Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/5)-(7/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/5)-(7/5/4/2)-(4/10/1/11/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/2)-(4/10/1/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/2)-(4/10/1/11/2)-(7/1/8/3/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (4/10/1/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/11/2)-(4/10/1/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/11/2)-(4/10/1/11/2)-(4/10/1/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/1/11/2)-(7/1/8/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/10/1/11/2)-(7/1/8/3/9)-(4/9/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (7/1/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/3/9)-(7/1/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/3/9)-(7/1/8/3/9)-(7/1/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/3/9)-(4/9/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/3/9)-(4/9/5/1)-(9/1/8/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (4/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/1)-(4/9/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/1)-(4/9/5/7/1)-(4/9/5/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/5/1)-(9/1/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/5/1)-(9/1/8/2/5)-(10/6/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (9/1/8/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/2/5)-(9/1/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/2/5)-(9/1/8/2/5)-(9/1/8/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/8/2/5)-(10/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/2/5)-(10/6/2/7)-(2/8/5/7/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (10/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/2/7)-(10/6/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/2/7)-(10/6/2/3/7)-(10/6/2/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/2/7)-(2/8/5/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/2/7)-(2/8/5/7/9)-(7/6/1/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (2/8/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/7/9)-(2/8/5/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/7/9)-(2/8/5/7/9)-(2/8/5/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/7/9)-(7/6/1/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/6/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5/3)-(7/6/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5/3)-(7/6/1/5/3)-(7/6/1/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/23/2025 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Apr06 Mar26 Mar07 Feb02 Jan15 (goodwin g)FERRER C 123 2.50    
2  JUST MERCY Mar30 Mar16 Feb19 Feb02 Jan12 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
3  CLOUD STORAGE Mar26 Feb23 Jan15 Dec13 Nov23 (feliciano r)SPIETH S 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
4  MY CAJUN LADY Mar19 Feb28 Jan24 Jan12 Nov07 (feliciano benny )MARTINEZ W 119 6.00    
5  THE GODDESS FACTOR Feb19 Jan19 Jan03 Dec11   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SING SCAT Apr06 Mar26 Mar14 Feb28 Jan26 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
7  SWEET NOLA Mar26 Mar14 Feb02 Jan01 Dec13 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
TAM-2   04/23/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Feb02 Jan17 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 116 15.00    
2  TEST PILOT Mar29 Feb14 Apr05 Mar08 Jan24 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  THOUGHT Apr13 Mar09 Feb13 Jan19 Dec26 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 116 2.00    
4  GREYZER Mar21 Mar05 Feb15 Jan22 Jan10 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 116 10.00 17% 4.80    
5  STYLE ME ROYAL Mar01 Feb12 Jan22 Jan10 Dec20 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 116 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  THE BEST DISTANCE Mar29 Mar16 Feb23 Jul05 May04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 116 10.00    
7  DUNE ROAD Apr06 Mar22 Mar05 Jan19 Jan04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
8  AZURE SKY Apr06 Mar23 Mar14 Mar01 Feb15 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 8.00    
 
TAM-3   04/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUGE G Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb02 Dec21 (lilly p)HESS SARA 124 3.00 7% 13.30    
2  CROSSATI Mar30 Feb16 Jan15 Sep14 Aug23 (pompay terri)ALLEN D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CATARINA Apr05 Feb14 Jan23 Jan08 Nov28 (kutt d)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
4  JESS'S BREW Feb19 Jan26 Dec13 Aug28   (cudworth paul)COTTO L 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
5  FINAL NOTE Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb19 Feb02 (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 124 6.00    
6  LIZ DREAMIN Apr06 Mar01 Feb12 Jan19 Nov23 (barrett grant)VARGAS E 108 20.00    
SCR  TRUE HONEY Mar16 Feb19 Jan26 Dec24   (hernandez en)BELISARIO JUAN 112 30.00    
8  ENDLESS FASHION Mar26 Mar09 Feb16 Feb05 Jan24 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
9  NANA MOON Apr05 Mar26 Mar07     (ellebracht gary)FERRER C 118 10.00    
10  ONE SPECIAL ACT Apr04 Mar22 Feb28 Feb06 Jan16 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
11  BELLY DANCE Sep14 Aug09 Feb07 Jan10 Dec23 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 124 10.00 5% 17.60    
 
