Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   07/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000C ($5K) Purse ($4.25K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M SHINING LADY Jun16 Jun09 Jul30 Jul22 Jun25 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R null      
2  BABY YATTA Jul14 Jul29 Jul03     (delorme c)PINEDA G null   47% 1.10    
3  BOOOGER CAUSEWAY Jul13 May18 May04 Jul29 Jul15 (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS null      
4  WIDGET GIDGET Jun16 Aug28 Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 (martin dean)WOOD DAKOTA null   18% 4.60    
5  SCOOTER FLASH Jun16 Jun09 May12 May04 Jul29 (estrada franci)BEETEM BRIAN null      
6  TIFF'S DREAM Jun23 Jun16 Jul30 Jun17 May13 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN null   5% 19.00    
 
FAR-2   07/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM10000 ($10K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL N READY RED Jun23 Jun15       (malaterr)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE null      
2  KNIFES EDGE Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 May27   (moody skip)PINEDA G null      
3  LIBERTARIAN Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 May04 Apr20 (bethke troy )BETHKE A null      
4  GIGGLEBOX Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 Jul29   (moody doug)BEETEM BRIAN null      
5  BIG BIZ Jun16 May17 Apr21 Apr06 Mar24 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN null   12% 7.40    
6  LAYAWAY Jun30 Jun15 Jun01 May03 Apr14 (thompson grady)WOOD DAKOTA null   ★    
7  DAAHERS BULLY Jul13 Jun15 May19 May12 Apr19 (cavanaugh perry)MARTINEZ R null   58% 0.70    
8  WELDON G Jul13 Jun15 May12 Apr14 Mar16 (horst scot)FACKLER CHRIS null   6% 15.70    
 
FAR-6   07/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK10000 ($0K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE AND Jun16 Jun09 May19 Apr27 Jul30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN null   17% 4.80    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of FUSAICHI FEELING by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  TRICKY KID May17 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun17 (estrada francis)WOOD DAKOTA null      
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
3  EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO Jul29 Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 (backhaus l)PRECIADO A null      
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of BIG CATS ECHO by KING CHA CHA)
4  LIAM'S STARRY NITE Jun09 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 (backhaus lexon)BEETEM BRIAN null      
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
5  KREWS PASS Jun09 Jun02 May19 Aug22 Jul30 (cavanaugh pe)BETHKE A null   44% 1.30    
  (by BE VALIANT out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
6  DAKOTA PROSPECTOR Jun09 May12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun03 (estrada franc)FACKLER CHRIS null   5% 19.00    
  (by PIES PROSPECT out of MS SENT TO DAKOTA by MARQUETRY)
 
FAR-7   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW16M ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA CARPE DIEM Jun15 Jun02 May17 Sep08 Aug26 (allery mark)WOOD DAKOTA null      
2  LIARS CLUB Jul14 Jun19 Jun05 Apr29 Apr01 (cavanaug)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE null   19% 4.40    
3  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT Jun16 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Jun25 (hurley tristin)HAAR NATHAN null   5% 19.00    
4  CRYPTIC CREEK         (moody doug)PRECIADO A null      
5  MANY ROSES Sep18 Sep12 Aug28 Jul29 Jun17 (martin dean)FACKLER CHRIS null   36% 1.80    
6  PRESTIGIOUSLY WILD Jul14 Jun15 Jun01 Sep03 Aug26 (backhaus lexon)BEETEM BRIAN null      
7  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 Sep19 Sep13 (martin dean)PINEDA G null   23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.