Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/7/2/6)-(5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(5/7)-(6/1/2/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(6/1/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(6/1/2/4)-(7/4/8/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4)-(7/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4)-(7/4/8/3)-(1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3)-(7/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/3)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/3)-(1/8/6)-(3/5/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/3/6)-(1/8/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(3/5/6/8)-(5/6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/1/8)-(3/5/6/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/6/8)-(5/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Aug23 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
2  GONE WITH THE WYN Sep26 Sep14 Aug15 Aug09 Jul13 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
3  BRACCESCA Jul11 Jun12 Apr28 Jan17 Dec08 (rodrigu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
4  SNEAKY LYNK Sep21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 May25 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
SCR  MUSIC LASS Sep21 Aug28 Jul04 Jun13 May21 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 117 6.00    
6  SMOKIN LADY Sep21 Jul20 Jun21 May23 Apr06 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
SCR  INTEGRATED DESIGN Jun24 Jun05 Apr20 Mar20 Feb23 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.00    
 
CT-2   10/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SMILE Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 May18 May09 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 1.20 37% 1.70    
2  BURTON WAY Sep13 Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 Nov11 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  AKINGISALWAYSKING Sep12 Aug16 Jul13 Jul07 Jun06 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 50.00    
4  BON BUENO Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 May16 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00    
5  CHICA CHUCK Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 Jun15 May26 (maldonado jo)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
6  BALI'S SHADE Sep15 Aug27 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 (murtaugh andrew)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MON GATEAU Sep12 Sep01 Aug15 Jun27 Jun20 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 25% 3.00    
8  NICO LUCKY Sep09 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 (harting chri)LEWIS M 119 15.00    
 
CT-3   10/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ART'S LAST DANCE Sep01 Jul25 Jul05     (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.50    
2  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Sep13 Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 121 3.50 ★    
3  MEXICAN KRYPTONITE Jun13 Apr26 Feb28 May19 Apr08 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 30.00    
4  NO BLUSHING HERE Sep13         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 4.00 ★    
5  NAY'S ONLY ONE         (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 2.50 44% 1.20    
6  CALL ME KAT Sep13 Jul27 Jul06 Jun05 Apr24 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 124 5.00    
7  CHAPIN ELEVEN         (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
8  KURUMI GO GO Aug15 Jun13 May25 Apr26 Feb22 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 30.00    
 
CT-4   10/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANDON JACK Sep01 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 5.00 12% 7.30    
2  DISCREET DEVIL Sep26 Sep12 Sep01 Aug23 Aug02 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 6.00 7% 12.50    
3  TIZAFASTBULLET Jul13 May31 Apr19 Mar14 Feb22 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
4  BODYSLAM Sep19 Aug03 Jun21 Jul28 Jun30 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROLL ON OUT May04 Apr19 Feb23 Feb08 Jan20 (knudsen k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
6  CIRCLE THE MOON Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 May23 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
7  AIM FOR THE CORK Sep13 Sep01 May25 Apr13 Mar20 (salazar marco)MENA E 120 15.00    
SCR  DICEY GREY Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 Jul07 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80    
 
CT-5   10/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY TOURIST Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 Jun21 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
2  SPEEDY N SMART Sep12 Aug22 Aug04 Jul26 Aug18 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 12.00    
3  MAIDENS BLUSH Sep12 Jul06 May30 May04 Apr13 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WAC IS FAST Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jun28 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
5  LOVE NOTION Sep12 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May27 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 5.00    
6  DOGWOODS JUNE Sep20 Aug22 Aug15 Jul25 Jul13 (huffman ke)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 121 20.00    
7  IN RETROSPECT Aug17 Jul26       (jones michae)LEWIS M 116 3.50 30% 2.30    
8  KISS ME MORE Aug16 Jul13 Jun16 May25 Apr26 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
CT-6   10/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Aug15 Jul04 May18 Apr13 Mar29 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 1.80 63% 0.60    
2  KARMA BUS Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May09 Apr13 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
3  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Aug07 Jun20 Mar29 Mar08 Feb01 (runco jeff)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  TAKE YOUR TIME Sep26 Aug15 Jul20 Jun29 May31 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
5  EVANESCO Aug03 Jul13 May31 May10 Apr12 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
6  DIRECT THE SHOW Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 Jun15 Jun08 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DONNIE B Aug15 May18 Mar22 Feb28 Feb07 (barber l)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
8  TWO BRONZE STARS Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 May31 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
CT-7   10/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL PAIN Aug17 Jul26 May19 May05 Apr20 (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 ★    
2  THE KHOZAN ONE Aug16 Feb21 Jan13 Dec18 Oct24 (singh s)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00    
3  ZEN MASTER Jul26 Jul01 Jun01 May09 Apr12 (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  LET'S EAT Sep12 Jul04 Jun13 Apr27 Mar16 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 120 30.00    
5  OVERLY CRITICAL Sep01 May16 Apr15 Feb21 Feb07 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  RIDICULOUS Sep21 Jun27 Jun07 May24 Apr12 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 6.00 8% 12.10    
7  RAGTIME RICHES Sep02 Aug22 Jun29 May24 Apr27 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00    
8  SILVER FRONT Sep07 Aug23 Aug13 Jul27 May24 (huffman ke)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BONDED (IRE) Sep18 Aug31 Aug24 Jul26 Jul17 (martin augu)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 15.00    
10  ROAD SLEW Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
SCR  ALWAYS GAMBLING Sep13 Jul28 Jul20 Jun09 May17 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 113 4.00    
 
CT-8   10/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKING RULES Sep20 Aug24 Mar16 Feb10 Dec29 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 1.60    
SCR  BREAKING BULLET Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Jun28 Apr25 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
3  GLO GIRL GLO Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun30 Jun10 (ramgeet andre )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS PEARL HART Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 Jun06 Apr20 (comi ralph)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
5  BLUE TRILLION Sep08 Aug17 Jul14 Jun02 May09 (dilodovic)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  BOBBI TWO STEPS Sep12 Aug09 Jul20 Jun15 May24 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.00 12% 7.60    
7  BALI HAI Sep12 Aug10 Jul26 Jun15 May05 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 117 6.00    
8  BLUSHING BIP BOP Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May24 May02 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.