TAM-4   04/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAHAMZILLA Mar14         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  OJIN Mar21 Mar02 Dec27 Dec13 Nov17 (kutt m)FERRER C 120 20.00    
3  CALVINO Mar21 Jan29 Nov27 Sep15 Sep01 (laurat)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50 8% 12.10    
4  KING PLUTUS Mar28 Mar09 Feb15 Jan10 Nov30 (amaya gustav)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
5  TEN BUCKS A GLASS Mar28 Mar01 Feb15 Jan29 Jan05 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
6  SILVER PUNCH Mar21 Oct05 Aug10     (ramos ben)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00    
7  RED SKY MORNING Mar29 Mar09       (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  TAKE YOUR MEDICINE Mar21 Feb15 Jan10 Dec21   (pimental john )COTTO L 120 6.00 8% 11.70    
9  TAP TAP RUSS Mar28         (gulick m)HESS SARA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MR MILES Feb21 Jan03 Dec07 Aug17   (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  RAY'S BLUE WAGON Apr04 Mar14       (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 4.50    
SCR  DON ELADIO Apr06         (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 15.00    
SCR  VICTOR'S DREAM Sep07 Aug25       (gonzalez lui)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
SCR  YADIRAYADIRAYADIRA Mar19 Oct06       (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
 
TAM-5   04/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY LIL BETTY Apr04 Mar02 Jan26 Aug30 Aug16 (rountree cat)MENESES MARCOS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BARBARESCO BABY Apr06 Mar22 Feb22 Jan26 Jan10 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 30.00    
3  DROPPED COLD Sep25 Aug22 Jul28 Jul11 Jun20 (escobar marti)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 30.00    
4  NAUGHTY FAVORS Apr04 May09 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 (pompay terri)ALLEN D 123 4.00 62% 0.60    
5  FUTURE FORTUNE Apr12 Apr02 Mar22 Mar07 Feb19 (dobber w)FERRER C 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SYLLABUS Apr09 Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 (dominguez lu)BELISARIO JUAN 113 20.00    
7  PIZZICATO Apr06 Mar23 Feb19 Feb02 Jan10 (rivera franc)GONZALEZ CESAR 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  FANCY'S ROSEBUD Mar22 Feb19 Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 (mazza joseph )SANTOS ADEMAR 123 15.00    
9  PLAY MAKER Dec13 Nov27 Oct17 Sep13 Jul28 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
10  J J MONET Feb18 Jan26 Dec29 Dec17 Oct15 (manchan bertr)VARGAS E 113 3.50    
SCR  PESADILLA CHANEL Mar28 Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 123 12.00    
12  LITTLE CARLEY Apr04 Mar22 Mar09 Feb19 Jan26 (kutt m)HESS SARA 123 15.00    
SCR  BLUES CROSS Sep25 Aug22 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (escobar marti)VARGAS E 113 20.00    
 
TAM-6   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT NO MORE Dec09 Nov11 Oct06 Sep23 Sep09 (cascallar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
2  RUSSIAN HAMMER Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 (posadas pedro)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HAY MOON Apr13 Mar22 Feb23 Jan29 Jan19 (escobar marti)VARGAS E 108 30.00    
4  HAP'S VICTORY Apr05 Mar22 Jan18 Jan05 Dec11 (barrett gran)BELISARIO JUAN 108 30.00    
5  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 Feb23 Jan31 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  CALYPSO CHARLIE Oct11 Sep13 Aug16 Jul21 Jul13 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
7  AWESOME ENTRY Apr04 Mar19 Mar02 Dec06 Nov22 (posadas pedro)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
8  GRANTED SUCCESS Jan31 Jan18 Jan05 Dec18 Mar27 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  HANDSOME PLAYBOY Apr09 Mar15 Jan14 Dec21 Dec03 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  FENWICK Apr05 Mar09 Mar05 Jan29 Jan05 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
11  AMBULANTE Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Feb05 Dec18 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
12  NOVELLIE Apr26 Feb03 Jan05 Dec14 Oct29 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 113 15.00    
SCR  DON'T ANSWER Mar23 Feb12 Jan16 Dec26 Dec08 (cordero antonio)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
 
