Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/5)-(5/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/1)-(5/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/2/4)-(4/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/6/7/1)-(2/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/1)-(2/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/1)-(2/1/6/3)-(3/6/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(3/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (3/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROP DEAD SEXY Mar06 Feb13 Jan20 Dec27 Dec05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.20    
2  ZOOM ERIN Mar12 Feb20 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  TAY TAY'S BABY Mar14 Feb08 Feb01 Jan11 Nov25 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
4  NATURAL TOUCH Apr17 Mar14 Feb22 Feb07 Jan25 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 6.00 6% 16.40    
5  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Apr26 Apr12 Mar12 Feb15 Jan24 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
 
LAD-2   05/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS KENNEDY Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 Jan16 Dec05 (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50    
2  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Mar20 Feb07 Jan16 Sep17 Sep02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 126 1.00    
SCR  SHE'S TAKIN OVER Oct26 Aug14 Jun17 May21 Feb16 (johnson he)RAMIREZ JR 117 6.00    
4  GYPSYROSELEE Mar20 Feb27 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 (roberson kev)EDISON JOCELYN 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  AVERI EVER AFTER Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 Jan16 Dec12 (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 17.20    
 
LAD-3   05/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER LOVER May03 Apr04 Mar16 Mar07 Feb22 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  COOKN WIT CATMAN Feb14 Jan24 Sep26 Jul09 Jun04 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
3  IMPECCABILITY Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Jan11 Dec27 (duke steve)BATISTA X 124 8.00    
SCR  DUMBSTRUCK Sep26 Aug14 Jul12 Jun06 Apr25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00    
5  NUMERO SIETE Apr30 Apr16 Mar16 Jan27 Dec15 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  WHISKEY WITH YOU Apr17 Apr04 Mar16 Mar07 Jan17 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
 
LAD-4   05/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST VERDICT Feb12 Jan31 Jan10 Dec04 Nov07 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
2  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Mar21 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 1.00 36% 1.70    
3  ROCK ON COWBOY Feb19 Jan31 Jan10 Dec27 Nov23 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
4  GOBOT Feb06 Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 Oct29 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAYOU JAM Feb22 Jan30 Jan10 Dec11 Nov23 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  SHE TOLD YOU SO Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 Jun25 Jun05 (gibson jonas)DIAZ RENE 117 6.00    
 
LAD-5   05/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS KISS Apr27 Mar29 Jan03 Dec02 Nov06 (triana alf)RAMIREZ JR 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RISKY SECRET Mar18 Feb28       (husak j)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  BALITRIX Nov22 Oct17 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 (vincent jarvis)BOREL H 125 10.00    
4  EMBRASSER Mar21 Mar09 Feb16 Jan03 Dec15 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  DEES LITTLE GIRL Sep26 Aug20 Jun11 May29   (vincen)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 30.00    
6  SHEHASANATTITUDE Apr26 Apr09 Mar13 Feb27 Jan16 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00 18% 4.60    
7  FOXY'S HONOR Apr26 Apr11 Mar22     (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.50 13% 7.00    
8  TRUST FUND BABY Feb21 Jan25 Dec20 Sep26 Sep04 (mickelson j)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 125 3.00    
 
LAD-6   05/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGSCOTE Feb28 Sep01 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 (balderas alfo)PENA JONUELLE 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  STARSTUDDED AFFAIR Feb22 Sep24 Aug17 Jul05 Jun05 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  SLIM JIMMY Apr19 Apr10 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Apr04 Mar08 Jan17 Sep23 Aug22 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
5  DEE'S LEGS Apr23 Feb15 Feb05 Jan25 Jan10 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 5.00    
6  JOEYBONES Apr19 Mar18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 (carter)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
7  NEPHI Apr04 Mar08 Feb22 Jan17 Aug14 (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
 
LAD-7   05/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TOUCH Mar16 Feb08 Jul29 Jun27 Jun04 (fogarty desmo)PENA JONUELLE 119 30.00    
2  SUPER STORMY Feb16 Dec12 Sep16 Aug14 Jul09 (schmidt denise)SINGH R 126 12.00    
3  IN YOUR LIFE Apr19 Feb12 Jan23 Nov29 Oct18 (wong jon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 126 2.00 63% 0.60    
4  AZTEC EMPRESS Mar19 Mar08 Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 (duke steve)BATISTA X 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACK STREET BABY Feb20 Dec27 Nov29 Aug31 Aug19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 1.80    
6  CHATON ROUGE Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 May18 Apr28 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 126 4.00 7% 13.60    
7  SISTER SEEK Mar19 Dec29 Aug14 May22 May04 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 126 12.00 6% 15.50    
8  REAL MISCHIEVOUS Mar30 Mar15 Jan01 Nov20 Oct23 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.