Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/4)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(7/8/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-8   WIN (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/5)-(7/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-9   WIN (7/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-1   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY BELLE Mar12 Feb21 Feb05     (zielke madison)CARTER KYLE 115 3.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of HOLY EMPRESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
THATSWHATIMHEREFOR Apr09 Oct27 Oct05     (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of ENNIS LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
QUEENS OVER JACK'S Jun22 Aug13 Jul08     (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of PASS PARTOUT by TIZNOW)
SENECAIT         (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VISIONIT out of MS CLASSIC SENECA by SENECA JONES)
EITHERINORINTHEWAY Mar26 Mar06 Feb10 Jan22   (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 4.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of LITTLE DANCER by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CTM-2   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINGER FED         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
WILLING TO TRY Apr02 Mar26       (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
MAKALEI BEACH Aug31 Aug10       (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00    
DAZ LIN FORCE Jul13 Jun14 May31 Sep30 Aug28 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 2.50    
TEMPERED STORM Sep29         (hedge ri)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
CTM-3   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLS BILLS BILLS         (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SPECIAL CITY by CITY ZIP)
FORGOTTEN MAN         (kingston ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00 11% 8.00    
  (by MAX FOREVER out of JUNGLE ROSE by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
MR MIEZIE Oct26 Oct05 Sep13 Aug03 Jul17 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by BAKKEN out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
SCR  HABADABADOO Aug10         (russell moni)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of HABIDA by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
DR BROKER Oct27 Oct12       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 3.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
TABULA ROSSO Aug31 Aug03 Jul17     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 5.00    
  (by CAR TALK out of JUST ASKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CTM-4   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 (rycroft ti)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 10.00    
AMUSING WAY Aug23 Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 57% 0.80    
RAILWAY Apr08 Feb24 Jan29 Jan08 Dec16 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 5.00    
VICTORIA'S CHIEF Dec15 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 10% 9.00    
FAST EH Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug25 Jul26 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50    
 
CTM-5   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING D'ORO Sep14 Aug26 Aug05 Jul26 Jun28 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
WORTHY SPIRIT Oct27 Oct12 Sep29     (smith rob)NELSON DANE 118 12.00    
HERETHEREVERYWHERE Dec13 Nov28 Nov07 Oct19 Sep28 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 4.50    
THEY CALL ME TOM Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 Jul17 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
BIZ BABE Sep14 Aug10       (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 118 8.00 10% 8.90    
WE THE FRINGE Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 6.00    
 
CTM-6   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOAX (IRE) Sep22 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May17 (henson robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 3.50    
FORCE TO REKN WITH Oct05 Sep22 Aug24 Jun21 May31 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 4.00    
WHO'S THAT BABY Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Aug30 Aug24 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
DIPLOMATICA Apr10 Mar17 Feb06 Jan16 Dec30 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
GEE I'M FOXY Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (humbke ch)ZENTENO JR 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
TU CHA Dec12 Aug11 Jun22 May08 Apr16 (mea)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
CTM-7   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  H K MIMI Aug10         (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 124 15.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
MARRYMEINGEORGIA Oct27 Sep29       (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 8.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
MISS HOTTIE Aug31         (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by FED BIZ out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
ALLURING ALI Oct27 Oct12 Sep13 Aug10   (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 3.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
ONTHEBACKSTRETCH         (kingston rob)WILLIAMS SCOTT 124 20.00 10% 8.80    
  (by FED BIZ out of VIA BENDITA by BORREGO)
SCR  MY MUM'S MUD Jul17         (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MY NAME'S MUD by MUD ROUTE)
TANGO FOR THE SOUL Oct26 Oct12 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 1.60 34% 2.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
 
CTM-8   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKING AGAIN Aug10 Jul24 Jul05 Jun21 May31 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
NORTHERN FORCE Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 Jun08 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 4.00 6% 16.40    
VIATURE Oct27 Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00    
TOOL TIME Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Oct19 Sep21 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 35% 1.80    
LINCHPIN STORM Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 Aug25 Aug10 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
LETTHELIQUORTALK Mar11 Feb13 Jan15 Dec15 Nov03 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 3.50    
GHOSTLY SPITFIRE Dec01 Nov16 Oct06 Aug23 Aug02 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.50    
 
CTM-9   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY EVA Oct24 Sep19 Aug24 Aug01 Jun20 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
RECIO'S SKYE Oct27 Oct20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 2.50 8% 10.80    
MAJESTIC HORIZON Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 Jun07 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 125 10.00    
DIFFERENT DRUM Nov16 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Jun20 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 6.00    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Nov02 Oct19 Oct13 Sep13 Sep06 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 125 20.00    
LIGHT FAST FEET Oct19 Sep29 Aug30 Aug10 May19 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
THRILL OF THE NITE Jul12 Jun29 May31 May19 May04 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 54% 0.90    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 17% 4.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.