Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - April 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/7)-(1/8/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/7)-(1/8/2/5)-(1/7/5/8/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/5)-(1/7/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/5)-(1/7/5/8/10)-(9/5/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/7/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/8/10)-(1/7/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/8/10)-(1/7/5/8/10)-(1/7/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/5/8/10)-(9/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/8/10)-(9/5/3/2)-(6/1/8/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (9/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/2)-(9/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/2)-(9/5/3/2)-(9/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/3/2)-(6/1/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/2)-(6/1/8/3/5)-(2/7/9/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/1/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/3/5)-(6/1/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/3/5)-(6/1/8/3/5)-(6/1/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/8/3/5)-(2/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/3/5)-(2/7/9/8)-(8/6/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/8)-(2/7/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/8)-(2/7/9/8/5)-(2/7/9/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/9/8)-(8/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/8)-(8/6/5/4)-(1/5/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/4)-(1/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/4)-(1/5/8/3)-(7/9/10/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3)-(1/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/3)-(7/9/10/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (7/9/10/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/10/1/6)-(7/9/10/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/10/1/6)-(7/9/10/1/6)-(7/9/10/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S TOPAZ         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY'S TOPAZ by GEMOLOGIST)
KEEP SHINING ON US Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Jan17 Dec12 (petty kr)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
OUR MISS CROSSBOW Mar14         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of OUR MISS BOP by BOP)
MOONLIGHT MISTRESS Mar30         (perry law)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
PRESHOW HYPE Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10   (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
SKIE'S MUSIC Mar14         (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of SHILOH ROAD by CONGRATS)
PEACH PARFAIT Mar22 Feb27       (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of BRASS MAGNOLIA by GREAT NOTION)
 
CT-2   04/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Feb28 Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
THE HOUND Mar14 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Jan04 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 3.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  JUST CALL ME AL Apr17 Mar07 Feb15 Jan11 Nov27 (cromer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SCARE DEM Mar15 Feb28 Feb15 Dec07 Nov08 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Mar13 Feb28 Jan30 Jan11 Dec12 (frock l)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
Y'ZIN UP Mar07 Feb28 Jan23 Jan02 Nov27 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 122 4.50    
KARMA BUS Feb28 Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 Oct30 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 10.00    
NAY'S ONLY ONE Feb28 Feb01 Jan02 Dec12 Nov27 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
DOG TOWN ALLEN Mar13 Feb28 Feb01 Jan23 Dec12 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
 
CT-3   04/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSTNER Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 May28 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 46% 1.20    
BLOOD BROTHER Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan25 Dec07 (viands r)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
IRON TAP Mar29 Feb26 Jan19 Jan08 Nov03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20    
GERICAULT Mar28 Mar06 Feb15 Jan04 Nov30 (carlis)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
RUN ROCKY RUN Mar28 Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 Jan17 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 7% 14.10    
BREWMASTER Mar28 Mar06 Feb07 Jan26 Dec20 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 118 15.00    
ORANGE JUICE Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan17 Dec13 (viands stace)LEWIS M 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
TIMO Mar13 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct25 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
DR. DARBY Mar01 Feb15 Nov25 Nov13 Oct30 (pyke jos)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
10  AGAIN WE MEET Mar06 Oct31 Oct11 Sep13 Jul25 (heath georg)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   04/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZAFASTBULLET Mar22 Feb06 Jan18 Nov27 Nov07 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
EDWARD MADDEN Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 Dec19 Nov22 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JAMES GANG Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan15 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
JIMMY THE KID Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 Dec14 (martin )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
SHIP THE GOODS Apr03 Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Jan16 Dec11 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 (venham ly)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
SCR  MY BLUE EYES Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 Nov13 (martinez jose)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00    
TALKIN PHAROAH Aug21 Jul08 May22 Mar22 Mar07 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
 
