Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - April 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (9/3/10/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/10/2/6)-(9/3/10/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/10/2/6)-(9/3/10/2/6)-(9/3/10/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/10/2/6)-(3/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/10/2/6)-(3/1/2/4)-(6/8/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/4)-(6/8/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(6/8/7/1)-(8/3/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1)-(6/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/1)-(8/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/1)-(8/3/7/6)-(9/1/5/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6)-(8/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/7/6)-(9/1/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7/6)-(9/1/5/2/3)-(9/2/6/3/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (9/1/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/2/3)-(9/1/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/2/3)-(9/1/5/2/3)-(9/1/5/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/2/3)-(9/2/6/3/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/2/3)-(9/2/6/3/4)-(4/6/2/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (9/2/6/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/3/4)-(9/2/6/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/3/4)-(9/2/6/3/4)-(9/2/6/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/6/3/4)-(4/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/6/3/4)-(4/6/2/7)-(1/4/2/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/7)-(1/4/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/7)-(1/4/2/8/7)-(9/8/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/4/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8/7)-(1/4/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8/7)-(1/4/2/8/7)-(1/4/2/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/2/8/7)-(9/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/7)-(9/8/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/7)-(9/8/3/5/7)-(9/8/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESA BABE Mar27 Feb28 Nov13 Oct24 Oct04 (barber bo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
2  ENRIQUETA Apr03 Mar28       (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  REECE'S DRAMA Mar21 Feb28 Jan29 Jan15 Sep27 (deiter lyn)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
4  HOLD DEM Mar07 Feb13 Feb05 Jan15 Dec12 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 30.00    
SCR  JUNE BELLE Mar27 Feb28 Feb08 Jan16 Dec12 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
6  TIGER'S CANDY Mar21 Mar14 Feb21 Feb14 Jan31 (sigler )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MODEST KAY Apr03         (gomez r)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
8  FLATTERING WAY Mar27 Feb28 Feb13 Jan15 Dec12 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00    
9  MOONSHINE MAMA Mar27 Feb21 Feb05 Jan25 Dec07 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
10  VIGILANTE Mar21 Feb27 Jan31     (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
CT-2   04/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEROKEE CASTLE Mar29 Feb08 Jan02 Nov21 Nov06 (sanderson s)ACOSTA D 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  O SHAUGHESEY Mar29 Nov26 Oct30 Oct20 Sep03 (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 14% 6.10    
3  LEMORIAN Mar11 Nov29 Sep27 May25 Mar07 (farrior anthony)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  FORGOTTEN GIFT Mar09 Feb16 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 (frock a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOLCE VELOCE Mar15 Feb19 Feb06 Jan02 Dec06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
SCR  CANTHO Mar07 Feb06 Jan23 Oct30 Oct14 (shanley mar)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
7  TIZ THE REASON Mar06 Jan29 Dec03 Nov19 Nov01 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  DING DING Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Jan23 Jan04 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
9  PROUD MULE Mar09 Jan24 Sep12 Aug25 Jun30 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 3.50    
 
