Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/8)-(6/7/2/5)-(8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (6/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/5)-(8/7/4)-(6/2/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4)-(6/2/7/8)-(5/3/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (6/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (5/3/6/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/7/10)-(5/3/6/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/7/10)-(5/3/6/7/10)-(5/3/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (9/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4)-(9/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/4)-(9/8/1/10)-(10/6/2/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-8   WIN (9/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/10)-(9/8/3/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/10)-(9/8/3/1/10)-(9/8/3/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/1/10)-(10/6/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-9   WIN (10/6/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/2/4/3)-(10/6/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/2/4/3)-(10/6/2/4/3)-(10/6/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   05/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A COWBOY Apr06 Mar07 Feb21 Feb09 Jan26 (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 124 4.50    
SCR  RECKLESS RED May03 Apr18 Mar29 Mar08 Feb21 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00    
ALGEBRA Apr26 Apr06 Feb17 Jan19 Dec13 (green ike)JUAREZ J 124 15.00 8% 11.20    
CARBON STRYKER Apr18 Mar07 Feb14 Jan16 Dec18 (ashford tris)DELA ERIC 119 12.00    
HEZAKOOLKAT Apr27 Mar16 Feb13 Feb02 Jan11 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50    
SHARP LORENZO Mar07 Feb02 Jan24 Jan04 Jun28 (caldwell r)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 9% 10.60    
MY LITTLE PRINCE Apr18 Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 Jan31 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
LS-2   05/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER STORM May01 Mar07 Feb16 Jan05 Dec13 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
ZAPHOD Apr19 Mar09 Jan24 Dec13 Nov15 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
KANGAROO COAST Apr17 Mar14 Feb16 Jan11 Nov16 (davis h)REYES R 119 12.00    
DRINKS AT THE CLUB Apr04 Jan25 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  GRAND SAM Mar16 Feb20 Feb08 Dec13 Nov23 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
LAST ATTACK Feb17 Jan17 Dec20 Dec08 Oct12 (gelner jayde )RIVERA SANTOS 124 4.00    
PRIORITY LANE Mar29 Feb02 Dec04 Nov16 Oct09 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
RISKY WITH WHISKEY Mar29 Mar15       (martin steve)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-3   05/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($42.5K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY DAWN Apr18 Mar15 Feb22 Jan11 Nov22 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 124 12.00    
WITHOUT A TRACE Apr26 Mar16 Dec06 Oct19 Sep29 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
MANOR BORN Feb01 Jan03 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00    
KENNEL CLUB Dec28 Oct04 Aug23 Jul04 May04 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00    
BOBBY BRINKLEY Mar22 Mar01 Feb15 Jan24 Jan11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ILLUSTRATOR May04 Mar02 Feb09 Jul06 Jun22 (ashford ray)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
WHISKEY NOT WINE Feb09 Jan11 Nov15 Oct25 Oct02 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
SPOILER May03 Mar15 Feb23 Nov16 Oct19 (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 124 3.00    
SCR  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT Apr24 Jun23 May10 Apr06 Feb09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 4.50    
 
LS-4   05/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEATING HEART Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 Feb14 Jan24 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.20    
  (by YOSHIDA out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
DRAMA KING May02 Apr19 Jan25 Jan11 Nov06 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00    
  (by KING ZACHARY out of KATY DRAMA by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  ROMAN EAGLE Apr18 Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.00    
  (by EAGLE out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
ONE DEAL Mar08         (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of ONE STEP by WICKED STRONG)
HECKAMIGHTY Apr13 Mar01       (sanchez noel)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 20.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of EAU DE VIE by DHAUDEVI)
SCR  WIN'S IMAGE         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of AWESOME ALPHA by AWESOME AGAIN)
DO NOT         (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 122 10.00 33% 2.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of AVERYS MISS by INTERACTIF)
GRIND JIM Mar21 Mar02 Feb14     (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
  (by GHURAIR out of BUMFOOJALUM by GRINDSTONE)
 
