Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - October 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (3/7/2/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/5/10)-(3/7/2/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/5/10)-(3/7/2/5/10)-(3/7/2/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/2/5/10)-(8/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/5/10)-(8/6/4/5)-(1/8/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-2   WIN (8/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/5)-(8/6/4/3/5)-(8/6/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/4/5)-(1/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/5)-(1/8/6/7)-(2/1/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/7)-(2/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/7)-(2/1/5/7)-(7/6/2/10/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(7/6/2/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/7)-(7/6/2/10/1)-(2/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRX-5   WIN (7/6/2/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/10/1)-(7/6/2/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/10/1)-(7/6/2/10/1)-(7/6/2/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/2/10/1)-(2/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/10/1)-(2/8)-(7/6/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/5/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-7   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(7/6/4)-(4/5/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(4/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(4/5/3/9)-(6/9/8/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/5/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/9)-(4/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/9)-(4/5/3/9)-(4/5/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/9)-(6/9/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRX-10   WIN (6/9/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/1/4)-(6/9/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/1/4)-(6/9/8/1/4)-(6/9/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY NOT BABE Sep17 Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 Dec13 (curry dee)MOYA F 122 6.00    
CATALINA CRUZIN Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 Jul08 Jun15 (pecoraro ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
RUMINT Sep17 Aug29 Aug04 Jun22 May18 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 2.00 38% 1.70    
RAICHU Sep17 Sep03 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 (tapsas i)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00    
GRYPHON'S WINGS Aug28 Jul22 Jun26 May20 Apr10 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 6.00 6% 14.70    
AZTEC BAY Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul02 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
MISS NEO Aug11 Jul21 Jul13 Jun09 Jul08 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  WILDCAT GIRL Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul02 Jul26 (pino mi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
SOMETHING SILLY Sep19 Aug07 Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00    
10  FAR HEART Sep17 Jul24 May24 May01 Feb22 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-2   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DE LEO Sep14 Jul27 Jul06 Jun28 Jun02 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
BOINTHEBACK Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Jul03 Jun16 (lake sc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
DOUBLE O OTTO Sep24 Mar27 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
SURFBOARD Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Jul22 Jun16 (flores-cob)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
ROAD CALL Sep09 Aug24 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (mccaslin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
THIRD WATCH (GB) Aug26 Jul20 Jul04 Mar29 Mar15 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
HEY WHAT'S UP Sep03 Aug19 May28 Apr03 Mar13 (rosado ro)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
RUN CORY RUN Sep14 Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 May11 (gomez pompey)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
LIBERTY RUNNER Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 Jul23 Jun26 (leung a)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00    
10  SMOOTH PLAYER Sep14 Sep08 Jul04 Jun08 May18 (avila juan )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 5.00    
 
PRX-3   10/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL HERMANO Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 May08 Apr14 (abrams j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 1.80 38% 1.70    
TRUE DAKOTAN Sep30 Jul01 Jun08 May29 May18 (ashton patr)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 20.00    
TEEWINOT PASS Sep18 Sep11 Aug28 Jul24 Jul15 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00    
JACOHARE Sep18 Sep04 Aug28 Aug11 Jul15 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 122 5.00    
CARNIVORE Sep25 Sep09 Aug21 Aug03 Jul23 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Sep18 Aug01 Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 (tapsas ilias)OCASIO M 122 12.00 12% 7.60    
TWIXTER Sep11 Aug31 Aug23 Aug08 Aug02 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WIZARD SERRAT Sep11 Aug27 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 (velazquez a)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
PRX-4   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JADON'S HONOR         (hawthor)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00 17% 4.80    
CURIOUS SOUL Sep10 Aug20 Jul23     (servis john)VASQUEZ WILFRED 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
SCUDETTO Aug28 Aug03       (flores-coba )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00    
POSSUM Sep21 Sep10 Aug25     (preciado)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
HOLY MITOLE         (hawthorne b)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 12.00 17% 4.80    
MR. BOGAN Sep21 Sep10       (arce josue)SANCHEZ J 123 12.00    
STEEL N CENTS         (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00 17% 4.80    
CAPPETTA Aug26 Aug12 Jul09     (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00    
 