CT-3   04/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSME Mar28 Mar14 Feb05     (perez er)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  STORE SALE Mar14 Feb22 Feb05     (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
3  BIG MO GEE Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb14 Feb05 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 6.00    
4  ANDY'SBOURBONGUY Feb07         (allen f)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
SCR  MR ON HIGH Mar28         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
6  BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Mar14 Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  SUPER BANKER         (aylor willia)DIAZ JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FIRE OF ANATOLIA Dec14 Dec01       (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
9  FEAR THE FACTS Mar14 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 Nov13 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   04/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM THE DIRECTOR Mar15 Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 Sep21 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
2  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Feb27 Feb08 Nov23 Oct30 Sep21 (straughn)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
3  CATCH THE HUMOR Nov07 Oct12 Sep26 Nov03   (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  MAXIMILLIONS DREAM Mar13 Jan29 Jan11 Jul04 May18 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 6.00    
5  GEORGE Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 May18 Apr27 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
6  ROBBIELIKESHIM Mar13 Jan16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep27 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIME TO ROCK Mar13 Jun08 May11 Apr13 Feb23 (viands stace)LEWIS M 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOONLIT NOTION Mar20 Feb13 Jan17 Nov15   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
CT-5   04/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER PUNCHER Mar21 Feb28 Feb01 Jan03 Dec07 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 6.00 35% 1.90    
2  YANKEE DOODLE KID Mar07 Feb08 Jan17 Dec07   (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWIPED THE CASTLE Jun21 Jun01 May02 Jan03 Dec02 (jackson a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CONNECT THE DOTS Mar28 Feb22 Dec06 Nov15   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
5  RAY OF SUNSHINE Feb22         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 5.00 8% 12.30    
6  MANNY TOO Nov07 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
7  THIS JUICE B LOOSE Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 Aug30 Aug03 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 10.00    
8  JUBA'S HEART Mar21 Oct12 Sep21 Aug09 Jul19 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 116 2.50    
9  PLEASENTHANKU Mar15         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
CT-6   04/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELL SPOTTED Mar20 Mar07 Feb05 Jan16 Nov30 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
2  SUNSHINE JOHNNY Mar28 Mar07 Jan09 Dec19 Dec04 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
3  CASE ACE Mar14 Feb22 Feb05 Dec06 Nov17 (rideout)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CUCHULAIN Jun13 May18 Dec08 Nov03   (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIL BIG BOSS Mar20 Feb27       (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 118 12.00    
6  DREAM FORCE Mar28 Mar07 Dec11 Nov20 Sep01 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
7  VALORE Mar21 Feb21 Jan16 Jan08 Dec12 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
8  ALWAYS A WARRIOR Mar22 Feb27 Feb05 Jan11 Dec14 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
9  FREED FROM DESIRE Apr10 Mar20 Mar07 Nov13   (farrior anthony)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
CT-7   04/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSPECTIVE LOVE Mar15 Feb13 Nov27 Oct31 Sep12 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
2  JUDGEMENT DAY Feb13 Jan31 Nov15 Oct25 Oct12 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUBA'S NOTION Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Aug13 Jul19 (petty kr)DAVIS A 124 15.00    
4  JUBAWITHATWIST Oct12 Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 0.60 63% 0.60    
5  SISYPHUS Mar15 Jul02 May18 May11 Apr26 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
6  JUBA'S HAT TRICK Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 8% 11.90    
7  LATE IN THE GAME Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Aug13 Jul12 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  XCELLENT START Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 124 15.00    
 
CT-8   04/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Original Gold Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE'S GIRL Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MAGINOT LINE by FIRST DEFENCE)
2  JUBA'S PARADE Nov09 Oct12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 8% 12.20    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
3  STILL GRUMPY Mar27 Mar14 Feb01 Jan15 Dec07 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EARLY ANNUITY by LUFTIKUS)
4  MENDYS HONEY Mar13 Dec06 Nov09 Oct12 Sep13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HONEY CHILE by INVISIBLE INK)
SCR  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Apr03 Mar15 Feb01 Oct24 Oct12 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MY GIRL TRICKSY by HAT TRICK)
6  LOOK AHEAD Mar27 Mar01 Feb07 Jan11 Oct04 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 116 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PREVIEWER by SKY CLASSIC)
7  JUBASLILBALLERINA Oct12 Aug23 Jul26 Jul11 Jun22 (sigler g)LARROSA G 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  SHEWONTTALKTOME Mar27 Feb01 Nov20 Oct24 Oct12 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of FERZETTI by MUNNINGS)
9  SOMESUGARNSPICE Nov09 Oct10 Sep21 Sep10 Jul24 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 123 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
10  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Mar27 Jul11 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 123 5.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  THE SKY IS FALLING Mar27 Oct12 Jul11 Jun22 May30 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
 
CT-9   04/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Apr06 Mar22 Feb07 Jan30 Jan17 (mancilla ca)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00    
2  CAYENNE CREEK Mar27 Feb22 Feb06 Jan16 Dec12 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
3  BIG SMILE Mar20 Feb27 Jan30 Dec12 Nov08 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 ★    
4  FEARNOUGHT Mar27 Mar13 Feb14 Jan24 Jan18 (clatterbuck)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00    
5  TOP OF THE MINT Mar27 Feb06 Jan17 Dec12 Oct31 (jones mi)DAVIS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOURBON'S HOPE Nov21 Nov01 Oct12 Sep24 Sep14 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00    
7  BONNIE BILL Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 Jan18 Dec14 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAGLER Mar22 Feb27 Sep09 Jul21 Jun02 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 7% 13.00    
9  BOURBON AND ICE Mar17 Feb27 Jan28 Jan09 Dec28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
10  PERNO Mar22 Feb26 Jan24 Jan02 Nov25 (meyers madi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80    
SCR  LONG TOM Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 May22 May04 (salinas jose)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT Dec02 Oct25 Sep11 Aug08 Aug01 (harigeorgiou ko)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.