Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Timonium
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TIM-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/5/3)-(6/2/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/2/8/4)-(2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-3   WIN (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/4)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/4)-(2/1/5)-(4/1/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TIM-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-5   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5)-(6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/5)-(6/7/4)-(5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-6   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(5/2/1)-(4/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(4/3/6)-(3/4/6/8/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TIM-8   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/4/6/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TIM-9   WIN (3/4/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8/5)-(3/4/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8/5)-(3/4/6/8/5)-(3/4/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TIM-1   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIP THRU DA FIRE Aug17 Jul26 Jul07 Jun15 May27 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 121 5.00 29% 2.50    
FLINNY TIN TIN Jul19 Jun16 Jun01 Feb29 Dec22 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 3.50 27% 2.60    
JUST THE THING Aug04 Jul26 Jun15 May27 May03 (corrales j)BERRUGATE KENEDY 117 15.00 12% 7.10    
GANBATTE Aug14 Jul27 Jul04 Jun07 May31 (stettinius su)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.00    
FUNZALO Jul05 Jun16 May26 May10 Apr14 (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 121 3.00    
SEARCH Jul24 Jul05 Jun01 May16 Apr27 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.00    
 
TIM-2   08/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S PROMISE Aug07 Jun27 Jun12 Oct01 Sep02 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
BARON'S LEGACY Jul26 Jul07 Jun22 May24 May04 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 124 1.80    
GREAT DAYS AHEAD Aug03 Jul13 Jun08 May17 May09 (woodit)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LUV YA BYE BYE Aug03 Jul17 Jun16 May05 Apr14 (mcmahon thomas)CRUZ ANGEL 126 5.00    
STRUGAR Jun30 Jun20 May29 May16 Apr28 (maldonado jona)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
I AM THAT I AM Jul27 Jun14 Apr16 Mar26 Mar08 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
 
TIM-3   08/23/2024 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUCKEYE BEAUTY         (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 4.50    
RILEY'S CRY BABY         (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  HEARTFULL OF JOY Aug02         (chapman)BRICENO GREGOR 120 10.00    
GOOD MORNING MERCY Jul11 Jun08 Jun01     (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
NEED A MIRACLE         (robb gina)PEREZ XAVIER 120 6.00    
COASTALNESS         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
OVERNIGHT EXPRESS May23         (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
CAMPAIGN PROMISES         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 10% 8.60    
MAP TO THE MOON Aug17 Jul27 Jun08 Jun01   (corrales jo)ROBLES O 115 4.50    
SCR  MISTY SUNDAY Aug16 Jul19 Apr11     (chapman jame)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
 
TIM-4   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS LOGIC Jul26 Jun30 Jun14 May27 Dec06 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
SEVEN'S ELEVEN Jul28 Feb17 Jan28 Dec22 Nov24 (bailon he)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
AIN'T DA BEER COLD Jul28 Jun14 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00    
EXCELLORATOR Jul05 Apr20 Mar25 Mar03 Feb04 (ness jamie)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.50    
CURLIN'S MALIBU Jul21 Jun22 May27 Mar23 Mar01 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIM-5   08/23/2024 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GREY HUMOR         (lynch cathal)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 10% 9.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CAUY'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  KRISSI N         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of UNLUCKY HILLARY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SEVEN'S MAGIC Jul13         (bailon ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
ITSAMONSTAMASH Jun01         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ONEARMEDBANDIT by NO ARMISTICE)
READY FOR MAGIC         (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MY MAGICIAN by STREET MAGICIAN)
MALIBU HOOCH         (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 10% 9.20    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SUNDAY IN MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
CURL N ROD         (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of OUR CURLENE by CURLIN)
GEM RUNNER         (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 120 4.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CRYSTA'S COURT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
 
TIM-6   08/23/2024 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIELSON Jul13 Jun16 May17 Dec31 Sep17 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
SCR  SHIP THE GOODS Jul20 Jun08 May17 Nov03 Sep24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
IRISH HERO Aug07 Jul27 Jul14 Jun28 Jun08 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 1.60    
HE'S ORIENTATE Jun30 Jun15 Apr26 Mar21 Aug10 (heil b)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEY BOOTS Aug09 Jul12 May17 Apr28 Apr11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 12.00    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun09 May17 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
INEVTABL CONECTION Jul19 Jun01 Aug03 Jul14 Jun11 (hohlbein )SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
 
TIM-7   08/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 35 ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILALUZ May04 Apr06 Mar22 Mar02 Feb11 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DATING GAME by GHOSTZAPPER)
HEAD OF THE CLASS Jul06         (pickett crystal)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CASH RESERVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  JASIEL         (voss kathari)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CONGAREE PRINCESS by CONGAREE)
SAME DAY AS L J Jul27 Jul06 May17 Apr27   (vick timot)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 121 15.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of UMIGHTBEANEMPRESS by NICANOR)
PHANTOM SPEED Dec23 Nov24       (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.20 53% 0.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
SPEIGHTSTER'S STAR         (singh s)BRICENO GREGOR 121 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY STAR POTENTIAL by TRITAP)
SCR  BIG BOY OVI Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 (sandov)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
 
TIM-8   08/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODBYE NOTE Aug02 Jul06 Jun21 Jun01 May12 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
BANDITSGOLDENCHILD Jul14 May11 Apr21 Mar30 Mar16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 2.50    
GUARDIAN PRINCE Jul17 Jul05 Jun08 May22   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
PARKERNESS Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 Jul10 Jun18 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00 25% 3.10    
WAR MASTER Dec09 Nov01 Oct15     (ness jamie)ACOSTA D 118 3.50    
DIVINE CHILD Jul19 Jun21 May11 Apr28 Mar29 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIM-9   08/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ARM Aug17 Jul26 Jul20 Jul03 Jun22 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00    
DISCREET DEVIL Aug02 Jun22 May22 Apr07 Mar10 (ro)LUNA PAUL 122 12.00    
DREAM RIVER Jul31 Jul07 Jun13 May24 May12 (robb gina)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr13 Mar16 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 121 1.80 21% 3.70    
BIGDADDYSBOY Aug03 Mar16 Feb24 Jan28 Dec30 (robb g)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOST WEEKEND Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Jun07 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
MOONSET Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May24 (frock c)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00    
BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb04 Dec22 (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 117 3.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  YEAH TAKE THAT Aug19 Jul31 Jul24 Jul16 Jun04 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.