Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (5/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/1/3)-(4/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1/3)-(4/3/1/6)-(10/8/4/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/6)-(10/8/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/6)-(10/8/4/1/7)-(7/4/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-4   WIN (10/8/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/4/1/7)-(10/8/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/4/1/7)-(10/8/4/1/7)-(10/8/4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/4/1/7)-(7/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/4/1/7)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(2/11/5/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(2/11/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/1)-(2/11/5/10/8)-(2/1/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/11/5/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/5/10/8)-(2/11/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/5/10/8)-(2/11/5/10/8)-(2/11/5/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/5/10/8)-(2/1/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/11/5/10/8)-(2/1/3/6)-(3/2/11/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-8   WIN (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6)-(3/2/11/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6)-(3/2/11/4/9)-(10/1/7/11/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-9   WIN (3/2/11/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/11/4/9)-(3/2/11/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/11/4/9)-(3/2/11/4/9)-(3/2/11/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/11/4/9)-(10/1/7/11/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-10   WIN (10/1/7/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/7/11/2)-(10/1/7/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/7/11/2)-(10/1/7/11/2)-(10/1/7/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/21/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAFEZINHO Jan26 Oct19 Oct03 Jul06 Jun15 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50 18% 4.40    
2  CACTUS BLOSSOM Jan05 Dec13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep11 (bravo francisco)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00    
3  LEXINGTON DIVA Feb07 Jan24 Jan12 Jan03 Dec12 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KEEP THE BLING Dec13 Oct26 Mar10 Feb19 Jan13 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 3.50    
5  TITUBA Jan26 Jan05 Dec06 Sep18 Jun20 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  INCLUDING ELLIE Jan26 Dec13 Dec04 Oct26 Sep15 (m)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
SCR  CASHMERE DANCER Jan26 Nov08 Oct26 Jul07 Jun16 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00    
8  ARINNITI (FR) May25 May04 Mar15 Feb03 Jan06 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00    
9  CONTRABBANDA Jan26 Oct25 Sep19 Aug24 Jun28 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
HOU-3   02/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEERS TO CANDY Oct10 Sep12 Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  RISKY WITH WHISKEY         (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00    
3  TIZ ANOTHER BUNNY         (h)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
4  KARANTHOS Jan31 Aug02       (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 0.80 35% 1.90    
SCR  CAUSE IM THE KING         (jenkins brand)FUENTES MARIO 122 10.00    
6  WORK ZONE         (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE LAST MOXY Jan31 Jan18 Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00    
8  INSTANT KARMA Jan31 Sep21 Aug24     (r)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
 
HOU-4   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS RED Feb07 Jan12 Jun22 Jun08 May10 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00 15% 5.80    
2  SEND OFF Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 121 30.00    
3  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Jan30 Dec28 Dec15 Dec04 Nov23 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 121 6.00    
4  WEIRD YEAR Jan24 Nov01 Oct02 Sep14 Jun29 (rossi j)DIEGO V 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
5  MIDNIGHT HUNTER Nov23 Apr05 Mar01 Jan27 Jan05 (baldillez )PEREZ ANGEL 116 20.00    
6  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Jan31 Oct26 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
7  SAM SEZ Jan31 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul24 (roberts bl)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  AFFECTIONTO AUTISM Jan24 Nov24 May05 Apr13 Mar01 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
9  IMA BIG BOPPER Feb02 Jan10 Aug27 Apr27 Apr05 (payne danny )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 8.00    
10  SUITABLE Jan31 Jan10 Nov29 Nov02 Oct16 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
HOU-5   02/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISHOP CREEK Jan25 May05 Mar22     (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of STAMP by WAR FRONT)
2  FEATHER LAINE Jan24 Dec28 Nov23     (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 20.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of FEATHERSPUN by HARD SPUN)
3  ATLANTIC STORM Jan18 Dec28       (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 119 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ONE IN A ROMP by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
4  EXPAT         (jacks e)DIEGO V 125 10.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CALLA LILY by PULPIT)
5  FOLLOW THE STAR Jan24 Jan12       (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ALL OTHERS FOLLOW by SEA THE STARS)
SCR  ROARING RAPIDS Jan17         (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 125 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RANSOMED HEART by GALILEO)
7  KANTAKE Jan17 Nov13 Oct09 Sep26 Aug23 (pish danny)WETHEY JR 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TAKE CHARGE by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
8  PHILANTHROPER Jan17 Mar22 Mar01 Feb04 Jan07 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 125 4.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SENSEU'VBEENGONE by STREET SENSE)
 
HOU-6   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESSAY Jan25 Dec13 Nov16 Sep29 Sep01 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SON OF A BLING Jan04 Jun28 Jun02 May12 Mar16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00    
3  I'M A COWBOY Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 Feb17 Jan28 (pish danny)PARKER L 123 15.00    
4  TEXAS HOLDEM Jan31 May25 Apr18 Mar09 Feb25 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.50 10% 9.30    
5  RED SUMMERBIRD Jun23 Jun08 Mar09 Jan28 Oct28 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLING MOUNTAIN Jan26 Jan04 Dec05 Nov06 Sep26 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 6.00    
7  TX CODE Jan12 Nov25 Oct10     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 1.00 58% 0.70    
8  BANDERA BLING Feb09 Jan04 Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 20.00    
 
