Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (1/7/9/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/6/5)-(1/7/9/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/6/5)-(1/7/9/6/5)-(1/7/9/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/9/6/5)-(4/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/9/6/5)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/1)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/1)-(4/3)-(5/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/3/4)-(7/9/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(7/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(7/9/8/2)-(3/1/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/8/2)-(3/1/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8/2)-(3/1/6/8)-(4/2/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/8)-(4/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/8)-(4/2/1/5)-(1/5/9/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(1/5/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(1/5/9/6)-(9/1/2/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/6)-(1/5/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/6)-(1/5/9/6)-(1/5/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/6)-(9/1/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/1/2/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3)-(9/1/2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNE DE MAI         (marrero nes)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
HUGE G Mar23 Mar09 Feb02 Dec21 Nov30 (lilly p)HESS SARA 117 2.00    
PIZZICATO Mar23 Feb19 Feb02 Jan10 Dec24 (rivera franc)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 3.50    
FINAL NOTE Mar23 Mar09 Feb19 Feb02 Nov24 (gardea abraham)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00    
CAWAMA Mar26 Dec18       (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
LIL MISS LOLLIPOP         (yanez reynaldo)FERRER C 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
PROMAJA Dec28 Nov17       (djuric stevica)BRACHO A 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
LIZ DREAMIN Mar01 Feb12 Jan19 Nov23 Aug30 (barrett grant)VARGAS E 108 30.00    
JENNYS GAL         (agostini arth)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 15.00 18% 4.70    
 
TAM-2   04/06/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA BRODY Nov20 Nov06 Oct29 Sep17 Sep04 (curto beverly)VARGAS E 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
CALENDULA Mar12 Feb15 Feb05 Jan22 Sep30 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 10.00    
LADY DOMINANCE Mar07 Feb07 Jan26 Jan15 Jan03 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.80 14% 6.10    
DIOSA CATRINA Mar14 Jan26 Jan12 Dec28 Nov17 (wright mic)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 2.00 57% 0.70    
BOOTSY'S MERLOT Mar23 Mar05 Jan17 Jan01 Dec21 (richards ren)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 6.00    
SET THE PACE Feb15 Feb05 Jan03 Dec11 Nov23 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 122 8.00    
RUXTON ROCKS Mar05 Jan17 Dec11 Oct08 Sep23 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
ABBY THE BULL DAWG Mar23 Feb15 Jan31 Dec22 Nov30 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 115 15.00    
 
TAM-3   04/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSPREY Mar29 Feb09 Jan19 Dec11 Nov20 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
INDIO MARA Mar14 Feb16 Jan24 Mar22 Feb23 (smith robe)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
CROCODILEHUNTER Feb09 Jan03 Aug03 Jul04 Jun08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTURE THE TIME Feb22 Dec14 Nov27 Oct05 Sep07 (campb)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
LIEUTENANT STAN Mar29 Mar01 Jan22 Dec28 Dec11 (mcgoey monica)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
CINCO DE MO Jan19 Jan04 Dec14 Oct10 Sep23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 4.00    
CALLALOO Jan18 Dec30 Dec03 Oct15 Oct01 (granitz j)HESS SARA 111 5.00    
 
TAM-4   04/06/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP MOCHA Mar21 Feb19 Jan29 Jan19 Dec20 (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 118 12.00    
NOT THISTIMERANDY Mar16 Feb26 Feb09 Dec14 Nov23 (paterno r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 6.00    
DUNE ROAD Mar22 Mar05 Jan19 Jan04 Dec22 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
INITFORTHELOVE Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec20 (gonzal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 12.00 9% 9.80    
CUPID'S DUDE Mar21 Mar05 Feb19 Feb01 Jan22 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 120 0.80 47% 1.10    
AZURE SKY Mar23 Mar14 Mar01 Feb15 Jan31 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00    
SCR  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Feb02 Jan17 (avila carlo)FERRER C 118 6.00    
 