PRX-5   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMOLITION WOMAN Aug19 Jul22       (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSHINE HAZEL         (ness jamie)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
IRISH BANBA Aug26         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00    
I AM RUE Sep21 Aug26       (padilla hugo)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 12.00    
CHARLOTTE'S POTTER Sep09         (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 118 15.00    
LOVEUMOM Sep21 Sep09       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
MISS JONES         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  ALYVIA'S GIRL Aug19 Jul22       (gallimore trevo)BOWMAN ADAM 123 20.00    
PADDY'S GIFT Sep21 Sep09       (preciado)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 4.00    
10  ROCK ME GENTLY Sep24 Sep09       (padilla hug)VASQUEZ WILFRED 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  LOOKIN AT STAR         (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 12.00    
 
PRX-6   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMARIE Sep11 Sep02 Aug21 Jul24 Jul09 (betancourt )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
R TENDERONI Sep25 Sep26 Aug03 Jun28 Jun13 (rodriguez irvin)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50 70% 0.40    
BUNNY BONUS Sep11 Jul17 Jun04 May20 Apr22 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00    
CREME CARAMEL Sep25 Sep04 Aug27 Jul24 Jul04 (martinez alexa)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 15.00    
BONITA LASSIE Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 Aug08 Jun25 (abrams r)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.00    
SIRENETTA Sep23 Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 Jul24 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50    
SCR  BRODY SLAM Sep25 Apr30 Apr16 Mar27 Mar12 (wilson bre)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
LIKE A PRO Aug27 Jul10 Jun12 May28 May07 (st lewi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-7   10/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE TIRE MAN Aug20 Jul23 Jun24     (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LITERATA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
AIRMAN TREVOR         (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 9% 10.20    
  (by UNIFIED out of BALBINA by LEMON DROP KID)
CENTAUR CENTRAL Sep21         (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of KEEPNHERINTHEDARK by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  COME PRIMA         (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of MY SONATA by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
ALCHEMISM         (dotolo davi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of ENCHANTED EVENING by FIRST DEFENCE)
SAVE A PRAYER         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 10% 8.60    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of CAVE IN by MINESHAFT)
LASKY DRIVE         (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
 
PRX-8   10/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE MISCHIEF         (rodriguez m)RAMOS O 122 4.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SISTER KATHY by BELGRAVIA (GB))
ALYVIA MAVIS Sep21 Sep11 Aug31 Aug19   (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of J'RAY'S SUNSHINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  DADOO         (reid ro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BREE'S GOT HEART by COLONEL JOHN)
TIP LINE         (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00 7% 13.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAP TO MY LU by TAPIT)
FAST STORM         (soto- martinez)CORREA JULIO 122 6.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of CAMILLE'S STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CAROLYN DORIS Sep09         (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of KISS THE PRINCESS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
WEST SIDE DIVA         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by ROWAYTON out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
 
PRX-9   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNYONESQUE Sep17 Sep10 Aug28 Aug21 Jul23 (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00    
SCR  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Sep21 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul21 (yanez reyna)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 10.00    
PEOPLE FORCE Sep10 Aug04 Jul11 Jun09 May04 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 122 4.50 8% 10.90    
IT'S GAME TIME Aug28 Aug08 Jul17 Jun24 May28 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
GREENER PASTURES Sep17 Aug28 May10 Jan13 Dec29 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
ROAN BURGUNDY Jul15 Jun25 May28 May06 Mar06 (crook-demasi k)AGUILAR JEAN 117 5.00    
THIRSTY PAPPY Sep24 Jul24 Jun24 Jun12 May22 (dunn fe)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00    
SPEIGHTSTER RED Sep10 Aug27 Jul15 Jun08 May22 (vega richard)RIVERA D 122 5.00    
HOKU Sep17 Sep02 Aug23 Aug03 Jun18 (caban carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 12.00 7% 14.20    
 
PRX-10   10/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN PROMISE Sep18 Aug27 Aug08 Jul17 Jun17 (martinez)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00 6% 14.90    
OLYMPIC ROMP Sep02 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jun29 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
FINALIST Aug23 Jul19 Jun25 May28 May06 (linder loui)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
JW'S THIRD MISCHIE Sep24 Sep11 Aug20 Jul28 Jul10 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Sep18 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 (rodriguez mig)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
MAKABIM Aug28 Jul15 Jun18 May29 May01 (serey juan)AGUILAR JEAN 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
NEW COMMISSION Jul22 Jun16 May22 Apr09 Mar20 (tapsas)GONZALEZ JR 122 3.50    
AWESOME LAUNCH Sep25 Aug22 Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 9% 10.60    
LORD WINSALOT Sep30 Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul25 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  ROMAN EMPIRE Sep17 Aug21 Jul23 Jun24 May08 (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 122 6.00    
11  FIRST DEPUTY Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.