HOU-7   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT-10:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT MAGGIE WANTS Jul07 Jun01       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of BUSKINFOALIVIN by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  SONGERIE Jan31 Aug22 Jul12     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.80 47% 1.10    
  (by ENTICED out of CATCH THAT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  LAVENDER WILL Jan17 May26 May05 Apr21   (k)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
4  IMAGOLDENSONG Feb08 Jan24       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of POSITIVE SPIN by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
5  SPIRIT OF VETERANS Jan24 Jan03 Jun23     (pish danny)PARKER L 119 10.00 9% 10.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of UM MELAKEH by JUMP START)
SCR  STACY'S PRINCESS Jan31 Jul12 Jun21 Apr21 Mar16 (uriegas henry)CABRERA DAVID 123 20.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
7  STELLA RIDGE         (m)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of JOVIALISA RIDGE by EARLY FLYER)
8  YODA WINNER         (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of AWESOMELY PERFECT by AWESOME OF COURSE)
9  KLASSY ROSE CHROME Jan31 Apr21       (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of KLASSY K. O. by SILVER CITY)
10  FAITH AND DEVOTION Feb07         (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of FABULOUS DEVOTION by TAPIT)
11  INDY LA PRIMERA Jul12 Jun21 May26 May05 Mar16 (rangel raul)FUENTES MARIO 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of I'M INDY HAVIN FUN by INDYGO MOUNTAIN)
 
HOU-8   02/21/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Jan24 Nov13 Nov02 Oct11 Jul13 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  ZITI (FR) Jan11 Oct05 Aug22 Jun16 Apr28 (cappellucci dick)PARKER L 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  BLUEBERRY EYES Jan31 Jan18 Jan05 Dec12 Nov30 (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 8.00 9% 9.60    
4  TIZAWIZ Oct19 Sep13 Aug23 Jun29 May26 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 4.50    
5  CHATON ROUGE May18 Apr28 Mar15 Feb20 Jan13 (r)DE CRUZ 121 3.50    
6  PANTHERA Jan26 Jan18 Nov25 Oct04 Sep21 (davidson sara)CABRERA DAVID 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GIRLS GOT GAME Oct12 Sep16 Sep05 Aug14 Jul07 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 15.00    
8  GOLD MAKIN GIRL Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Feb23 Jan12 (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
 
HOU-9   02/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN WORTHY Jan31 Jan03 Dec06 Nov18 Oct19 (williams steve )WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00    
2  DEANOS CAPE Jan31 Sep16 Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  CATHOLIC GUILT Jan31 Nov21 Oct19 Sep21 Sep07 (rengstorf tony)SANCHEZ OBED 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  SPECIAL MOMENT Jan31 Nov01 Oct12 Aug11 Jul21 (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BARBACOA Feb02 Nov06 Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 (sauc)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
6  PLAYBOY STYLE Jan31 Dec07 Nov17 Oct19 Oct04 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 121 30.00    
7  SHAMAYIM Jan31 Jan19 Dec27 Nov29 Nov09 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 2.00    
8  HELLO HELLO MISTER Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 Sep25 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 20.00    
9  COOL MEMORY Jan31 Jan23 Dec13 Nov16 Oct31 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Jan19 Dec28 Dec19 Dec05 Nov23 (g)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
11  ABSOLUTE COURAGE Feb02 Jan10 Jul12 Jun22 May27 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
HOU-10   02/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLLITO TITO Nov25         (asmussen )TRIANA JR 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
  (by LEADEM IN KEN out of SWEET SONNET by SEEKING THE GOLD)
2  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Feb08 Jan10 Nov05 Sep26 Sep04 (love alan)CABRERA DAVID 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
3  SUPER EKATI Feb08 Jan10 Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 (love alan)MECHE COLE 118 20.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SUPER ESTHER by MALIBU MOON)
4  SILENT BLING Jan10 Jul04 May31 May04 Mar23 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 8.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  TRAVEL GURU Jul04 May26       (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 30.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BELLTOWN BELLE by TIZNOW)
6  SECOND BATTALION Jan12 Nov14 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 (jenkins brand)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of NINE FROM TWO by CURLIN)
7  CURLY'S ONE THING Nov25         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
  (by LEADEM IN KEN out of STRONG AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
8  BRADIX Feb01 Jan10 Dec12     (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
9  FIST BUMP RIDGE Feb09 Jan17 Feb19     (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
10  THE DEVIL'S BET Feb01 Jan10       (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of DEVIL IN THE NIGHT by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
11  BINARY CODE Feb01         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROCHELLE ROCHELLE by MIZZEN MAST)
12  MORO TRENDSETTER Dec12 Nov16 Oct24 Aug24 Aug10 (villafranco f)RIVERA SANTOS 123 30.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
13  EXPECT GLORY Feb01 Jan10 Jul04 Jun15 May31 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 15.00    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of GLORIOUS ODYSSEY by MIZZEN MAST)
14  ROCKETS RED FLAIR Jan03 Jun01       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.