Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - September 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/3/6)-(2/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/1/4)-(6/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/3/5)-(5/6/4/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/6/4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/6/4/1/2)-(2/3/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-5   WIN (5/6/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1/2)-(5/6/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1/2)-(5/6/4/1/2)-(5/6/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/4/1/2)-(2/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/1/2)-(2/3/5)-(5/6/9/8/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-6   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/6/9/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (5/6/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/8/2)-(5/6/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/8/2)-(5/6/9/8/2)-(5/6/9/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   09/02/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A TRUE TARGET Aug19 Aug07 Jul09 Jun25 May29 (beavin judy)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
2  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Aug16 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun13 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  A STAR ON THE RISE Jul29 Jun21 May15     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  SWORNTOSILENCE Aug10         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.00    
5  A G'S GEM Aug19 Jun13 Apr25 Feb01 Jan12 (beavin judy)SINGH R 121 4.00    
6  BELLAMY BROTHER Jul09 Jun26 May13 Apr06 Mar01 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
LAD-2   09/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILYHASHERTURN Aug01 Jul05 Jun07 May13 Mar09 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  SCRAPBOOK Aug20 Aug06 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (beavin judy)SINGH R 122 12.00    
3  FRONT AND SILVER Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 May08 (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 19% 4.30    
4  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Aug14 Jul23 Jul01 Jun07 May17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00    
5  DREAM TOWN Aug20 Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Oct26 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00    
6  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun08 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 119 8.00 9% 10.30    
 
LAD-3   09/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CECE WAVE Aug13 Jul29 Jul11 Jun25 May24 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
2  PINCHING PENNIES Aug14 Jul10 Jun11 May14 Jan05 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
3  THAT IS AWESOME Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 May31 May01 (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 122 3.00    
4  AGAMI Aug24 Jul11 May24 Apr18 Mar09 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  I DONT KNOW EITHER Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 Jun17 (gomez jorge)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 4.50    
SCR  DEROUTANTE Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 Jul01 Jun19 (meaux ja)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
SCR  SUPER ET Aug14 Jul31 Jul01 Jun12 May22 (hatcher d)BOREL H 122 6.00    
 
LAD-4   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIO'S PORCH Aug03 Jul20 Jan11 Nov30 Oct19 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 6.00    
2  THE THREE KS Apr10 Jan15 Dec14 Jul28 Apr12 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 122 12.00    
3  HALF A BUCK Aug14 Jul30 Jun24 Jun04 May20 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  JAMAICAN ME Aug14 Jul02 Jun10 May29 May10 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
5  SILKY'S DANCE Jul16 Jun24 Jun04 May20 Feb22 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
6  G'S STORM Aug14 Jul30 Jun24 Jun10 May04 (dixon tim)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  COLT'S BRIM Aug14 Jul29 Jun19 Jun10 May15 (hargrave k)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00    
 
LAD-5   09/02/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY GIRL MISS Aug02         (zenon charles)FLORIAN JOSE 114 20.00 5% 18.90    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TOO MUCH TO BEAR by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  CHARM'S ANGEL         (jeansonne just)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of ZARBA'S CHARM by RUN PRODUCTION)
3  TUSCAN SAINT         (lorefice matt)SINGH R 119 8.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of GLITTERING SNOW by ROOKIE SENSATION)
4  KINSLEY GRACE         (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 10% 8.60    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of TWINS PLUS A DOT by GIO PONTI)
5  MIKKISONTHINICE         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BEAT THE STREET by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
6  SPECIAL STRIKE Aug21         (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of STRIKINGLY SMART by UNION RAGS)
7  DIAMOND EMPRESS Aug09 Jul24       (clary jaylan )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FINER THINGS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  SEA QUEST         (wong jonat)RAMIREZ JR 114 6.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of CITY GONE WILD by CITY ZIP)
9  CLEVER RACE Aug12 Jul24 Jun28     (nixon w)WADE LYNDIE 119 12.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of CLEVER MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
10  GRACEFUL STAR Aug09         (robbins jr)ROSIER R 119 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of GRACEFUL REQUEST by SCAT DADDY)
 
LAD-6   09/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BUDDY MEL Aug25 Jul21 Jun28 Jun21 Jun08 (hibdon n)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
2  CALCULATED LUV Jul06 May24 Apr27 Feb23 Feb09 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  MUNNINGS CATSLE Jun26 May27 Feb21     (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  STAND PROUD Jul14 Jun19 May27 Jun02 Apr22 (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.80    
5  OCEOLA Jul30 Jul02 Jun08 May04 Apr06 (schultz l)BOREL H 119 12.00 6% 16.90    
6  RAVEN'S NEST Aug09 Jun28 Mar14 Feb09 Jan05 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00    
7  FOUR DICE Aug23 Jul05 Jun13 Aug03 May06 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 122 15.00    
 
LAD-7   09/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. MACOMBER Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 (wilson melton)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00    
2  RAGAZZA Jul18 Jun29 Jun14 May31 May17 (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHE'S EXTRA Jul31 Jun09 May31 Apr27 Dec28 (bryant geor)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 15.00    
4  LASSAROCK Aug20 Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 Jan14 (hirdes joh)RAMIREZ JR 119 30.00    
5  NO COST Aug03 Jul04 Jun03 May10 Apr25 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 34% 2.00    
6  TOOTOO TOURIST Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 May20 Mar08 (wong jonathan)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  CALLIN FOR DOLLARS Aug20 Aug12 Jul07 Jun07 Mar28 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00    
8  SISTER SAINT Jul31 Jul03 Jun17 May08 Apr25 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GYPSAN Jul31 Jul07 Jun16 May26 Feb10 (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 8% 11.80    
10  SHEZA CAT Aug20 Jul31 Jul04 Jun03 May25 (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.