Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(1/6/2/3)-(3/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3)-(3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CTM-8   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/4/2/9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/9)-(3/4/2/9/7)-(3/4/2/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COPPER MEIN Jul17 Jun10 Oct22     (kingston c)BRYAN D 125 1.40 33% 2.00    
PADDY'S SPEEDSTER Jul19 Jul06 Jun08     (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
PRENTON Jul05 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 3.00    
SUPER SENSE Jul17         (robertson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUNNY WAY Jul17 Jun07 Sep30 Sep23   (russel)STEADMAN LEON 120 3.50    
 
CTM-4   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT ON IT Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Sep01 Aug04 (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
CHURCH HARBOR Jul24 Jun28 Jun21 Jun08 May18 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 6% 14.80    
LINAHASPECSHOES Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Apr03 Mar01 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 May31 (bell jessic)BECKLES JARELLE 125 8.00    
LITTLE HARPER Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Oct07 Sep30 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00    
 
CTM-5   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO COMPARE Jul12 Aug05       (smith k)NATERA KEIHTON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SILKSTONE Jul19 Jul10 Jun07 Oct22 Oct07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
WHY NOT DANCE Jul19 Jun28 Aug04 Jul21   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.50    
ANNAMARIA Jul17 Jul05 Jun22 May25 May04 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
OOPS AND DOWNS Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May19 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
CTM-6   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORANGE THEORY Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Oct21 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 123 8.00    
ARUNDEL CASTLE Jul10 May31 May11 Sep16 Aug28 (gilkyso)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 4.50    
NIGHT FLYER Jun29 Jun14 May19 May04 Oct21 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 4.00 7% 13.50    
JOY IN GRACE Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 59% 0.70    
JELLI Jul10 Jun14 May31 Sep16 Aug26 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MACHINA Jul27 Jul10 Jun22 Jun01 Dec07 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00    
 
CTM-7   08/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Martin Deerline Juvenile Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATWOMENWANT Jul17         (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of SWAYING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  NO REJOYCE Jul17         (kettles)CHASE RICHARD 116 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
BUCK SPRINGS         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of B R'S GIRL by PULPIT)
MR MIEZIE Jul17         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 6.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
PUTTINGONTHEFOIL         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 119 4.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHILLI CHINES by KATOWICE)
HOLIDAY'S AGAIN Jul17         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of HOLIDAY MAKER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ROWDY TOWN         (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 119 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SHE'SADOWNTOWNGIRL by MORE THAN READY)
TABULA ROSSO Jul17         (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 119 15.00    
  (by CAR TALK out of JUST ASKING by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CTM-8   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRY'S A HOTTIE Jul13         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 15.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MISS HOTZY TOTZY by WELL INFORMED)
GENESEE         (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 4.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DONTBRINGMEDOWN Jul06 Jun22       (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 2.50 68% 0.50    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of PLUNGE by EL ROBLAR)
WHEN U KNOW U KNOW Jul06 Jun08       (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 124 6.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of LIL MISSKNOWITALL by KAFWAIN)
LEGAL ASSASSIN Jul19 Jul06 Jun08     (heggie rod)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
  (by CHARMING ASSASSIN out of TYPICAL TILLY by KISSIN KRIS)
SCR  DIAMOND DI Jul26 Jul06 Jun22     (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 119 10.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of MY STORMI LOVE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CAPE'S LEGACY Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 May17 May04 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 124 3.50    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
WE THE FRINGE Jul12         (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 119 15.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of SAINT SASSY SUE by SAINT STEPHEN)
PATRIOTIC FREEDOM May25 May04 Aug25 Aug05   (kingston c)BRYAN D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.