LS-5   05/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERLIANO Apr18 Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Feb08 (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 124 4.50    
NAUTICAL MOON Apr26 Mar21 Mar07 Jan10 Dec06 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
LEGENDARY LORE Apr20 Mar30 Mar07 Feb23 Oct09 (kane )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50    
POMEROY HAZE Apr17 Feb14 Jan15 Dec19 Dec04 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
DOSE'S DREAM Apr27 Apr19 Apr04 Mar08 Feb16 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 8.00    
SPEIGHT AND MALICE Apr19 Apr04 Mar09 Feb22 Jan05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
CAJUN EDDIE Apr26 Mar28 Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 6% 16.90    
ITS MY MONEY TOO Apr17 Apr06 Mar22 Mar14 Mar07 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-6   05/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPONGE BATH Apr27 Mar15 Jun16 May10 Feb16 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50    
LEMON MERINGUE Apr22 Apr14 Mar31 Mar17 Feb16 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
TURQUOISE BLUE Apr04 Mar21 Feb16 Jan11 Nov15 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED May02 Mar23 Sep23 Aug31 Jun17 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
IMPERIAL RED BIRD Apr27 Jun16 Apr18 Mar16 Feb17 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
ESSAY Apr20 Mar30 Feb21 Jan25 Dec13 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00 12% 7.40    
DANCE MAN May02 Apr18 Apr06 Mar21 Mar08 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
IMMA BLINGY LAD Mar08 Aug25 Apr28 Aug27 Aug12 (ascencio a)BENAVIDES D 124 30.00    
GET RIPPED Apr27 Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 Nov19 (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 10.00    
10  PASS LINE May02 Mar14 Feb15 Jan26 Dec21 (green ike)JUAREZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  FASTENED Apr17 Mar01 Feb07 Jan03 Dec20 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00    
 
LS-7   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITYCITYBLINGBLING Apr05 Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Jul07 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.50    
ANGEL IN THE AIR Mar30 Mar15 Sep11 Aug30 Jun22 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Apr25 Mar28 Mar02 Feb09 Jan24 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50    
IMMA GOING TO WIN Apr09 Mar28 Mar02 Feb09 Jan18 (rangel raul)REYES R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BRINGONTHEBUBBLY Apr25 Mar28 Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 124 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S EXTRA Apr25 Apr05 Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 (govea cesar)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
YODA WINNER Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 Feb21   (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 8.00 13% 6.60    
EVENING EDGE Apr05 Mar22 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.00 13% 6.40    
CHICA COMPETITIVA Apr18 Apr05 Mar08 Jan31   (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
LS-8   05/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MAVIS Apr25 Apr05 Mar21 Feb16 Feb01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKE THE BELL Apr26 Mar21 Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00    
CONTESSA'S SONG Apr18 Apr05 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
SAY AS I SAY Apr18 Mar29 Feb22 Feb09 Jan03 (dupuy allen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 6.00    
CAPETOWN CANDY Apr26 Mar16 Mar02 Feb02 Jan12 (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
SPUNOUTOFCONTROL Apr05 Mar15 Mar04 Nov18 Oct23 (cravens ronnie)REYES R 118 30.00    
SCR  MAYBELLY Apr18 Apr06 Feb01 Sep19 Nov25 (young bob)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
TRIBE Apr26 Mar16 Feb22 Feb09 Dec05 (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 9% 10.50    
RUN JUDY RUN Apr27 Mar29 Feb09 Jan10 Nov18 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 118 3.50 62% 0.60    
10  SPARKLY May01 Mar21 Feb03 Dec13 Oct22 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-9   05/11/2025 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALMORHEA Apr04         (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 118 15.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MS. RUBIN by SKY MESA)
MISSY GURL Mar09 Feb16 Feb01 Nov15 Oct30 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
COMPENDIUM Mar30         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of VICTORY KINGDOM by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
ANDREA DIANE Apr20 Feb15 Jun08 May11 Apr27 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 7% 12.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HARD LOVIN WOMAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
ZIAH Y G Mar30 Mar22 Feb01 Nov29 Oct19 (mendoza edgar)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MATTIE CAMP by FOREST CAMP)
SIGNORA VITTORIA Oct25 Sep14 Aug11 Jul14 May11 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRAGMATIC PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
WONDER WAVE (IRE) Apr20 Apr04 Feb23 Dec28 Nov19 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of AWOHAAM by IFFRAAJ (GB))
ROYAL SUBJECT Mar22 Mar09 Feb01 Oct10 Aug18 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROO LIKE YOU by BELONG TO ME)
BARBANERA Mar30 Dec22 Oct30 Sep27   (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of HOMESCHOOLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  SUGARCOAT Apr20 Mar22 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 (davis h)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KALAHARI CAT by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  CRUEL Apr26         (ashford ray)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BORN MEAN by UNCLE MO)
SCR  RITZY MISCHIEF Apr04 Mar09 Feb07 Oct02   (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  WAVER Apr25 Feb28 Jan19 Oct23 Aug12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of WEDDING JITTERS by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  LA RONALDA Y G Apr04 Feb01 Jan12 Oct19 Sep28 (mendoza edgar)RIVERA SANTOS 118 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.