TAM-5   04/06/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY TWIST Mar23 Feb07       (dini mike)FERRER C 119 4.50    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of DIRTY MARTINI by ARTAX)
NEOSTAR Mar15 Feb19 Jul21     (lilly p)HESS SARA 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of POLITICAL MISS by IMPERIALISM)
LITTLE PATITO Mar09 Mar01 Feb19 Feb02   (cascallares )GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ADORABLE HEIDI by GIMMEAWINK)
ROJO SKY Nov30 Sep20       (lopez mari)INFANTE A 119 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of VOILA BABY by CAN THE MAN)
SCR  BLISTERING Feb21         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of EKATI'S PHAETON by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  STAR OF ABRAHAM Dec07         (lilly p)IORIO MELISSA 119 30.00    
  (by STAR HARBOUR out of GOLDEN ROCK by BERNARDINI)
LADY FROST Mar22 Nov05       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 114 1.00 42% 1.40    
  (by FROSTED out of TIM'S GIRL by BROKEN VOW)
EL MANGO BANILEJO         (cascallares n)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of LA VERSALLES by THE GREEN MONKEY)
WINGS OF GOD Mar23 Feb07       (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of IMAGINABLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
TAM-6   04/06/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Mar14 Mar07 Feb14 Jan26 Jan12 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  SHE'S A JOY Mar21 Feb28 Jan19 Jan08 Nov30 (ag)LUNA PAUL 118 30.00    
SALAGADOOLA Mar26 Mar07 Feb28 Jan26 Dec18 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
GRANDMA'S PUDDING Mar05 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Sep21 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  FABULOUS CANDY Mar05 Feb02 Jan17 Jan08 Dec21 (moysey chelse)VARGAS E 108 15.00    
MURUMBI Mar21 Mar14 Feb28 Feb02 Jan15 (aguayo ramon)SPIETH S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Mar26 Mar07 Feb02 Jan15 Dec13 (goodwin g)FERRER C 118 6.00    
CATTI LA BELLE Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep25 (lopez mari)INFANTE A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SING SCAT Mar26 Mar14 Feb28 Jan26 Jan12 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
 
TAM-7   04/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEYMAN Mar12 Mar02 Feb15 Dec14 Nov16 (wright michael)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 14% 6.10    
SPACE LAUNCH Mar12 Jan19 Jan01 Dec07 Sep14 (breen ke)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 21% 3.90    
READY TO FLY Mar12 Feb15 Sep02 Aug11 Jul20 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
IT CAN BE DONE Mar02 Sep08 Jul21 May25 Mar17 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
EJTIMAA Mar22 Feb22 Jan18 Dec28 Dec11 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
STITZY Feb22 Feb09 Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 (alessi james)BUSH V 119 50.00    
SIR SAFFER Mar12 Jan31 Jan11 Dec27 Jul12 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 123 4.00    
LAMPLIGHTER JACK Mar12 Feb08 Jan04 Jul23 May29 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00    
SCR  COTTON Jan04 Oct18 Oct03 Aug16 Jul25 (wright mic)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 119 12.00    
 
TAM-8   04/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCORED Mar08 Feb22 Dec24 Oct24 Sep12 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
NOUVEAU RICHE Mar23 Mar09 Feb19 Feb02 Jan26 (cascallares )GONZALEZ CESAR 118 15.00    
SCR  FANCY'S ROSEBUD Mar22 Feb19 Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 (mazza jose)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 20.00    
CRYSTAL REIGN Mar22 Mar08 Feb01 Jan08 Dec24 (marrero nest)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.00    
SOLDIERESS Mar22 Feb19 Jul10 Jun13 May24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
AIN'T NONCENTS Feb22 Jan22 Jan01 Dec13 Nov20 (gardea abra)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BARBARESCO BABY Mar22 Feb22 Jan26 Jan10 Dec24 (spanabel kell)VARGAS E 113 20.00    
STYLE IN TIME Jan17 Jan03 Dec20 Nov20   (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50    
THEE NEW BEGINNING Feb19 Feb05 Dec08 Oct25 Sep29 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 5% 17.30    
 
TAM-9   04/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANLEY CAT Mar14 Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 Dec27 (contessa gary )MARIN SAMUEL 125 3.50 6% 15.60    
DON ELADIO         (connelly tere)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 20.00 6% 16.10    
WOODELLA Jan31 Dec27       (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
LATIN FORCE Mar16 Feb14 Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 4.50    
WE GOT THIS Mar09 Feb21 Dec11 Nov01 Oct10 (curto jea)HESS SARA 116 30.00    
RAGAZZO D'ORO Mar26         (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 125 4.50    
SCR  DANGEROUS DRIVER Mar14 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
WARD LEADER Feb07 Jan01 Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 8.00    
CALLER Dec20 Nov29 Oct24 Aug29 Sep04 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 125 1.40 63% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.