Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(7/9/3/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(7/9/3/1/5)-(5/2/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-2   WIN (7/9/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/1/5)-(7/9/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/1/5)-(7/9/3/1/5)-(7/9/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/3/1/5)-(5/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3/1/5)-(5/2/4)-(5/1/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(5/1/4)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-5   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/3/5)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(4/1/6)-(8/4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-8   WIN (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR OF GOLD Mar12 Jan18 May31     (irion heather)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 3.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of GOLD CELEBRITY by BERNSTEIN)
2  YOUNG MISCHIEF Nov02 Oct17 Sep21 Aug29 Aug17 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 126 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of YOUNG ROYALTY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
3  GONNA PICK DOMENIC Apr13 Mar22 Feb07 Jan24 Dec27 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 4.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BELLAMENTARY by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  ZIPADEEDOODA Jan30 Oct23       (delong ben)GILES EMMANUEL 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CONCERT PIANIST by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  CHILDERSATTACK Oct17         (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 10.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of AVERY ROSE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
6  REGAINED POWER Apr20 Apr10 Mar30 Feb13   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REINA MARIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
FP-2   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Dec28 Nov02 Oct17 Oct05 Aug24 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
2  IDEA MAN Apr03 Oct31 Oct17 Sep24 Aug22 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.20    
3  ROAD GAME Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul23 Jul09 (durham mike)WALES T 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
4  CARL G Apr17 Mar27 Oct12 Sep17 Sep07 (lynch har)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 12.00    
5  DILLON ROCKS Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 Jun28 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MODAZZLE Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (martinez-linares )LOPEZ A 124 20.00    
7  LORD GRANTHAM Apr03 Nov02 Sep03 Aug17 Aug04 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
8  BOURBON DELIGHT Dec03 Nov06 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 (castro)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 15.00    
9  MAJOR CONTENDER Oct31 Oct17 Oct08 Sep03 Aug10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
FP-3   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECAUSE Sep17         (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 118 3.00    
2  LAST RETURN         (blea tony)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 116 5.00 22% 3.60    
3  FORT GRIMES Nov02         (bahena)ORTEGA JOSEPH 118 6.00    
4  HEARTBREAK GAME Mar30 Dec21 Nov02 Oct22 Oct03 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOUTH OF BIRMINHAM Mar14 Feb22 Jan23 Jan04 Dec05 (delong ben)GILES EMMANUEL 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  CRUISER SONG Nov02         (watkins j)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 126 4.00    
 
FP-4   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRANKSHAFT Dec11 Nov15 Oct26 Jul02 Jun18 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  UPBEAT MELODY Apr30 Apr16 Mar23 Oct21 Sep12 (manley steve)FELIX E 124 5.00    
3  TAPIT SAM Oct31 Oct17 Sep17 Sep07 Aug20 (randazzo fran)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  AFRICAN WARRIOR Oct31 Oct22 Sep24 Sep14 Sep03 (foxworth leo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 12.00    
5  KING DOODLE Oct31 Oct22 Oct05 Sep14 Apr16 (becker scott)WALES T 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
6  UGLY DUCKLING Nov02 Oct22 Aug26 Jul19 Jun02 (nesbit)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 15.00    
7  RACARINO Apr10 Nov02 Oct24 Oct08 Sep21 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.00    
 
FP-5   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE PUTT RICHIE Apr10 Mar27 Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  STALLONE Sep28 Jul20 Jun11 May04 Apr16 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 122 12.00    
3  LAKE MILLS Oct31 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
4  GIRLOLAMO'GLORY Oct01 Aug31 Aug10 Jul09 Jun22 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BERNIE LOMAX Oct31 Oct12 Sep24 Sep05 Aug17 (manley steve)WALES T 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  FULL MAGAZINE Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 Sep17 Sep03 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
7  VALIANTLY DISCREET Mar27 Dec19 Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
 
FP-6   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADELYN ATTACK Oct29 Sep19 Aug08 Jul21 May19 (rednour jr)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00    
2  WILDWOOD ADIOS Apr10 Dec04 Oct31 Oct19 Sep12 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  CLIQUE Apr22 Nov24 Sep24 Sep04 Jul27 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
4  THERDGOESONFOREVER Apr03 Mar21 Feb24     (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 116 3.00    
5  WORD GAME Dec13 Oct23 Oct08     (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL BLOOD Feb06 Jan16 Nov21 Nov03 Oct16 (bentle)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00    
 
FP-7   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHODIUMS PRIDE Dec07 Oct29 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  WESLAN Oct15 Aug31 Jul27 Jul06 Jun09 (wainwright john)WALES T 124 5.00    
3  PONTUS Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 Aug17 Jun30 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00    
4  HAND OVER MY HEART Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug24 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  MAMAS FIRE Apr06 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug31 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
6  COOLTHING Apr03 Oct29 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 (lynch har)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-8   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETE'S LEGACY Nov02 Oct24 Oct12 Oct01 Sep14 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
2  CUTADAY Nov02 Oct24 Oct08 Sep24 Sep07 (burdess terr)GILES EMMANUEL 124 8.00    
3  FLASH CADILLAC Oct15 Sep17 Aug31 Jul23 Jul09 (manley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 2.50 11% 8.00    
4  RICKY WANNABE Mar27 Feb26 Feb05 Dec21 Oct31 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY Nov02 Oct19 Oct01 Sep14 Aug17 (straub ma)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
6  TRICKY MOMENT Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 (martin dawn)DIEGO JAVIER 116 10.00    
7  TIZWOW Nov02 Aug27 Aug13 Jul09 Jun11 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
8  GOLDEN BUCK Oct17 Sep29 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.