CT-5   04/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL CRUISE Nov29         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
TALENTED LINO Mar22 Feb15 Feb01     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of TALENT N PASSION by CITY PLACE)
EASY PASS Jan03 Nov29       (groves janice)LARROSA G 124 10.00 10% 9.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of CAMPAIGN VOWS by BROKEN VOW)
RIP N ROLL Mar15 Feb27 Jan31 Jan17 Dec11 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of ENCHANTED FACTS by EL MEDWAR)
ANY POUNCE         (pearson michael)JORGE JULIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of ANY LITTLE by MEDFORD)
FAVORITE ROAD Feb15 Feb01 Jan11     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 116 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of FAVORITE PRINCESS by GATO DEL SOL)
DONTCROSSTHELINE Mar28 Mar14       (atkins micha)LEWIS M 116 15.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of DUPPY CONQUEROR by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
RUM N COKE         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 10.00 19% 4.30    
  (by ENTICED out of ALL THAT BEAUTY by FIBER SONDE)
WISH ON JUBA Mar13 Feb22 Feb01     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 3.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
10  HUMOROUS Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Nov15   (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 116 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PILIPHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-6   04/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 Feb07 Jan24 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
P MONEY Mar01 Dec23 Nov16 Oct05 Sep14 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
DREAM RIVER Mar22 Feb27 Feb19 Dec11 Nov29 (leaf robe)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
MY FRIENDS BEER Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan23 Jan16 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 124 12.00    
THE KHOZAN ONE Mar22 Feb21 Jan11 Nov27 Oct10 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Apr04 Mar21 Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 (mancil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Apr11 Mar22 Feb19 Feb06 Jan03 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
A FEW TOO MANY Mar22 Feb27 Feb07 Dec11 Nov06 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KENNY HAD A NOTION Feb27 Feb06 Dec13 Nov21 Nov01 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   04/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING COLTON Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan05 Nov17 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 3.50    
  (by LEOFRIC out of HOBOKEN HONEY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
NO BRAKE NEEDED Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan23 Dec11 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LCGOLUCKY Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan19 Jan05 (sewell le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 30.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ZAPLICIOUS by GHOSTZAPPER)
ZAPTASTIC Mar28 Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan23 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
NORTH SHIP Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Nov14 Oct17 (hetrick kris)DIAZ JR 124 12.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
NOTHING BUT HEIR Feb01 Dec29 Sep28 Aug24   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALL FLATTER by FLATTER)
MY YOKE Mar28 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15   (perez er)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
PARADE OF FEARS Apr13         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 1.40 33% 2.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of HOME ALONA by GAME PLAN)
 
CT-8   04/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLARS IN CHARGE Mar22 Feb03 Dec12 Nov07 Oct02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 61% 0.70    
CORRELATION Feb27 Oct05 Sep15 Aug05   (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 120 10.00    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Mar29 Mar22 Mar06 Feb27 Jan30 (gillespie ryan)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
POWERED BY LOVE Apr03 Mar15 Mar07 Feb15 Dec13 (rideout a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec08 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
ON THE COME UP Mar22 Mar06 Nov27 Nov07 Oct11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
CLAW Apr03 Mar06 Jan02 Dec12 Nov22 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
MR. MOX Mar20 Jan30 Dec11 Nov16 Oct10 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-9   04/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY SHE FIRED ME Mar06 Feb14 Feb07 Jan16 Nov22 (haynes ernes)DIAZ JR 122 8.00 6% 15.60    
SHAMELESS VISIONS Mar21 Feb28 Feb13 Jan15 Dec12 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
FIRING THOUGHTS Apr05 Mar23 Mar02     (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
TIA MAYIN Mar29 Mar06 Feb21 Feb02 Dec20 (salaza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
PRETTY COAST Apr05 Feb01 Jan11 Dec04 Nov13 (cruz jaime)LEWIS M 124 20.00    
FLORINA Mar29 Feb21 Feb07 Jan01 Oct24 (gutierrez)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
CITY TAAH Mar21 Feb12 Jan09 Dec14   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00 57% 0.80    
KAYA STAR Apr12 Jan18 Nov27 Nov04   (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
SATURN'S GHOST Mar29 Feb26 Jan29 Jan08 Dec13 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00 7% 12.60    
10  TESORO ROSSA Mar29 Jan02 Dec12     (kravets b)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 10.00 6% 14.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.