Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Remington Park
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RP-1   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/8)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
RP-2   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RP-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/7/4/6)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
RP-4   WIN (3/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/6)-(2/4/5)-(4/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
RP-5   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/1/6)-(1/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
RP-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/7/2)-(3/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
RP-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(3/6/7)-(6/8/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
RP-8   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(6/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
RP-9   WIN (6/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RP-1   09/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHERING GAZE         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 4.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of POINT SYSTEM by BROKEN VOW)
ROYALIST Sep05 Jul02 Jun04     (cruz eduardo)PEREZ A 118 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FLOWERFUL by OVERANALYZE)
GUNNY HIGHWAY Aug16         (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 15.00    
  (by BLENDED CITIZEN out of LEISURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
RICKIE ROOOO STER Jul14         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
SCR  CHEROKEE SUNRISE Aug31 Aug16 Jun30     (young e)QUINONEZ B 118 5.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BELLEOFTHEBRIDLE by YES IT'S TRUE)
LAND SPEED Aug28         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MITOLE out of BONNEVILLE FLATS by FLAT OUT)
THOUSAND CHANCES Aug16         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 118 6.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BESTATGETTINBETTER by GHOSTZAPPER)
CONFIDING         (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of CLASSICAL TUNE by DIN'S DANCER)
 
RP-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME OUTLAW Aug17 Jun26 May14 Apr29 Apr08 (pruitt )GONCALVES R 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
FATHER RED Aug17 Mar16 Feb19 Feb09 Nov11 (davidson n)SHEPHERD J 120 5.00 30% 2.40    
C B'S FLAT OUT Aug31 Jun20 Jun12 May07 Apr08 (gladd andy)SANCHEZ OBED 116 3.50    
SCR  STORM CATCHER Aug19 Jun29 Jun12 Jun01 May06 (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 116 2.00    
MAJESTIC LOVER Aug31 Aug17 Jul18 Jun06 May13 (corderman)TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
SCR  UNION DATA Sep04 Aug17 Jun29 May04 Apr03 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 120 4.00    
WEIRD YEAR Jun29 Jun09 May25 Apr19 Mar30 (rossi j)DIEGO V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
RP-3   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE LIGHT Aug29 Jul14 Jun02 Feb25 Feb04 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 2.00 57% 0.80    
ATTA PARTY Aug17 Jun30 Jun08 May25 Apr27 (flores oscar)WADE LYNDIE 120 4.00    
ALGEBRA Jul06 Jun23 Jun01 May17 Apr27 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50    
ALTO ROAD Aug24 Jul03 May31 Apr27 Apr07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 4.50    
ORDER OF MERIT Aug24 Nov14 Oct14 Sep14 Aug24 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 124 3.00    
 
RP-4   09/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 8:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPID'S THUNDER Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 May01 Apr10 (swan e)DIAZ RENE 118 2.50    
  (by CUPID out of CATECAL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
DEBUTANTES DELIGHT Aug17         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 4.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of UNBELIEVABLE DREAM by KITALPHA)
KEENO Aug28         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIESTA TIME by TAPIT)
CHOICE NOT CHANCE Aug17         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of COLLAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
OLD BOYS CLUB Jul14 Jun15       (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOUBLE by BERNARDINI)
CHAHTA CITIZEN Aug16         (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLENDED CITIZEN out of CAUSEWAY CHROME by KARAKONTIE)
BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT Aug17 Jul14 Jun30     (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 10.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DREAM ON KAYLA by DECARCHY)
 
RP-5   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAPIS LAZULI Aug24 Jun19 Jun06 May07 Apr23 (pruitt jody )WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 5.00    
CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Sep04 Aug17 Jul12 Jun21 May18 (ferrell jory)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
SHADOWLESS Aug16 Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 Apr30 (oberlander jesse)ELLIOTT S 120 4.50    
TIGER DAD Aug24 Jun16 May18 Apr13 Mar16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
TEE BURNS Jul19 Jun24 May03 Mar22 Feb23 (hewitt michael)WADE LYNDIE 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
ABSOLUTE CHAOS Aug17 Aug04 Jul06 Jun08 Apr14 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 120 4.00    
 
RP-6   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL ON FIRE Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 May15 May04 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 116 4.00 24% 3.20    
POETIC UNION Aug24 Jul06 Jun30 Jun07 May18 (crosser)GONCALVES R 120 4.50    
SCR  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Aug24 Jul06 Aug26 Jun15 May27 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00    
MY MAYBELENNE Jul29 May26 Apr26 Apr01 Mar18 (mason ingrid)WADE LYNDIE 116 2.50 32% 2.10    
PURRFECT MOON Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 May25 May03 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00    
LITTLE TAP DANCER Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (murphy travi)SALAZAR TERESA 111 8.00 14% 6.40    
 
RP-7   09/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-10:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROM THE HEART Aug23 Jul06 Jun15 May19 Apr18 (cravens ron)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
EXCAPING THE BLUES Aug24 May27 Apr22 Mar26 Feb23 (bravo francis)CABRERA DAVID 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Aug23 Jul12 Jun23 Jun15 May18 (pish danny)DIEGO V 120 3.00    
SCR  GHURAIR'S WARRIOR Aug22 Jul13 Jun21 May04 Mar24 (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 15.00    
SINGING DIXIE Aug30 Jun15 May18 Apr26 Apr07 (castellanos ja)SANCHEZ OBED 120 12.00    
NOISE COMPLAINT Jul18 Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 May13 (moreno carlo)SALAZAR TERESA 115 20.00    
JEWELSTOWN Aug17 Jul06 May04 Apr21 Mar09 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
DUTCH BUS Aug16 Jul03 May04 Apr07 Mar09 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 2.50    
SCR  SPECIAL MEMORY Jul13 Jun08 May28 Mar24 Mar01 (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 116 5.00    
 
RP-8   09/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-10:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANCHOR LINE Aug24 Jul21       (rarick wade)QUINONEZ B 118 6.00    
FASTENED Sep04 Apr28 Apr12 Feb09 Jan27 (durham dane)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.00    
WILL TAKE CASH Aug22 Jul03 Oct19 Oct10 Aug05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
TAP DANCE TANGO Aug24 Jul04 Mar30 Nov17   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00    
DAKOTA MARVIN Jul10 Jun20 May14 Apr23   (wilson w)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00    
PERLIANO Aug16 Jul03 May01 Apr12 Mar21 (caldwell j )BARANDELA SOFIA 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
YOU'REOBADBOY Jun26 Jun19 Nov17 Aug27 Jun23 (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
RP-9   09/14/2024 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-11:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC VISION Aug23 May04 Apr02 Mar20 Feb04 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PHUNK Jul03 May19 Apr19 Mar30 Mar15 (young bob)QUINONEZ B 120 8.00    
HALAGA Sep07 Aug16 Jun29 Jun07 May27 (ramirez-rodriguez)ELLIOTT S 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
GHOST BAYOU Sep05 Jul23 Jun12 May21 Apr14 (flores oscar)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00    
STAN'S GOLDEN PATH May19 Mar29 Feb04 Jan13 Dec01 (crosser)GONCALVES R 120 15.00    
CAJUN NINJA Aug29 Jul07 Jun08 May17 Mar14 (silva miguel)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SMART OKIE Aug23 May04 Apr23 Apr09 Mar25 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 15.00    
TIPSY GAL Sep05 Nov04 Oct12 Sep09 Aug18 (ramirez-rod)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
LET FREEDOM BLING Sep05 Jul07 Jun21 May27 Apr06 (young bob)ERAMIA E 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.