDDIEMUSH Apr15 Mar31 Mar07 Feb27 Feb03 (pe)GONZALEZ JORGE 122 5.00    
5  MAGNIFICENT RIDE May03 Mar27 Mar13 Feb27 Dec27 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
 
PEN-3   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRD WATCH (GB) Apr25 Mar31 Mar05 Feb26 Jan29 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PURECRAZIGROOVE May02 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
3  STRASSE May02 Mar21 Mar07 Feb27 Dec03 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  ABBY'S SPIRIT May02 Mar27 Mar06 Jun27 Jun13 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00    
SCR  UNSWAYED Apr15 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 (duarte )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 1.40    
6  GRUMPY BROOKSIE May02 Mar27 Mar06 Feb06 Dec13 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 6.00    
7  LONG TOM May02 Apr24 Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 (harigeorgio)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 50.00    
8  RAGING BEAR Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Jan30 Dec13 (albright amy)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-4   05/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGH ACHIEVER         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 8.00    
2  ELENI Apr26 Mar08 Feb22 Dec07 Nov03 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.50 18% 4.60    
3  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE May03 Feb28 Nov20 Nov01 Sep11 (montford leslie)FLORES E 124 8.00    
4  VIXENZHYPNOTKHONEY Apr25         (houghton thom)ROJAS MARTINA 121 12.00 9% 9.80    
5  OCTET Apr25         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00    
6  WARRIORS JEWEL May03 Apr08 Mar30 Feb19 Dec13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
PEN-5   05/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAUX PAS (IRE) Apr09 Mar18 Mar03 Feb03 Jan15 (brown r)BOWMAN ADAM 124 1.40    
SCR  TRACE MARTINIS Jan09 Aug29 Aug14 Aug07 Jul05 (johnson car)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 20.00    
3  CASHPOINT May01 May28 May11 Feb22 Jan30 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  WINBORI Apr29 Apr09 Mar12 Mar03 Feb11 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 8.00    
5  SPICY K Mar28 Nov01 Sep13 Aug23   (montford leslie)FLORES E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAPAS WARRIOR May08 Apr24       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 32% 2.20    
 
PEN-6   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU STAR Apr02 Mar03 Jan29 Jan13 Dec06 (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
2  TOPS THE CHART May04 Apr05 Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TREBLE CLEF Apr23 Mar18 Feb06 Jan13 Dec12 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 41% 1.50    
4  UNCLE CAESAR Apr23 Mar06 Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50    
5  TEN GAUGE Apr09 Mar06 Feb06 Jan13 Dec06 (velazquez danie)BOWMAN ADAM 120 3.50    
6  FIRST GLIMPSE May01 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Jan10 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
PEN-7   05/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) Apr25 Mar17 Feb26 Nov12 Oct16 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
2  DEBATE May01 Mar28 Mar08 Feb15 Feb07 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CURLINGTON May01 Mar13 Jan08 Dec27 Nov06 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
4  BROOKLYN STRONG Apr12 Mar14 Feb14 Jan19 Dec20 (velazquez d)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 115 2.50    
5  STYNER May01 Apr04 Mar19 Oct28 Oct08 (englehart jeff)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  MEMORY BOUQUET May01 Apr11 Mar13 Dec27 Dec04 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.