Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7)-(5/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/7)-(5/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/7)-(5/1/6/4)-(8/7/9/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(8/7/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4)-(8/7/9/4/6)-(5/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/7/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/4/6)-(8/7/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/4/6)-(8/7/9/4/6)-(8/7/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/9/4/6)-(5/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/4/6)-(5/2/1)-(7/6/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(1/7/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/1)-(1/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/1)-(1/7/8/4)-(9/1/5/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/4)-(9/1/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/4)-(9/1/5/2/3)-(7/5/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/1/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/2/3)-(9/1/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/2/3)-(9/1/5/2/3)-(9/1/5/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/2/3)-(7/5/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/2/3)-(7/5/4/3)-(1/12/7/9/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-8   WIN (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/3)-(1/12/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/12/7/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/7/9/5)-(1/12/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/12/7/9/5)-(1/12/7/9/5)-(1/12/7/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENIZETTI Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 (ceciliano misael)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
2  LET'S EAT Sep12 Jul04 Jun13 Apr27 Mar16 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
3  YANGARRA Sep20 Sep12 Aug22 Aug15 Jul27 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIKE THE BOMB Oct05 Aug18 Jul27 Jul07 Jun14 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
5  RAMSEY Sep12 Aug27 Aug15 Aug05 Jul04 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
SCR  RUN FOR REAGAN Sep27 Aug16 Jul05 Apr19 Mar16 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
7  AGAIN WE MEET Sep13 Jul25 Jun15 May04 Apr11 (heath georg)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  RESTLESS Sep20 Aug31 Jul26 Jul13 Jun02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
CT-2   10/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN RUN Sep20 Aug10 Jul20 Jun15 May17 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  HOME TOWN FAV Aug21 Jul20 Jul07 May16 Oct19 (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 119 30.00    
3  SALLY GIRL Sep20 Jun05 May10 Nov03 Oct13 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
4  HEY MACARENA Sep26 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 Jun06 (pennella rh)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  TALAVERA Jun27 Jun12 Jul07 Jun02   (viands r)PELTROCHE F 121 0.60 44% 1.20    
6  P B FOXY Sep20 Aug23 May30 May04 Apr12 (venham d)MAYHEW W 119 3.50 12% 7.50    
7  HIDDEN RIVER Sep20 Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 Jun15 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 119 50.00    
8  PRETTY COAST Oct04 Sep12 Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
 
CT-3   10/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Sep25 Aug15 Jul26 Jul01 Jun08 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50    
2  CHROME HEIR Sep04 Jun12 May22 Apr25 Mar30 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
3  GABRIEL SEVEN Sep21 Sep13 Jul25 Jun29 Jun15 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
4  MASAI MAN Sep21 Aug17 Jul26 May03 Mar23 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5% 18.20    
5  AWESOME PRINCE Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 May11 (caison l)GILPIN SEAN 120 20.00    
6  PROTA Sep21 Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SILVER MOON ROAD Sep20 Jun11 May16 Apr17 Oct16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
8  LOST WEEKEND Sep01 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
9  WHERE IS MIKE Sep26 Sep12 Aug17 May29 Apr11 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  BONNIE BILL Sep21 Aug17 Jul27 Jun14 May18 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 15.00    
SCR  KBCYA LATER Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50    
 
CT-4   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAPPIANO HALO Sep14 Aug09 Jul18 Jun22 Mar15 (dollinger-s)CACHA-PADILLA B 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLE RICHIE Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 Jul18 Apr25 (gur bat)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
3  YAREAKH Aug09 Jul18 Jun22 Apr25 Apr05 (gazzier kris)LEWIS M 117 6.00    
4  NOVEMBER IMPERIUM Sep21 Aug24 Mar29 Feb15 Jan26 (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
5  BLAZE FOR DAZE Sep14 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 May10 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  STRIKE THREE Sep14 Aug15       (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 3.50    
7  GOGO GADGET Sep14 Jun22 Apr25 Nov02 Sep16 (calhoun amanda)CHILO MAXIMO 121 15.00    
 