TAM-7   04/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALACTIC EMPIRE Apr02 Mar14 Feb08 Jan19 Sep06 (correa ma)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 30.00    
2  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan12 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARTIE'S ANGEL Mar14 Feb08 Dec24 Aug25 Jul03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 116 6.00 ★    
4  UNCAPTURED BOY Apr02 Jan01 Sep01 Jul28 Jul06 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 116 3.00    
5  YONO Mar22 Mar14 Feb12 Jan10 Dec28 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 116 12.00    
6  KING RAMOS Apr04 Mar15 Jan19 Jan03 Dec20 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 116 6.00 12% 7.50    
7  MILLENNIUM CONDO Mar16 Mar07 Sep28 Sep08 Aug10 (soler edisley)LEON SONNY 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  STORM'S REFLECTION Mar05 Feb21 Jan01 Dec07 Oct13 (campbe)VASQUEZ ANGEL 116 15.00    
9  BANDERO Mar30 Mar15 Feb26 Jan04 Dec14 (agostini art)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 30.00    
10  LUCKY CURLIN Mar16 Feb26 Jan03 Dec07 Jul14 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 116 2.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  NAPOLEON'S WAR Apr04 Mar14 Dec24 Nov23 Nov02 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 6.00    
SCR  LEO MONTE Mar29 Nov30 Oct04 Sep21 Aug25 (carrascojr victo)FERRER C 116 5.00    
SCR  SAMARITANO Mar30 Oct18 Oct05 Sep06 Aug09 (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 116 4.50    
SCR  ATTRAYANT Apr12 Mar12 Feb23 Jan17 Nov29 (lerman s)BATISTA A 116 8.00    
 
TAM-8   04/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S SIDE EYED Mar12 Feb23 Jan29 Jan08 Dec13 (kutt m)FERRER C 118 12.00    
2  DUNKIN' RUN Feb23 Jan31 Jan10 Apr12 Mar20 (clark a)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Apr02 Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 (vazquez jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
4  MY LUCKY ANGEL Apr04 Mar05 Feb07 Jan05 Dec24 (bennett gerald)SUAREZ JESUS 118 8.00    
5  GOWOKEGOBROKE Apr04 Mar14 Feb05 Jan22 Dec29 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.00 7% 14.00    
6  FAR FROM HOME Apr05 Feb02 Jan21 Dec03 Oct18 (cascallar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 123 30.00    
7  SINCERITO Mar28 Mar19 Mar05 Feb23 Jan25 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  FINAL DRAMA Apr13 Feb23       (simone michae)VARGAS E 113 6.00 32% 2.10    
9  SNOWNAME Mar28 Mar15 Mar08 Feb09 Jan29 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Oct31 Sep14 (paragallo jenn)CAMACHO SAMY 123 20.00    
11  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 Jan24 Jan04 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50    
 
TAM-9   04/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO SOPHIA (GB)         (cox brad)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by SHOWCASING out of SO BRAVE by KYLLACHY)
2  POWER PARTY Apr05 Mar16 Feb26 Aug23   (gonzalez lui)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of OASIS PARTY by DESERT PARTY)
3  CARAVAGGIO'S SONG Jan28 Oct30       (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SONG GIRL by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  POWER DANCE Mar08 Jan25 Sep07     (grainger)RODRIGUEZ O 120 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of PURSUING FATE by IN SUMMATION)
5  CALLA Mar30 Feb08 Jan04     (damen daniel)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GARDENISTA by CURLIN)
6  DON'T JINX IT Mar02 Jan17       (clement christ)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ENDLESS FANCY by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  ACCENT (GB)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by PINATUBO out of DREAMLIKE by GUN RUNNER)
8  MARTHA WASHINGTON         (mcgaug)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PRINCESA CAROLINE by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
9  MERION ROAD Mar09         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CINTRA by VOLCOM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.