Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - February 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(7/6/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(3/4/5/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(3/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(3/4/5/7)-(2/1/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/7)-(2/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/7)-(2/1/7/6)-(10/6/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/6)-(10/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/6)-(10/6/5/7)-(1/6/7/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/7)-(10/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/7)-(10/6/5/7)-(10/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/5/7)-(1/6/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5/7)-(1/6/7/9)-(4/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/9)-(1/6/7/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/9)-(1/6/7/4/9)-(1/6/7/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/7/9)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/9)-(4/3/6)-(10/9/1/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(10/9/1/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/9/1/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/1/8/4)-(10/9/1/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/1/8/4)-(10/9/1/8/4)-(10/9/1/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/14/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALKING TEDDY Jan03 Oct30 Sep28 Aug15 Jul11 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
JUST A FLIRT Jan23 Jan04 Nov29 Nov20 Nov08 (mcgill sylve)DIAZ JR 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
FOREVER TAKES TIME Nov21 Aug10 Jun29 Mar23 Feb10 (barber bo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
SCR  KING OF LUCK Feb01 Jan23 Jan03 Dec11 Nov06 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
CANDY FOR JUBA Jan03 Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 6.00    
GOLD FIBER Jan25 Dec11 Nov21 Oct19 Oct11 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 124 0.60 35% 1.80    
 
CT-2   02/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY TOURIST Dec14 Oct24 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
FLEETNESS Sep26 Jul06 May30     (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVENLY LADY Feb01 Jan11 Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 4.00    
HEY MACARENA Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00    
FUNNY SHE FIRED ME Feb07 Jan16 Nov22 Oct12   (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 13% 6.90    
EIGHT OZ MOCHA Jan16 Dec17 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA J 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
IN RETROSPECT Feb08 Jan16 Dec14 Dec04 Nov13 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
CT-3   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG MO GEE Feb05 Jan15 Dec05 Nov27 Oct26 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00    
HURRICANE JIM Jan16 Nov15 Oct30 Oct17 Jul27 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
RICK'SWARMHEART Dec05 Nov13       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
SUPERSONIC CRUISER Jan23 Dec11 Nov20     (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 1.00 20% 4.10    
MY FRIEND PADDY         (bourke m)HO WESLEY 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
CEDAR'S ESTATE Dec27         (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 20.00    
BIG BANK Jan16 Dec08 Nov25     (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 124 12.00 5% 18.20    
WHISKEY AND WINE Feb01 Oct30 Aug11 Jun19 May14 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
 
CT-4   02/14/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMELESS APPEAL Jan02 Nov30 Oct17 Sep27 Aug17 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
THANK YA PETE Feb05 Jan24 Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 0.60 34% 1.90    
GETTIN SPICY Jan30 Jan11 Dec12 Nov27 Nov16 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
CATCHING STARS Jan24 Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (reyes ruben)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 15.00    
ON THE CHILL Jan23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep14 Aug01 (iannotti i)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
TRUST FUND ROBBER Dec27 Dec03 Nov25 Nov13 Oct27 (lopez e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HELL'S KITTEN Dec02 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
CT-5   02/14/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORA'S CHOICE Feb08 Jan04 Dec11 Nov29 Nov09 (walters j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
SCR  THUNDER BOSS Nov29 Nov08 Oct23 Oct04 Aug22 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 20.00    
LINDA'S TAJ Jan23 Dec04 Nov09 Oct24 Oct05 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
DING DING Jan23 Jan04 Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
AMERICAN BOUND Dec10 Nov11 Oct15 Sep24 Aug21 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 120 15.00 10% 8.80    
SWEET SHUGS Jan23 Jan04 Nov01 Sep21 Jul19 (dove j)LEWIS M 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
COACH RUBE Jan29 Oct12 Jul29 Jul07 Jun01 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKEY WILD Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct30 Sep21 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 124 4.00    
SCR  GARY DOING BIZ Jan04 Nov30 Sep28 Aug03 Jul04 (walters)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
10  UPSWELL Feb03 Jan10 Jun28 Jun07 May09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
CT-6   02/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSCOR Jan31         (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of CAMPANIA by COMMISSIONER)
KEEP SHINING ON US Jan30 Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Oct24 (petty k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT Jan31         (sigler ron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CELESTIAL HAZE by UTOPIA (JPN))
PRESHOW HYPE Jan30 Jan10       (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 1.80    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
MISS NINE ONE O Dec14 Nov14       (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of FLUVANNA by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
COLLECTING ANGELS Jan30 Jan10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of BELIEVE IN ANGELS by FLATTER)
EMILY KATHERINE Jan30         (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of POTOSI'S SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
TIGER'S CANDY Jan31         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of ARCH TIGER by ARCH)
ALL ABOARD Jan31         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LAST TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
 
CT-7   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT DANCE Jan25 Dec13 Nov29 Nov02 Oct17 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 120 1.00    
SPECIAL NOTE Jan15 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct04 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 4.00    
PEACHY WEACHY Jan18 Apr28 Apr13 Apr04 Mar04 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
TEMPLEMENT Dec08 Nov24 Nov04 Oct01 Aug18 (adams doug)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  LACE REVOLUTION Jan03 Dec12 Nov29 Nov09 Nov25 (shanley m)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 15.00    
AZZURRA Jan18 Nov23 Nov02 Jul13 Jun22 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE CANDY CASTLE Jan24 Jan03 Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 (bass w)ADAMS L 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
TIME TO CHOOSE Feb01 Jan24 Dec07 Nov06 Oct26 (reyes d)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
MY BUDDY DUANE Jan24 Jan02 Dec12 Nov27 Nov16 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
FEARNOUGHT Jan24 Jan18 Jan02 Nov30 May03 (clatter)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HOT FUDGE SONDE Jan16 Jan03 Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 4.00    
KNOCKOUT WIN Jan02 Nov29 Nov08 Apr11 Feb28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA J 122 8.00    
RAISE A RUCKUS Jan03 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 2.50    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jan23 Jan03 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Oct17 Sep26 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 6.00 28% 2.60    
10  SHOOT THE BREEZE Jan23 Dec07 Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.