CT-5   10/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLT ROCK Sep21 Sep13 Aug28 Jul27 Jul06 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00 6% 16.50    
2  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 Jun29 May31 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00    
3  CANDY FOR JUBA Aug17 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 May24 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
4  ONE CANDY CASTLE Sep21 Aug15 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 (binning matth)ADAMS L 117 10.00    
5  NEVERPOPTHECORK Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Mar14 Feb22 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 124 10.00 9% 9.70    
6  VALHALLA'S PALACE Sep26 Aug17 Jul30 Jul03 Jun20 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  PINK DINGHY Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 Jul04 May25 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  HOT FUDGE SONDE Oct04 Aug28 Jun15 May10 Apr18 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
 
CT-6   10/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE WITH THE FORCE Aug30         (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  DAWN'S CREED Sep26 Aug30 Aug16 Feb08 Jan03 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 12.00    
3  IN RETROSPECT Oct03 Aug17 Jul26     (jones michae)LEWIS M 116 15.00    
4  KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Sep26 Aug23 Aug01     (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAKAAN Aug22 Aug01 Jun15 May30 Apr12 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
SCR  OSO Sep20 Sep06 Jul27 Jun19 May15 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00    
7  DICE ARM Aug22 Aug01 Jun15 May30 May10 (keller )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
8  SWAG SHOP Sep20 Jun06       (lane j)RODRIGUEZ V 121 12.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-7   10/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZIG TOO         (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00 11% 8.50    
  (by MOSLER out of MAID OF COTTON by PARTNER'S HERO)
2  ITSAPRINCESSPARTY         (grigsby)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00 8% 12.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of JUSTTENCENTSADANCE by DISCO RICO)
3  COUNT THE FLOWERS Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun08 May30 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
4  BARAPHA Sep21 Aug23       (conn linda )CESPEDES JHORMA 111 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of SNOW RITE by SNOW RIDGE)
5  ODDS OF JOY         (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 121 10.00 9% 9.90    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of MIDNIGHT MASS by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  I'M FLYING UP Sep21 Aug23 Mar20     (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 121 2.50    
  (by I'M STEPPIN' IT UP out of ATHENA IN FLIGHT by BERNSTEIN)
7  NATURALLY DIVINE         (kolb c)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 6.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of NATURALLY by THUNDER GULCH)
8  LADIES PREMONITION Sep21         (jackson ange)LEWIS M 119 12.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of ACQUIRED BY CUPID by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
9  TALENTED LORD         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TALENT N PASSION by CITY PLACE)
 
CT-8   10/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 May31 Apr18 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50    
2  GOLD ALLIANCE Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 May26 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00    
3  PRINCESS MARGARET Sep28 Sep21 Aug24 Jul12 Jun13 (sandoval mich)BATISTA C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS BEE BOP Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 May25 Apr27 (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
5  JUBA'S PUNCH Aug24 Jul06 Jun13 Jun07 May03 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
6  LET'S DO THIS Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jul04 Jun08 (aylor natasha )CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
7  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Aug24 Aug03 Jul04 Jun14 Jun01 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
CT-9   10/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAW Sep21 Aug25 Aug17 Jul26 Jul12 (maldonado jo)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50 36% 1.70    
2  ROYAL SPY Sep01 Aug12 Jul12 May25 Apr27 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
3  ON THE COME UP Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 Jun08 May19 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50    
4  REY O REYES Aug16 Jul06 Jun08 Apr13 Apr04 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 120 30.00    
SCR  FU MAN SUE Sep21 Apr21 Mar16 Feb08 Jan06 (sewell lenworth )MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAZARETTO Sep01 Aug20 Jul17 Jun18 May22 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
7  MONTAUK DADDY Oct04 Aug17 Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 12% 7.70    
8  GOLD FIBER Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 May25 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
9  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Sep21 Sep11 Aug04 Jul15 Jun17 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Sep19 Aug03 Jul04 Jun08 Apr20 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00    
SCR  JAZZ MAN DO Jul27 Jul06 Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
12  SMOOTH RICO Jul24 Jun18 May09 Apr06 Mar08 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Sep10 Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 May30 (agnew nao)BOCACHICA J 124 10.00    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 Jun14 Jun01 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.